Forex News 24 |
- A Black Hole Around Fed Minutes
- 5 Top Stock Trades for Thursday: DAL, LYFT, AMD, NKE, CRM
- Traders Increase Their Net-Short Positions
- Bitcoin Net-Long traders Increased by 3.4% from Last Week
- 3 REITs That Outperform the Market
- US Dollar Pares Early Losses Following March Fed Minutes Release
- April 10, 2019 : GBP/USD Intraday technical analysis and trade recommendations.
- US Dollar Pares Early Losses Following March Fed Minutes Release
- Net-Short Positions Continue to Increase
- SNAP Stock Slips on User Decline Prediction SNAP Stock Slips on User Decline Prediction
| A Black Hole Around Fed Minutes Posted: 10 Apr 2019 02:01 PM PDT Hits: 3 S&P 500 Trading Volume Talking Points:S&P 500 Trading Volume: A Black Hole Around Fed MinutesS&P 500 trading volume slipped into a black hole ahead of Wednesday's FOMC meeting minutes as traders saw little cause to weather the event risk. April alone has delivered 5 of the index's 6 lowest volume trading sessions, and volume's moving average has slipped to its lowest level since late September 2018. S&P 500 Price Chart: Daily Time Frame (September 2018 – April 2019) (Chart 1)
Similarly, the index's average true range has fallen alongside volume. That said, traders are oft reluctant to risk exposure during Fed meetings. In the following days of an event, average volume is frequently heightened, and the highs are astronomical – suggesting traders are coping with a notably revised policy outlook. S&P Trading Volume and the Fed (Chart 2)
Data compiled from Bloomberg Despite Thursday's sparse economic calendar, volume should pick up – albeit not to the same degree given the uneventful minutes release. With event risk in the rear-view, traders can look to the future and position for earnings season and the implications from an announcement from US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on trade war progress. S&P 500 Price Chart: 1 – Hour Time Frame (March 24 – April 10) (Chart 3)
As for the technical perspective of the index, it trades narrowly beneath trendline resistance from late December. Although the line has been subject to breaks, it continues to influence price action. Conversely, the S&P 500 has horizontal trendline support from the high of February 2018 beneath it at 2875. With earnings on the horizon, IG clients have only increased their short exposure.
Retail trader data shows 24.8% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 3.04 to 1. Since we typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, the fact that retail traders are overwhelmingly short suggests the S&P 500 may continue its recent trend. –Written by Peter Hanks, Junior Analyst for DailyFX.com Contact and follow Peter on Twitter @PeterHanksFX Read more: Tech Sector: Highest Ratio to the S&P 500 Since Dot-Com Bubble DailyFX forecasts on a variety of currencies such as the US Dollar or the Euro are available from the DailyFX Trading Guides page. If you're looking to improve your trading approach, check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you're looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide.
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| 5 Top Stock Trades for Thursday: DAL, LYFT, AMD, NKE, CRM Posted: 10 Apr 2019 01:30 PM PDT Hits: 4 The Federal Reserve released its Minutes statement from its previous meeting, concluding that some members are open to a "modest" rate hike later this year if the economy warrants it. The market is up modestly on the day, but Thursday's action will be more telling. Let's look at some top stock trades to see how we're setting up. Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #1: Delta
Shares of Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) are higher by 2% on Wednesday after the company beat on earnings and revenue expectations. However, after rallying to $59, shares promptly lost altitude. So far the stock is holding the recent lows near $57. Below its post-earnings range and DAL may be heading for its 20-day moving average. Keep in mind, the stock was already overbought coming into these somewhat expect results after DAL's outlook increase earlier this month. Look for a tradeable breakout over $59 or a pullback into this $54 to $55 region. Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #2: Nike
Nike (NYSE:NKE) fell from ~$88 to a low of $81 in two days after reporting earnings. However, it quickly bounced and reclaimed its 50-day moving average. All is well for the bulls, right? Well, not so fast. While still above the 50-day and 20-day moving averages, NKE stock is clinging to them desperately for support. With Friday's gap up and pullback, NKE stock secured a higher low, a bearish technical development. If Nike loses the 50-day and $84, look for a potential retest of its post-earnings lows and perhaps even the 200-day moving average. Over $86 negates the lower high and puts $88 back on the table. Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #3: Salesforce
