Forex News 24

Forex News 24


Roku Earnings: ROKU Stock Soars on Stronger-Than-Expected Q1 EPS Roku Earnings: ROKU Stock Soars on Stronger-Than-Expected Q1 EPS

Posted: 08 May 2019 02:29 PM PDT

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Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) reported its quarterly earnings figures late today, bringing in a loss and sales that were better than what analysts called for, playing a role in helping ROKU stock soar after hours.

Roku Earnings

Source: Shutterstock

The Los Gatos, Calif.-based maker of entertainment streaming devices said that for its first quarter of its fiscal 2019, it brought in a loss of 9 cents per share, which is narrower than the Wall Street consensus estimate called for, which was for a loss of roughly 26 cents per share.

Roku added that its revenue for the period tallied up to $207 million, which is stronger than the $190 million that analysts called for. The brand also saw its active user accounts increase roughly 40% when compared to the same period in its fiscal 2018.

The company's total streaming hours surged by 74% to 8.9 million hours during the three-month period. Roku added that its ad sales business also brought in revenue of $134 million, which marked a gain of 79% when compared to the year-ago quarter, while device sales popped by roughly 18% year-over-year.

The business had previously said that it saw its revenue for the entirety of its fiscal 2019 to come in at around $1 billion.

ROKU stock is up about 7.7% after the bell on Wednesday afternoon following the company's better-than-expected results during the period. Shares had been gaining about 0.8% during regular trading hours in anticipation of Roku's results.

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DIS Earnings Impress, Market Awaits Trade Data

Posted: 08 May 2019 02:19 PM PDT

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Stock Market Update Talking Points:

  • Disney released strongly financial findings for their second quarter, which will likely offer buoyancy for the Dow Jones in Thursday trading
  • Stock traders will look to Thursday's US trade balance data to garner the impact the US-China trade war has had ahead of Friday's deadline
  • With trade talks on the fritz and the month of May progressing, will the stock market crash and fulfill the "sell in May and go away" phenomenon?

Stock Market Update: DIS Earnings Impress, Market Awaits Trade Data

Amid a tumultuous trading session, Disney (DIS) was one of the few stocks on the Dow Jones to close in the green. Anticipation for their quarterly report saw DIS shares climb 1.21% in Wednesday trading – only to climb another 1.63% in the after-hours session as the results were released. A strong quarterly performance from one of the Dow Jones' hottest stocks should inject optimism back into the Average on Thursday. Upon the earnings release, DIS remain within the implied price range and above the sizable price gap.

View our Economic Calendar for upcoming data releases.

While meaningful, Disney earnings pale in comparison to the larger issues plaguing the stock market. As trade war talks hit a rough patch, markets have sold off and the VIX has spiked. With all eyes on Friday's deadline, insight into the effects of the economic bout will be offered Thursday with the release of US trade balance data from March. A deficit of -$51.1 billion is expected, climbing from February's deficit of -$49.4 billion.

US Trade Deficit Mounts

Stock Market Update: DIS Earnings Impress, Market Awaits Trade Data

Source: Bloomberg

Since the US-China trade war began back in June 2018, markets have been offered 8 months of trade data. Because the data trails by two months, the shaded area above highlights data released from September to February – along with tomorrow's expected balance. Although many economists have debated the exact impact of higher tariffs, the longer-term implications are unclear.

Similarly, the takeaways that can be garnered from the balance between the United States and China alone is also opaque. In February 2018, the United States imported $39.07 billion in goods from China while exporting $9.8 billion – resulting in a deficit of roughly -$29.26 billion. In 2019, imports in the month of February totaled $33.19 billion, accompanied by exports of $8.43 billion – resulting in a deficit of -$24.76 billion.

Stock Market Update: DIS Earnings Impress, Market Awaits Trade Data

Source: Bloomberg

While the US-China trade deficit shrank in comparable time periods, the data is too noisy to draw a firm conclusion. One thing that is clear however, is the overall widening trade deficit of the United States. Despite the smaller deficit with China, the total balance continues to fall deeper into the red.

