2017-12-11
Overview:
Pivot: 1.3017.
The GBP/USD pair is still moving upwards above the levels of 1.3017 and 1.3200. The first support level is currently seen at 1.3017. The trend is still set above the level of 1.3017 and 1.3200 for that the price is moving in a bullish channel now. Furthermore, the price has been set above the strong support at the level of 1.3017, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This support has been rejected three times confirming the veracity of an uptrend. According to the previous events, we expect the GBP/USD pair to trade between 1.3100 and 1.3655. So, the support is seen at 1.3017, while daily resistance is found at 1.3298. Therefore, the market is likely to show signs of a bullish trend around the spot of 1.3017/1.3200. In other words, buy orders are recommended above the zone of 1.30171.3200 with the first target at the level of 1.3298; and continue towards 1.3655 in coming days. On the other hand, if the GBP/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level of 1.3298 today, the market will decline further to 1.2820.
Technical analysis of EUR/USD for December 11, 2017
2017-12-11
Overview:
The EUR/USD pair continues to move downwards from the level of 1.1817. Last week, the pair dropped from the level of 1.1817 to the bottom around 1.1729. But the pair has rebounded from the bottom of 1.1729 to close at 1.1800. Today, the first support level is seen at 1.1756, the price is moving in a bearish channel now. Furthermore, the price has been set below the strong resistance at the level of 1.1817, which coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. This resistance has been rejected several times confirming the veracity of a downtrend. Additionally, the RSI starts signaling a downward trend. As a result, if the EUR/USD pair is able to break out the first support at 1.1756, the market will decline further to 1.1729 in order to test the weekly support 2. Consequently, the market is likely to show signs of a bearish trend. So, it will be good to sell below the level of 1.1817 with the first target at 1.1756 and further to 1.1729. However, stop loss is to be placed above the level of 1.1872.
GBP/USD analysis for December 11, 2017
2017-12-11
Recently, the GBP/USD pair has been trading downwards. The price tested the level of 1.3342. According to the 15M time- frame, I found that price broke the intraday bearish flag formation, which is a sign that buying looks risky. I also found a stochastic oscillator in the overbought zone, which is another sign of weakness. My advice is to watch for potential selling opportuntities. The downward targets are set at the price of 1.3333 and at the price of 1.3265.
Resistance levels:
R1: 1.3496
R2: 1.3590
R3: 1.3662
Support levels:
S1: 1.3333
S2: 1.3262
S3: 1.3170
Trading recommendations for today: watch for potential selling opportunities.
Trading Plan for EUR/USD and US Dollar Index for December 11, 2017
2017-12-11
Technical outlook:
The EUR/USD pair dropped close to 1.1720/30 levels on Friday as expected and discussed earlier. The pair is seen to be pulling back through 1.1800 levels at this moment and is expected to drop lower again towards 1.1700/10 levels at least. A meaningful correction can be expected after that drop, towards 1.1850/60 levels. Please also note that immediate price support is seen at 1.1710 levels as well and hence pullback rally seems to be a natural process. The overall wave count also suggests that EUR/USD should be looking to push lower towards 1.1500 levels at least but after a pullback is complete. Besides, note that bullish divergences are beginning to show up on short-term time frames and hence taking profits on short positions around 1.1700/10 levels is a good plan for now.
Trading plan:
Please remain short, move stop to breakeven, target 1.1700/10
US Dollar Index chart setups:
Technical outlook:
The US Dollar Index has pushed higher to estimated soft targets and remained shy by just about 10 points on Friday. The index has retraced a bit for now and it is expected to push through 94.20 levels, before producing a meaningful correction lower. It is also possible that the index produces the necessary correction now, before pushing higher. Please note that US Dollar Index bulls are wanting to take out price resistance at 94.20 levels as plotted here. Also note that the index should be looking to continue rallying towards 95.00 and higher levels till prices remain broadly above 92.50 levels going forward. For now, it is suggested to take profits off the desk around the 94.20 levels since a meaningful pullback can be expected then.
Trading plan:
Please remain long for now, stop at breakeven levels, target 94.20
Fundamental outlook:
No major fundamental events are lined up for the day.
Good luck!
Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for EUR/USD for December 11, 2017
2017-12-11
Monthly Outlook
In January 2015, the EUR/USD pair moved below the major demand levels near 1.2050-1.2100 (multiple previous bottoms set in July 2012 and June 2010). Hence, a long-term bearish target was projected toward 0.9450.
In March 2015, EUR/USD bears challenged the monthly demand level around 1.0500, which had been previously reached in August 1997.
In the longer term, the level of 0.9450 remains a projected target if any monthly candlestick achieves bearish closure below the depicted monthly demand level of 1.0500.
However, the EUR/USD pair has been trapped within the depicted consolidation range (1.0500-1.1450) until the current bullish breakout was executed above 1.1450.
The current bullish breakout above 1.1450 allowed a quick bullish advance towards 1.2100 where recent evidence of bearish rejection was expressed (Note the previous Monthly candlestick of September).
Daily Outlook
In January 2017, the previous downtrend was reversed when the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern was established around 1.0500. Since then, evident bullish momentum has been expressed on the chart.
As anticipated, the ongoing bullish momentum allowed the EUR/USD pair to pursue further bullish advance towards 1.1415-1.1520 (Previous Daily Supply-Zone).
The daily supply zone failed to pause the ongoing bullish momentum. Instead, evident bullish breakout was expressed towards the price level of 1.2100 where the depicted Head and Shoulders reversal pattern was expressed.
If the recent bearish breakout persists below 1.1700 (Neckline of the reversal pattern), a quick bearish decline should be expected towards the price zone of 1.1415-1.1520 (Initial targets for the depicted H&S pattern).
Bearish target for the depicted Head and Shoulders pattern extends towards 1.1350. However, to pursue towards the mentioned target level, significant bearish pressure is needed to be applied against the mentioned zone (1.1415-1.1520).
However, recent price action around the price zone of 1.1520-1.1415 indicated evident bullish recovery. This hindered further bearish decline as long as the recent low around 1.1550 remains unbroken.
Trade Recommendations
The price levels around 1.1900-1.1950 were suggested for a valid short-term SELL entry. It's already running in profits.
S/L should be lowered to 1.1870 to secure some of the profits. T/P levels to be located at 1.1700 and 1.1590.
NZD/USD Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for December 11, 2017
2017-12-11
Daily Outlook
A recent bullish breakout above the downtrend line took place on May 22. Since then, the market has been bullish as depicted on the chart.
This resulted in a quick bullish advance towards next price zones around 0.7150-0.7230 (Key-Zone) and 0.7310-0.7380 which was temporarily breached to the upside.
Recent bearish pullback was executed towards the price zone of 0.7310-0.7380 (newly-established demand-zone) which failed to offer enough bullish support for the NZD/USD pair.
Re-consolidation below the price level of 0.7300 enhanced the bearish side of the market. This brought the NZD/USD pair again towards 0.7230-0.7150 (Key-Zone) which failed to pause the ongoing bearish momentum.
An atypical Head and Shoulders pattern was expressed on the depicted chart which initiated bearish reversal.
As expected, the price level of 0.7050 failed to offer enough bullish support for the NZD/USD pair. That's why, further bearish decline was expected towards 0.6800 (Reversal pattern bearish target).
Evident signs of bullish recovery was expressed around the recent low (0.6780). That's why, a bullish pullback was expected towards 0.7050.
On the other hand, an inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is being established on the chart indicating bullish reversal.
That's why, the price zone of 0.6800-0.6830 can be considered for a short-term BUY entry. S/L should be placed below 0.6770. T/P level remains projected towards 0.7050.
Analysis of Gold for December 11, 2017
2017-12-11
Recently, Gold has been trading downwards. The price tested the level of $1,244. Anyway, according to the 30M time- frame, I found that price is trading inside of a trading range between the price of $1,252.30 (resistance) and the price of $1,244.00 (support). Since the short-term trend is bearish, my advice is to watch for potential selling opportunities. The downward targets are set at the price of $1,244.00 and at the price of $1,239.70
Resistance levels:
R1: $1,252.37
R2: $1,256.57
R3: $1,260.77
Support levels:
S1: $1,243.97
S2: $1,239.77
S3: $1,235.57
Trading recommendations for today: watch for potential selling opportunities.
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