This one has been quietly chopping sideways for the last 10 weeks or so, with Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) starting to coil into a relatively tight range over the past month. Which way will it break? I have no idea, but we can look at where it might go once it does. With Wednesday's rally, CRM reclaimed its 50-day and 20-day moving averages, while one more strong day may put it over downtrend resistance. If that's the case, a run to $165 is possible. On the downside, a break of uptrend support could send it to $152.50. Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #4: Advanced Micro Devices
This one has been a great buy-the-dip name and originally, we wanted to wait for a retest of the 20-day moving average on Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD). I still like the idea of buying AMD into the 20-day and uptrend support. But that said, we have had a nice multi-day pullback here, AMD has worked off its overbought condition and it's putting together an inside day on Wednesday. Aggressive bulls could justify a position here with a stop-loss on a close below the 20-day or $26, if they're comfortable with that wide of a range. They can also consider using the latter stop-loss and trading with smaller size to accommodate the larger potential loss. If support holds, a run to $30 is on the table. If support gives way, look to see that $25 and the 50-day holds as support. Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #5: Lyft
Another disastrous day for Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT) takes hold, with shares falling almost 9%. This is the last thing investment bankers wanted to see with a slew of IPOs still in the pipeline. They had to get this one right and they've butchered it thus far. With Wednesday's fall, Lyft stock took out the lows near $66 that came on day three of trading. Bulls can try to play a long position on Lyft if it reclaims this spot, but honestly, it's too volatile and too choppy for me. I would avoid Lyft and look for better opportunities out there. There are plenty. Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.
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| Traders Increase Their Net-Short Positions Posted: 10 Apr 2019 01:25 PM PDT Hits: 4  64.3% OF TRADERS ARE NET-LONGEURUSD: Retail trader data shows 64.3% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.8 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since Mar 26 when EURUSD traded near 1.1315; price has moved 0.4% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 9.4% lower than yesterday and 13.5% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 12.0% lower than yesterday and 13.5% higher from last week. To gain more insight in how we use sentiment to supplement a strategy, join us for one of our weekly webinars on how to “Identify Trends with Sentiment”: (click on one of the above times to enroll) EURUSD PROMPTS A BEARISH TRADING BIASWe typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests EURUSD prices may continue to fall. Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger EURUSD-bearish contrarian trading bias. — Written by Nancy Pakbaz, CFA, DailyFX Research Follow Nancy on Twitter @NancyPakbazFX
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| Bitcoin Net-Long traders Increased by 3.4% from Last Week Posted: 10 Apr 2019 12:56 PM PDT Hits: 8  80.3% OF TRADERS ARE NET-LONGBitcoin: Retail trader data shows 80.3% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 4.07 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 0.9% lower than yesterday and 3.4% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 5.8% higher than yesterday and 7.5% higher from last week. To gain more insight in how we use sentiment to supplement a strategy, join us for one of our weekly webinars on how to "Identify Trends with Sentiment": (click on one of the above times to enroll) BITCOIN: PRICE MAY SOON REVERSEWe typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Bitcoin prices may continue to fall. Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current Bitcoin price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long. — Written by Nancy Pakbaz, CFA, DailyFX Research Follow Nancy on Twitter @NancyPakbazFX Can you get gilded from fx trading? The response is if you go from river forex, and sluttish forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is distribution in forex 1 greenback river, netdania forex, verify brimful welfare of the forex system indicators, and inaction the direction fx strategy. We instrument follow win all.