Over the last 9 years, the monthly average deficit has climbed to -$52.10 billion from -$32.49 billion. In tomorrow's report, traders and investors will scour the data for any indication a trend has developed from the trade war. To that end, specific sectors like agriculture (soybeans) and larger goods like airplanes and machinery will be important areas to watch. The data will assist investors in forecasting the ramifications of a potential change in levy rates on Friday. Check back at DailyFX.com for a breakdown and analysis of tomorrow's trade data.

–Written by Peter Hanks, Junior Analyst for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow Peter on Twitter @PeterHanksFX

Read more: Stock Market Volatility and its Relationship with S&P 500 Returns

DailyFX forecasts on a variety of currencies such as the US Dollar or the Euro are available from the DailyFX Trading Guides page. If you're looking to improve your trading approach, check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you're looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide.





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Latest US China Trade War Uncertainty Continues to Stir Forex Volatility

Posted: 08 May 2019 02:08 PM PDT

Hits: 6


CURRENCY VOLATILITY – TALKING POINTS

  • The DXY US Dollar Index reflects a 1-week implied volatility of 5.86 percent which is its highest reading since April 25 ahead of Q1 US GDP data
  • Currency volatility has ticked higher after touching unprecedented lows last month in response to the latest uncertainty surrounding trade talks between the US and China
  • The 'trade war currency pairs' like USDCNH and USDMXN are in focus with skyrocketing 1-week implied volatility measures while NZDUSD and USDJPY price action remains of interest
  • Take a look at this article for information on the How to Trade the Top 10 Most Volatile Currency Pairs or download the free DailyFX 2Q USD Forecast for comprehensive fundamental and technical insight on the US Dollar over the second quarter

According to the 1-week implied volatility reading on the DXY US Dollar Index, expected price action has risen from a low of 4.79 percent last Thursday to 5.86 percent today. The recent jump in currency market volatility is primarily owed to the bombshell tweets from US President Trump on Sunday as he threated to raise tariffs on China with trade talks reportedly breaking down between the world's two largest economies.

DXY US DOLLAR INDEX 1-WEEK IMPLIED VOLATILITY PRICE CHART: DAILY TIME FRAME (AUGUST 01, 2018 TO MAY 08, 2019)

Although currency volatility measures remain relatively subdued across the major USD crosses, implied volatility on the DXY US Dollar Index still appears like it is beginning to trend higher. The recent jolt of risk has potential to escalate further if a resolution is not quickly found between the US and China over their ongoing trade war.

FOREX MARKET IMPLIED VOLATILITY AND TRADING RANGES

Latest US China Trade War Uncertainty Continues to Stir Forex VolatilityLatest US China Trade War Uncertainty Continues to Stir Forex Volatility

With major event risk for the New Zealand Dollar in hindsight, NZDUSD implied volatility has dropped from multi-year highs after a dovish RBNZ cut its policy interest rate. Although, uncertainty over the outcome of ongoing trade talks between the US and China has caused NZDUSD implied volatility to tick higher on balance. This is likely due to New Zealand's high level of dependence on economic activity out of China – the risk posed by elevated trade deal tension has consequently weighed on expected price action in the Kiwi.

Likewise, the size of price swings in the Japanese Yen has also risen as of late. Spot USDJPY has recorded a string of moves lower amid the recent shift by traders towards 'anti-risk' in response to the flareup in trade war uncertainty and the accompanying headwind to global economic growth it could pose. In fact, USDJPY 1-week implied volatility currently sits at 7.56 percent – well above its year-to-date average of 5.74 percent.

US CHINA TRADE WAR RISK AND CURRENCY VOLATILITY

While both NZDUSD and USDJPY have been undoubtedly impacted by the latest US China trade war developments, currency price action in the Chinese Yuan and Mexican Peso also reflect heightened market risk and uncertainty. CNY has come under pressure as forex traders reflect the reduced likelihood that the US and China reach a deal this week which pushed USDCNH above the 6.8000 handle to its highest level since January.

