2017-11-14
Daily Outlook
A recent bullish breakout above the downtrend line took place on May 22. Since then, the market has been bullish as depicted on the chart.
This resulted in a quick bullish advance towards next price zones around 0.7150-0.7230 (Key-Zone) and 0.7310-0.7380 which was temporarily breached to the upside.
Recent bearish pullback was executed towards the price zone of 0.7310-0.7380 (newly-established demand-zone) which failed to offer enough bullish support for the NZD/USD pair.
Re-consolidation below the price level of 0.7300 enhanced the bearish side of the market. This brought the NZD/USD pair again towards 0.7230-0.7150 (Key-Zone) which failed to pause the ongoing bearish momentum.
An atypical Head and Shoulders pattern was expressed on the depicted chart indicating high probability of bearish reversal as long as bearish persistence below the neckline 0.7150 is maintained.
As expected, the price level of 0.7050 failed to offer enough bullish support for the NZD/USD pair. That's why, further bearish decline was expected towards 0.6800 (Reversal pattern bearish target).
If the recent low (0.6817) remains defended by the bulls, a bullish pullback can be expected towards 0.7050 if the current bullish pullback persists above 0.6970 ( Intraday Key-level ).
Trade recommendations:
If the current bullish pullback persists towards 0.7050, a valid SELL entry can be offered around there.
S/L should be placed above 0.7100. T/P levels to be placed at 0.6970, 0.6900 and 0.6830.
Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for EUR/USD for November 14, 2017
2017-11-14
Monthly Outlook
In January 2015, the EUR/USD pair moved below the major demand levels near 1.2050-1.2100 (multiple previous bottoms set in July 2012 and June 2010). Hence, a long-term bearish target was projected toward 0.9450.
In March 2015, EUR/USD bears challenged the monthly demand level around 1.0500, which had been previously reached in August 1997.
In the longer term, the level of 0.9450 remains a projected target if any monthly candlestick achieves bearish closure below the depicted monthly demand level of 1.0500.
However, the EUR/USD pair has been trapped within the depicted consolidation range (1.0500-1.1450) until the current bullish breakout was executed above 1.1450.
The current bullish breakout above 1.1450 allowed a quick bullish advance towards 1.2100 where recent evidence of bearish rejection was expressed (Note the previous Monthly candlestick of September).
Daily Outlook
In January 2017, the previous downtrend was reversed when the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern was established around 1.0500. Since then, evident bullish momentum has been expressed on the chart.
As anticipated, the ongoing bullish momentum allowed the EUR/USD pair to pursue further bullish advance towards 1.1415-1.1520 (Previous Daily Supply-Zone).
The daily supply zone failed to pause the ongoing bullish momentum. Instead, evident bullish breakout was expressed towards the price level of 1.2100 where the depicted Head and Shoulders reversal pattern was expressed.
If the recent bearish breakout persists below 1.1700 (Neckline of the reversal pattern), a quick bearish decline should be expected towards the price zone of 1.1415-1.1520 (Initial targets for the depicted H&S pattern).
Bearish target for the depicted Head and Shoulders pattern extends towards 1.1350. However, to pursue towards the mentioned target level, significant bearish pressure is needed to be applied against the mentioned zone (1.1415-1.1520).
Trade Recommendations
Recent price action around the price zone of 1.1520-1.1415 indicates evident bullish recovery and a possible short-term BUY entry. This scenario remains valid as long as the recent low around 1.1550 remains unbroken.
Technical analysis of USD/CHF for November 14, 2017
2017-11-14
Overview:
The support level is seen at the price of 0.9938 on the H4 chart. Since last week, the trend of USD/CHF pair movement was controversial as it took place in a narrow sideways channel, the market showed signs of instability. Amid the previous events, the price is still moving between the levels of 0.9938 and 1.0037. Also, the daily resistance and support are seen at the levels of 1.0037 and 0.9938 respectively. Therefore, it is recommended to be cautious while placing orders in this area. So, we need to wait until the sideways channel has completed. Last month, the market moved from its bottom at 0.9938 and continued to rise towards the top of 1.0037. Today, in the one-hour chart, the current rise will remain within a framework of correction. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 1.0037, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the strong resistance level of 1.0037 (the level of 1.0037 coincides with the double top too). Since there is nothing new in this market, it is not bullish yet. Sell deals are recommended below the level of 1.0037 with the first target at 1.0037. If the trend breaks the support level of 1.0037, the pair is likely to move downwards continuing the development of a bearish trend to the level 0.9880.
Technical analysis of NZD/USD for November 14, 2017
2017-11-14
Overview:
The NZD/USD pair is still trading around the area of 0.6890 and 0.6860. Thus, it should be noted that the resistance is established at the level of 0.6890 which represents a pivot point. The NZD/USD pair is showing signs of force following a breakout of the highest price of 0.6860. The price has been in a bearish channel this week. This is confirmed by the RSI indicator signaling that we are still in a bullish trending market. The NZD/USD pair continues to move downwards from the level of 0.6890. As long as the trend is above the price of 0.6890, the market is still in an uptrend. The trend is still strong below the moving average. The NZD/USD pair didn't make any significant movements in the last two days. The market is indicating a bearish opportunity above the mentioned resistance levels. The bullish outlook remains valid as long as the 100 EMA heads for the downside. Therefore, strong resistance will be found around the spot of 0.6890 providing a clear signal to sell with a target seen at 0.6821. If the trend breaks the first support at 0.6821, the pair will move downwards continuing the bearish trend development to the level of 0.6740 in order to test the daily support 2. It should be noted that the major support is seen at the levels of 0.6821 and 0.6740. However, the stop loss should be placed at the price of 0.6900.
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