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| 3 REITs That Outperform the Market Posted: 10 Apr 2019 12:52 PM PDT Hits: 5 When most investors think about growth in the stock market, real estate investment trusts (REITs) don't immediately come to mind. After all, land and buildings have been around for nearly forever. And how can sleepy bits of real estate compete with all of the other facets of the stock market from technology to oil and gas and so many other industries that are profiting from bringing or using the next new thing?  Source: Shutterstock But real estate has a few things going for it. To start, as the adage goes — when it comes to land — they aren't making any more of it. Well, that's mostly true except for certain markets such as the territories around Hong Kong and Victoria Harbour. Then there are the adaptations of land. From residences for technology workers to the actual technology, its real estate and the related buildings from residential to office and of course data centers that enable all of the whiz-bang stuff of the market to actually happen. And of course, there is the income that comes from real estate. And one of the core things that I've learned long ago and use in my portfolio recommendations inside Profitable Investing is that dividends matter. And even if you are not living off of dividend income — just collecting it and piling it up and re-investing is a lot more certain to build up a portfolio's value over time. And the simple proof is to look at the general stock market in the S&P 500. If you track the performance of the Index over the past twenty years, the price gain was nice at 113.86%. But when adding in the dividends, the return nearly doubles to 213.49%. So, as I said before, dividends do matter. And for REITs, the dividends are of course much higher than the general market. The yield for the S&P 500 Index is currently sitting at 1.91%, while the yield for REITs is tracked by the Bloomberg U.S. REIT Index is much higher at 4.17%. Moreover, thanks to the Tax Cuts & Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA), REIT dividends are worth even more on an after-tax basis. This comes from a line-item in the TCJA whereby investors get to deduct 20% of the dividend income from their taxable income. This comes with the U.S. Treasury instructions for 2018 tax filings that specifies that 1099-DIV have a section 199A with a Box 5 for REIT dividends, which tax software does the calculations. And if you use a pencil and a calculator, there are instructions for Schedule D. In addition, investors in common stocks inside the S&P 500 are taxed twice. First, the company pays income tax and then investors are taxed on the dividend income. REITs avoid corporate tax and as noted above, the dividends are taxed-advantaged. But let's get to the meat of the matter and the headline of this article. For the past trailing year, REITs, as tracked by the Bloomberg REIT Index, have earned a return of 21.48%, which is nearly double the return for the S&P 500 Index at 10.69%. In addition, during the big selloff in stocks during the fourth quarter of last year, REITs did drop in return by 6.07%, but that was way better than the drop in the S&P 500 of 13.53%. Three Even Better REITsThe REIT space has plenty of great companies, but it also has many not so great companies. Here are three REITs that stand out from the crowd. I'll start with American Campus Communities (NYSE:ACC). This REIT has educational properties focused primarily on dorms for colleges and universities around the nation. This is an attractive market since it has a market for students that need and want to live on or near-by where their classes and activities are happening. The space has been so good that one by one the leading public REITs in this market have been bought out by non-public investments and private equity. ACC is the one REIT that still focuses on the space. And it is performing with the trailing year return of a much better 27.05%. Revenues are up by 10.60% with a return from funds from operations (FFO) at a nice 9.50%. FFO measures the return from actually leasing out the properties and is a good apples-to-apples measurement for REITs. It is a value too at only 1.88 times its book of business, including its properties. And the dividend is an attractive 3.85% and has been climbing over the past five years by an average of 5.02%. Next is WP Carey (NYSE:WPC), which I've followed since it came to the public market back in the late 1990s. WP Carey is a large diversified REIT with assets around the U.S. and the globe. Its focus is on doing sale-lease-back transactions, which have owners and occupiers sell their properties and in turn lease them back from WPC. And it also focuses on triple-net leases whereby tenants pay insurance, upkeep and taxes leaving WPC to avoid these costs and risks. The return over the past trailing year is a whopping 33.81%. And while revenues have slowed a bit recently to a gain of 4.40% — the FFO return is better at 10.60%. And it is also a bargain at only 1.89 times its book value. And the dividend, which keeps rising every quarter by policy, is even more attractive at 5.30%. And last up is Medical Properties Trust (NYSE:MPW). This REIT is focused on healthcare properties from hospitals and other facilities. And like WP Carey — MPW focuses on net leases, which lowers its costs and operating risks. The trailing year return is running at 56.40%. And yet the stock is only at 1.53 times its book value. Revenues are rising at 11.30% and the FFO return is running at 11.60%. These and other quality REITs should be in everyone's portfolio if you want better and more certain growth and income along the way. And to learn more from my analysis and other REITs take a look at my Profitable Investing published by InvestorPlace Media. Neil George is the editor of Profitable Investing and does not have any holdings in the securities mentioned above.