USDCNH PRICE CHART VS IMPLIED VOLATILITY: DAILY TIME FRAME (SEPTEMBER 03, 2018 TO MAY 08, 2019)

USDCNH Price Chart US China Trade War Currency Volatility

Moves in USDCNH could signal trade talks between the US and China are deteriorating if advances in the currency pair are considered to suggest a reduced likelihood that a trade agreement will be reached. The decline in spot USDCNH prior its spike higher over the last few days was driven primarily by growing expectations that there would be a Sino-American trade war resolution. With USDCNH overnight and 1-week implied volatility at 8.41 percent and 7.35 percent respectively, which are the highest readings since December 2018, forex markets are still anticipating heightened price action.

That being said, the outcome of trade talks this week will likely dictate where CNY heads from here and cause USDCNH to either whipsaw lower or exacerbate its move higher. While tweets early Wednesday from President Trump seemed optimistic that Chinese negotiators are still coming to the US for a trade deal this week, officials from China have stated that they plan to retaliate on Trump's tariff increase scheduled to take effect Friday.

USDMXN PRICE CHART: DAILY TIME FRAME (FEBRUARY 24, 2019 TO MAY 08, 2019)

USDMXN Price Chart Ahead of Mexico CPI

Turning attention to the Mexico Peso, USDMXN implied volatility jumped to 12.47 percent and 9.89 percent for the overnight and 1-week tenors respectively. Since the trade war has dampened economic activity between the US and China, Mexico has taken place as America's top trading partner. As tariffs on Chinese goods have stymied the country's exports to the US, Mexico has reaped the benefits by increasing its own exports to the US.

However, weak import demand from the US was reflected in Mexico's GDP report released late last month in addition to dampened consumption and business investment. Uncertainty surrounding trade policy from the US – including the pending USMCA deal – has been labeled as a primary factor to recent weakness in Mexico's economic data.

Also, with Mexico's CPI slated for release Thursday at 13:00 GMT, this high-impact economic event could expose USDMXN to additional price swings over the short term. Judging by USDMXN overnight implied volatility, currency traders might expect spot prices to fluctuate between 18.9458 and 19.1946 with a 68 percent statistical probability over the next 24 hours. If April year-over-year inflation in Mexico is reported below expectations of 4.4 percent, the Peso could weaken further against the greenback. Conversely, a better than expected CPI number has potential of pushing USDMXN lower.

TRADING RESOURCES

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, DailyFX has multiple resources available to help you: an indicator for monitoring trader sentiment; quarterly trading forecasts; analytical and educational webinars held daily; trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and even one for those who are new to FX trading.

– Written by Rich Dvorak, Junior Analyst for DailyFX

– Follow @RichDvorakFX on Twitter

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2019-05-08 20:27:00

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Disney Earnings: DIS Stock Gains on Q2 EPS, Revenue Beat Disney Earnings: DIS Stock Gains on Q2 EPS, Revenue Beat

Posted: 08 May 2019 01:52 PM PDT

Hits: 11


Disney (NYSE:DIS) reported its latest quarterly earnings results after hours today, bringing in earnings and revenue that were stronger than what analysts called for, lifting DIS stock.

Disney EarningsThe Burbank, Calif.-based entertainment business brought in adjusted earnings of $1.61 per share when excluding certain items, topping the $1.58 per share that the Wall Street consensus estimate called for, according to the Refinitiv survey of analysts. During the period, the company completed its $71 billion acquisition of Fox's entertainment assets, which brings in popular Fox shows like The Simpsons as part of its plan to improve its direct-to-consumer offerings.

Disney added that its revenue for the period tallied up to $14.92 billion, which was stronger than the $14.36 billion that Wall Street projected, according to Refinitiv. The company booked roughly $373 million in revenue, as well as $25 million in operating income from 11 days' ownership of 21st Century Fox, which Disney acquired on March 20.