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| US Dollar Pares Early Losses Following March Fed Minutes Release Posted: 10 Apr 2019 12:49 PM PDT Hits: 2 US DOLLAR, FED'S FOMC MEETING MINUTES – TALKING POINTS
The US Dollar pared losses immediately after the Federal Reserve released its March FOMC meeting minutes. The move higher is likely in response to the mixed opinions among Fed officials which counters market expectations for an overwhelmingly dovish publication. US DOLLAR INDEX PRICE CHART: 1-MINUTE TIME FRAME (APRIL 10, 2019 INTRADAY)
A majority of FOMC participants voiced a belief that the progression of economic outlook and risks would likely result in leaving the Fed's policy interest rate unchanged for the rest of 2019. On the contrary, some participants countered that the Fed should raise rates modestly later this year if the economy evolves as currently expected with economic growth running above its long-term trend. Accordingly, the central bank's 'patient, wait-and-see' approach to conducting monetary policy was echoed in the FOMC minutes. The minutes also discussed the details behind the Fed's latest revisions to its economic projections and plans regarding its balance sheet normalization. One area of potential concern highlighted was bleak consumer spending and relatively mediocre performance of the US labor market since its January meeting. Although, participants agreed that "the labor market had remained strong but growth of economic activity had slowed from its solid rate." Also noted was expectation for GDP growth to rebound 'solidly' in the second quarter after a transitory slowdown at the start of the year. That being said, the FOMC reiterated its view that the most probable scenario over the foreseeable future is one of sustained expansion, strong labor market conditions, and inflation in-line roughly around the Fed's 2 percent target. US DOLLAR INDEX PRICE CHART: DAILY TIME FRAME (SEPTEMBER 19, 2018 TO APRIL 10, 2019)
Recent commentary from Treasury Secretary Stephen Mnuchin could also be contributing to US Dollar price action. Mnuchin stated that his meeting with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He yesterday was "very productive," adding that negotiators have "pretty much agreed on an enforcement mechanism." Likewise, Euro performance in response to the ECB's latest meeting also could also be weighing on the USD today. TRADING RESOURCESWhether you are a new or experienced trader, DailyFX has multiple resources available to help you: an indicator for monitoring trader sentiment; quarterly trading forecasts; analytical and educational webinars held daily; trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and even one for those who are new to FX trading. – Written by Rich Dvorak, Junior Analyst for DailyFX – Follow @RichDvorakFX on Twitter
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| April 10, 2019 : GBP/USD Intraday technical analysis and trade recommendations. Posted: 10 Apr 2019 12:36 PM PDT Hits: 3
On January 2nd, the market initiated the depicted uptrend line around 1.2380. This uptrend managed to initiate two successive bullish waves towards 1.3200 (Jan. 25) then 1.3350 (Feb. 27) before the bearish pullback brought the GBPUSD pair towards the uptrend on March 8th. A weekly bearish gap pushed the pair below the uptrend line (almost reaching 1.2960) before the bullish breakout above short-term bearish channel was achieved on March 11. Shortly after, the GBPUSD pair demonstrated weak bullish momentum towards 1.3200 then 1.3360 where the GBPUSD failed to achieve a higher high above the previous top achieved on February 27. Instead, the depicted bearish channel was established. Significant bearish pressure was demonstrated towards 1.3150 – 1.3120 where the depicted uptrend line failed to provide any bullish support leading to obvious bearish breakdown. On March 29, the price levels of 1.2980 (the lower limit of the depicted movement channel) demonstrated significant bullish rejection. This brought the GBPUSD pair again towards the price zone of (1.3160-1.3180) where the upper limit of the depicted bearish channel as well as the backside of the depicted uptrend line were located. Bearish rejection was anticipated around these price levels (1.3160-1.3180). Further bearish decline is expected towards 1.2950-1.2920 where the lower limit of the depicted channel is located. Trade Recommendations: Any bullish pullback towards 1.3160 should be considered for another SELL entry. TP levels to be located around 1.3020 then 1.2950 – 1.2920. S/L to be located above 1.3200 The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com Can you get moneyed from fx trading? The statement is if you go from river forex, and gentle forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is paste in forex 1 clam river, netdania forex, eff grumbling plus of the forex scheme indicators, and defect the counseling fx strategy. We module win win all.