The company's direct-to-consumer segment surged roughly 15% year-over-year, coming in at $955 million. Disney also recorded at a one-time gain of $4.9 billion from the revaluation of the company's original 30% stake in Hulu, which was seen at $15 billion when it bought a 10% stake from AT&T last month.

The business' next quarterly report will reflect the success of the company's latest blockbuster film Avengers: Endgame, which brought in more than $2 billion in ticket sales in a week and a half.

DIS stock is up about 0.6% after hours on Wednesday following the company's quarterly earnings results. Shares had been gaining 1.2% during regular trading hours.

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5 Top Stock Trades for Thursday: Look at These Winners

Posted: 08 May 2019 01:16 PM PDT

Hits: 6


The stock market gave bulls a little reprieve on Wednesday, rallying slightly on optimism over a potential trade deal. However, there have been some stocks that have shown relative strength over the past few days compared to the broader market. There are also strong names that are barely down compared to their peers. What are they? Let's look at some top stock trades that have been holding up.

Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #1: Microsoft

top stock trades for MSFT
Click to Enlarge

A very orderly pullback has occurred in Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT). For two straight sessions, MSFT stock has tested and held the 20-day moving average. I like simple setups and this one is simple.

A break below Tuesday's low can stop short-term bulls out, who can look to get long again near $121 and/or the 50-day moving average. A bounce back to $130 could be in the cards if the 20-day holds up.

Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #2: JPMorgan

top stock trades for JPMtop stock trades for JPM
Click to Enlarge

After a strong reaction to earnings last month, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) stock has been surprisingly resilient over the last few weeks and days. The pullback is very similar to MSFT, in that the 20-day moving average continues to hold as support.

A break below $110 could trigger a move to fill the gap back near $107. With the 50-day and 200-day moving average in this area, as well as prior resistance near $106, I would feel comfortable nibbling JPM for a longer-term position down near this level.

Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #3: Okta

top stock trades for OKTAtop stock trades for OKTA
Click to Enlarge

Now let's look at some stocks with relative strength. That is, the ones that are outperforming at a time where the market is under pressure. Watching these names are very important, because they are usually the ones that perform the best when the market snaps back and begins to rally. Take note of that (just like you should take note of the chart for Realty Income (NYSE:O)).

If you only looked at Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA) this week, you probably wouldn't even know there was a selloff in the stock market. Shares continue to trend higher and so long as it maintains the 20-day moving average, it will likely continue that trend. I'm a buyer on a pullback into the 20-day.

So long as it maintains $100 in the short-term, $110 is doable. As always though, know your timeframe and risk tolerance.

Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #4: Starbucks

 


Click to Enlarge

Like Okta, Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) is showing no signs of stress. In fact, the stock is making a brand new high on Wednesday. Eventually these trends will end, but at a time where the market is under pressure, now is not the time to bail on SBUX.

Bulls can stay long against the 20-day moving average. A break below will cause short-term investors to consider locking in some gains, but over $76 and Starbucks still looks good.

Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #5: Chipotle

top stock trades for CMGtop stock trades for CMG
Click to Enlarge

Chipotle (NYSE:CMG) pulled back a few weeks ago, but has been strong all week while the overall market has been under pressured.

Amid its selloff, CMG just touched its 50-day and maintained uptrend support (blue line). The setup is simple here, too. A breakout over $720 triggers more gains. A break the 20-day and uptrend support likely summons another test of the 50-day.

Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Bret Kenwell is long SBUX. 

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Get Your Share of the "Billion-Barrel Jackpot"

Posted: 08 May 2019 12:53 PM PDT

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The rapidly growing cannabis space has provided some of the most exciting investment opportunities …

1,440 acres of oil sands in Eastern Utah may spell “jackpot” for one tiny oil company.

That’s because this small oil tech innovator has figured out how they can extract over a billion barrels of oil resources.

Even better? They actually clean up the environment as they’re extracting oil.

It’s revolutionary technology, and the best part is this tiny “clean oil” company is practically unheard of until now.

This creates a HUGE for early investors to “win the lottery” on this groundbreaking “clean oil” technology.

Full Story Here

With patented mobile technology that allows them to literally extract oil from sand, this oil company isn’t finished yet.

In fact, they’re currently in talks with the United Nations to take their clean and environmentally-responsible extraction technology to big-wig OPEC nations such as Kuwait.

Early investors could be reaping the rewards for decades to come, but it’s only a matter of time until this company becomes a household name.

Read the Full Report Here

Click here for more information from The Trading Letter.

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4 IPOs That Have Fallen Flat 

Posted: 08 May 2019 12:39 PM PDT

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Friday is set to be a big day for U.S. markets, with President Trump expected to push ahead with new tariffs on Chinese imports and Uber — the unicorn of unicorns that really represents the current VC-backed craze — debuts in its eagerly awaited IPO.

Expectations are extremely high, as billions in private capital has funneled into pre-IPO companies in the hope of getting in early on the next Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) or Facebook (NASDAQ:FB). But all the capital available has resulted in many companies staying private longer, avoiding the rush to IPO that typified prior cycles, and thus seeing valuations soar in multiple venture capital funding rounds.

Uber could mark the end of this amid a recent rush to get out the door as stocks have pushed to new record highs in recent days. The action has the feeling of musical chairs, with everyone rushing to cash out before the music stops.

But with many newly minted IPOs showing modest, at best, financial performance it's unsurprising many are faltering under the scrutiny that comes with being publicly traded. Here are four recent IPOs that have fallen flat:

Lyft (LYFT)


Click to Enlarge

Uber's most direct competitor here in the U.S., Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT), IPO'd in late March to great fanfare only to see its stock crater in the weeks that followed. A fresh breakdown is underway now, taking shares below a two-month consolidation range. Uber is sucking the air out of the room, alongside a drivers' strike and realization that the road to profitability will be long and troubled and unlikely to be driven by the dockless bikes and scooters you see littered on the streets of America's largest cities.

The company will next report results on Aug. 6 after the close. The company last reported on May 7 with a loss of $9.02 per share beating estimates by $1.86.

Snap (SNAP)


Click to Enlarge

Shares of Snapchat parent Snap (NYSE:SNAP) have crossed back below their 50-day moving average in what looks like the beginning of the end for the powerful uptrend that started in January and saw shares jump more than 50%. Watch for prices to drift lower on profit-taking as SNAP stock remains well below its 2017 IPO price. Analyst opinion has been mixed, with a series of downgrades in April followed by a batch of upgrades in May.

The company will next report results on July 23 after the close. Analysts are looking for a loss of 21 cents per share on revenues of $359.1 million. When the company last reported on April 23, a loss of 10 cents per share beat estimates by 2 cents on a 38.9% rise in revenues.

Stitch Fix (SFIX)


Click to Enlarge

Clothes-in-a-box provider Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX) debuted to great fanfare in late 2017 as it seemed poised to disrupt the fashion industry with its army of stylists and its "try at home" convenience. But shares have lost roughly 50% from their post-IPO high and are mired in a trading range below its 200-day moving average as competitors popped up and heavyweights like Amazon have waded into its territory.

The company will next report results on June 10 after the close. Analysts are looking for a loss of 1 cent per share on revenues of $395.1 million. When the company last reported on March 11, earnings of 12 cents per share beat estimates by 7 cents on a 25% rise in revenues.

Sonos (SONO)


Click to Enlarge

Bluetooth speaker maker Sonos (NASDAQ:SONO) IPO'd in the summer of 2018 and has since also lost roughly 50% from its post-IPO high. Shares have once again cut below its 50-day moving average and remain mired in a six-month consolidation range. The space is highly competitive, with Amazon and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) among the heavyweights pushing into the space as the company lacks a strong economic moat or unique intellectual property.