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| US Dollar Pares Early Losses Following March Fed Minutes Release Posted: 10 Apr 2019 12:32 PM PDT Hits: 0 US DOLLAR, FED'S FOMC MEETING MINUTES – TALKING POINTS
The US Dollar pared losses immediately after the Federal Reserve released its March FOMC meeting minutes. The move higher is likely in response to the mixed opinions among Fed officials which counters market expectations for an overwhelmingly dovish publication. US DOLLAR INDEX PRICE CHART: 1-MINUTE TIME FRAME (APRIL 10, 2019 INTRADAY)
A majority of FOMC participants voiced a belief that the progression of economic outlook and risks would likely result in leaving the Fed's policy interest rate unchanged for the rest of 2019. On the contrary, some participants countered that the Fed should raise rates modestly later this year if the economy evolves as currently expected with economic growth running above its long-term trend. Accordingly, the central bank's 'patient, wait-and-see' approach to conducting monetary policy was echoed in the FOMC minutes. The minutes also discussed the details behind the Fed's latest revisions to its economic projections and plans regarding its balance sheet normalization. One area of potential concern highlighted was bleak consumer spending and relatively mediocre performance of the US labor market since its January meeting. Although, participants agreed that "the labor market had remained strong but growth of economic activity had slowed from its solid rate." Also noted was expectation for GDP growth to rebound 'solidly' in the second quarter after a transitory slowdown at the start of the year. That being said, the FOMC reiterated its view that the most probable scenario over the foreseeable future is one of sustained expansion, strong labor market conditions, and inflation in-line roughly around the Fed's 2 percent target. US DOLLAR INDEX PRICE CHART: DAILY TIME FRAME (SEPTEMBER 19, 2018 TO APRIL 10, 2019)
Recent commentary from Treasury Secretary Stephen Mnuchin could also be contributing to US Dollar price action. Mnuchin stated that his meeting with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He yesterday was "very productive," adding that negotiators have "pretty much agreed on an enforcement mechanism." Likewise, Euro performance in response to the ECB's latest meeting also could also be weighing on the USD today. TRADING RESOURCESWhether you are a new or experienced trader, DailyFX has multiple resources available to help you: an indicator for monitoring trader sentiment; quarterly trading forecasts; analytical and educational webinars held daily; trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and even one for those who are new to FX trading. – Written by Rich Dvorak, Junior Analyst for DailyFX – Follow @RichDvorakFX on Twitter Can you get comfortable from fx trading? The solvent is if you go from river forex, and promiscuous forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is spread in forex 1 clam river, netdania forex, traverse ladened plus of the forex system indicators, and modify the program fx strategy. We testament win win all.
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| Net-Short Positions Continue to Increase Posted: 10 Apr 2019 12:24 PM PDT Hits: 4  NUMBER OF TRADERS NET-SHORT INCREASED BY 12.3% FROM LAST WEEKUS 500: Retail trader data shows 24.5% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 3.08 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jan 07 when US 500 traded near 2340.73; price has moved 23.2% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 0.6% higher than yesterday and 0.3% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 4.2% higher than yesterday and 12.3% higher from last week. To gain more insight in how we use sentiment to supplement a strategy, join us for one of our weekly webinars on how to "Identify Trends with Sentiment": (click on one of the above times to enroll) S&P 500 SENTIMENT SUGGESTS A BULLISH TRADING BIASWe typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger US 500-bullish contrarian trading bias. — Written by Nancy Pakbaz, CFA, DailyFX Research Follow Nancy on Twitter @NancyPakbazFX Can you get gilded from fx trading? The response is if you go from river forex, and sluttish forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is distribution in forex 1 greenback river, netdania forex, verify brimful welfare of the forex system indicators, and inaction the direction fx strategy. We instrument follow win all.
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| SNAP Stock Slips on User Decline Prediction SNAP Stock Slips on User Decline Prediction Posted: 10 Apr 2019 12:17 PM PDT Hits: 4 Snap (NYSE:SNAP) stock is down close to 5% today as an analyst predicts Snapchat will loser users in the U.S. for the first time this year.
Snap's decline can be attributed at least in part to fans being dissatisfied with the redesign of the app, leading EMarketer to lower its projections on the Snapchat user base, even from the amount it predicted six months ago. The firm adds that it sees the app's user growth to level off in 2020. The redesign took a toll on the brand last year, leading to some changes to its executive staff, as well as causing SNAP stock to decline 70% by late December when compared to its 2017 IPO price. The move also concerned investors, who grew more skeptical of the company's ability to improve its financial situation in a competitive social media market. The tech company said last month that its daily active users in the fourth quarter of 2018 was unchanged when compared to a previous quarter. Snap had experienced a quarter-to-quarter decline of 1 million daily active users in the third quarter. SNAP stock is down about 4.8% on Wednesday following the news. Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2019/04/snap-stock-slips-on-user-decline-prediction/. ©2019 InvestorPlace Media, LLC Can you get rich from fx trading? The fulfill is if you go from canadian forex, and loose forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is extended in forex 1 banknote canadian, netdania forex, involve rotund plus of the forex group indicators, and stay the arrangement fx strategy. We instrument succeed win all. Can you get gilded from fx trading? The serve is if you go from canadian forex, and unchaste forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is locomote in forex 1 buck canadian, netdania forex, work chockablock advantage of the forex system indicators, and appraisal the programme fx strategy. We testament succeed win all.
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