The company will next report results on May 9 after the close. Analysts are looking for a loss of 35 cents per share on revenues of $215.6 million. When the company last reported on Feb. 6, earnings of 55 cents per share beat estimates by 11 cents on a 193.5% rise in revenues.

As of this writing, William Roth did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

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Triangle pattern in EURUSD that remains in a bearish medium-term trend.

Posted: 08 May 2019 12:22 PM PDT

Hits: 7


EURUSD is trading in a tight range forming a triangle pattern. Today we saw price get rejected at the upper triangle boundary and support is at 1.1150. Failure to hold this level will open the way for new lows as price remains inside a longer-term bearish channel.

Red lines – bearish channel

Black lines – triangle pattern

EURUSD is moving mostly sideways inside the black triangle. Price is also inside the red bearish channel we have mentioned many times in our previous posts. As long as price is inside this channel we remain bearish. Breaking above the upper triangle boundary will challenge the upper red channel boundary. If however the triangle is broken downwards we should expect price to move towards 1.11 and lower. Resistance is at 1.1220-1.1250 area. Breaking above this area would be a bullish sign. Until then we remain bearish.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
2019-05-08 18:35:09



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5 Reasons Why You Should Buy Aphria Right Now

Posted: 08 May 2019 12:01 PM PDT

Hits: 11


Marijuana stocks are a risky bunch, there's no denying that. But at the same time, they also present a potentially very lucrative investing opportunity. And I would argue that Aphria (NYSE:APHA) is one of the best marijuana stocks out there.

Aphria produces and sells medical cannabis direct to registered patients across Canada. It was the first Canadian LP to exclusively utilize greenhouses, and is one of the lowest-cost producers in the Canadian industry. Aphria has current production capacity of 115,000 kg per year, and plans to expand to 255,000 kg/year during 2019, making it one of the world's largest cannabis companies.

The company offers sativa, indica and hybrid medical marijuana products, as well as cannabis oils. According to Aphria, it is the first public-licensed medical cannabis producer to report positive cash flow from operations and the first to report positive earnings in consecutive quarters.

True, the company is not without its fair share of baggage (more on this later). However, I believe that's partly why the stock remains so persistently undervalued. So in a bid to bring Aphria's virtues to light, here are five reasons why this marijuana stock deserves a closer look right now:

Reasons to Buy Aphria Stock: All the Analysts Say So


Click to Enlarge
Let's start with this simple fact. All the analysts currently covering Aphria rate the stock a "buy" — no hold or sell ratings here. This includes top-rated analysts with a strong track record of successful stock picking. I am talking about GMP FirstEnergy's Martin Landry, Clarus analyst Noel Atkinson, and PI Financial's Jason Zandberg.

"We continue to believe that Aphria has developed one of the most automated and highly sophisticated cultivation facilities in the world at Aphria One, and we expect Aphria Diamond (140,000 kg/year) to have similar capabilities once it is licensed" says Atkinson. Aphria Diamond is essentially completed and awaiting Health Canada inspection to begin cultivation.

The screenshot above says everything about the Street's "strong buy" take on APHA stock.

 

It Has Massive Upside Potential

Reasons to Buy Aphria Stock: All the Analysts Say SoReasons to Buy Aphria Stock: All the Analysts Say So

Source: Shutterstock

Unlike some other cannabis stocks, Aphria doesn't look overvalued — far from it. The company has an average analyst price target of $18. Given that the stock is currently trading at just $7, this figure suggests shares can surge by a whopping 157%. Bear in mind that shares exploded by 500% in the last three years, but then pulled back 59% in 2018. The fall came after the company was blasted by a short-seller report.

So far in 2019, the stock is up 12% in spite of a precipitous drop in April after earnings. And analysts see significant further upside ahead. "If management can guide the pending production ramp effectively, we believe there is the potential for a very substantial re-rating of the stock price from current levels" writes Clarus' Noel Atkinson.

He has just ramped up his APHA price target from C$22.75 to $C24.75. The stock currently trades on the Toronto stock exchange at just $C9.32.

And as Atkinson points out, Aphria is much cheaper than other large-cap Canadian cannabis stocks. "Our tracking group of select larger Canadian LPs currently trades at … a median of 26.4x. In comparison, Aphria is currently trading at 8.9x our updated CY2020e EV/Adj. EBITDA" the analyst tells investors.

Canaccord Genuity's Matt Bottomley has a similar message: "With a sizable share price reduction as of late, we continue to believe that Aphria remains one of the more attractive large cap LPs on its relative valuation, with a two-year fwd EV/EBITDA multiple of 12.1x (vs. its most comparable peers at 19.5x) and we would remain buyers of Aphria at current levels." He is a Top 100 analyst according to TipRanks.

Explosive Revenue Growth Coming for APHA Stock

Explosive Revenue Growth Coming for APHA StockExplosive Revenue Growth Coming for APHA Stock

Source: Shutterstock

Aphria stock reported relatively soft Q3/FY19 financial results, particularly when it came to the crucial Canadian cannabis business unit. However, that's what you get when you're stuck with limited capacity and production bottlenecks.

But that's all set to change. Just after quarter-end on March 4, Aphria announced that it had finally received Health Canada licensing for the crucial Part IV/V expansion (80,000 kg/year). This is a massive — and highly automated — expansion, that will bring total annual production capacity at Aphria One to 110,000 kg.

"We still expect a very large and rapid ramp in revenues starting this summer that should deliver significant economies of scale" writes Atkinson. He adds later on: "We believe Aphria is on the cusp of a hockey-stick revenue ramp." Indeed, Aphria is targeting run-rate revenue from their Canadian cannabis unit of $500MM/year by the end of CY19 and $1 billion by the end of CY20.

Irwin Simon

short sellingshort selling

Source: Shutterstock

As alluded to above, Aphria experienced a horrendous 2018. We are talking about a hostile takeover attempt from Green Growth (OTCMKTS:GGBXF) and short-seller allegations that insiders profited from acquiring international businesses at highly inflated prices. Luckily, a special board committee found that the allegations were not true. However, both the CEO and co-founder stepped down following the investigation.

This appeased short-seller Quintessential, who tweeted: "With a new management team the company has a chance to a brighter future and we are accordingly moving on to new projects."

Now Irwin Simon is acting as CEO, and he brings with him a wealth of experience managing large-cap consumer companies. He is the founder and former CEO of multi-billion-dollar company Hain Celestial Group (NASDAQ:HAIN). And he seems to have the right idea about how to proceed:

"I want to make sure we get Canada right," Simon told BNN Bloomberg recently. "I think there's a lot of money to be made here in Canada … there's a lot of growth in Canada. Making sure you get Canada right and learning from that will be very much the right model as you go in to the U.S."

International Expansion

Earth DayEarth Day

While Aphria may be divesting U.S. assets for now, the company is making important international progress elsewhere. It has just completed a roughly $425 million deal to acquire Nuuvera. This smaller medical marijuana company is currently expanding across Europe, Africa and the Middle East.

"We believe this deal provides Aphria with what could now be the largest international footprint in the industry, as well as increased technological proficiency in extraction, distillation and processing" states analyst Matt Bottomley. He believes Nuuvera has assets in place that could be meaningful contributors over the near to medium term.

"We note that the quantum of NUU shares reported to have been held by APH insiders (less than one million) is immaterial to Nuuvera's capital structure (<1%). In our view, this does not have any bearing on the underlying fundamentals of the consolidated entity, which we believe remain strong and could now represent the most robust international strategy in the industry."

Last but not least, let's celebrate Aphria's recent tender win. On April 5, Aphria received the maximum possible five licenses (of 13 issued) to undertake domestic cannabis cultivation in Germany. Out of the 79 companies that competed in the tender, only three received licenses.

Each four-year license grants annual cultivation capacity of 200 kg. "While the German domestic cultivation will not likely be a material contributor during our forecast period, it should boost Aphria's standing in terms of achieving purchase orders from pharmacies in Germany for its export product" comments Atkinson. Get the free APHA Stock Research Report.

TipRanks.com offers exclusive insights for investors by focusing on the moves of experts: Analysts, Insiders, Bloggers, Hedge Fund Managers and more. See what the experts are saying about your stocks now at TipRanks.com. As of this writing, Harriet Lefton did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

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Gold Price Retreats From Resistance, Can Gold Bulls Take Control?

Posted: 08 May 2019 11:41 AM PDT

Hits: 6


Gold Price Talking Points:

Gold prices have continued to work within the confines of a symmetrical wedge pattern, with both the support and resistance side of the formation coming into play over the past week.

– Last week saw a support trend-line tested with bulls showing up around the prior 2019 swing low, taken from around 1266.10. But, as looked at in this week's technical forecast, a failure from bears to breakout there kept the door open for bullish strategies. After a gap-fill pullback to start this week, Gold prices rallied up to test the resistance side of the formation, which is currently helping to set the three-week-high in Gold prices.

– DailyFX Forecasts are published on a variety of currencies such as Gold, the US Dollar or the Euroand are available from the DailyFX Trading Guides page. If you're looking to improve your trading approach, check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you're looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide.

Do you want to see how retail traders are currently trading Gold? Check out our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

Gold Price Softens After Fresh Three-Week-High

Gold prices remain on the move following last week's failed breakout at 2019 lows. As looked at in this week's Technical Forecast for Gold prices, the yellow metal put in a pattern of retracement over the prior couple of months, giving back gains from the August-February bullish run. Gold prices soon found trend-line support, as taken from the August and November swing-lows from last year; and that level helped to cauterize support last week as buyers began to show-up.

Gold Price Daily Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

As looked at shortly after this week's open, that bullish stance in Gold prices remained workable after the weekend gap was filled. That took place in short order, and as pressure around risk aversion themes continued to show in the early-portion of this week, Gold prices held that support and began to rally. That move extended up to fresh three-week-highs as of this morning; but that's around the time that another trend-line came into play. This was a bearish trend-line drawn from the February and April swing-highs, and this produced a rather clear change in short-term price action as bulls pulled back from the throttle and prices sank right back down to the 1280.50 level.

Gold Price Four-Hour Chart

gold price four hour price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

At this stage, Gold prices remain in a state of digestion given that trend-line inflections over the past week have governed both the sell-off and the advance. But, as written in this week's forecast, there's a case of digestion taking place within a longer-term case of digestion; the type of backdrop that could lead into very large moves, in one direction or the other. At this stage, the bullish side of Gold prices can remain as attractive, and taken from short-term charts, that theme remains workable as there is an element of support showing at a familiar level that had previously set resistance.

The level of 1280.50 was the March swing low in Gold prices, and the initial re-test there in early-March led to a move that saw a $45 rally. This same level came into play in early-April, leading to a $30 bounce. This price was finally broken-thru in mid-April; but bears were setting support around 1266 a week later, and this level still stands as the yearly low in Gold prices.

Gold Price Two-Hour Price Chart

gold price two hour price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

Gold Price Strategy

At this stage, given the higher-lows that have shown up so far this week along with the higher-high from this morning, and the door can remain open for short-term themes of strength in Gold. Traders can watch the support zone that runs from 1275.55 for support signals, metering aggressiveness based on how and where bulls respond here. If we do see respect of the higher-lows this week, as indicated by a hold above yesterday's swing around the 1278 handle, topside continuation with a re-test of those highs will appear attractive. If price action does dig inside of yesterday's low, the topside momentum theme won't be as attractive, but it still can remain workable for those so inclined. The key there would appear to be a hold above 1275.55, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the August-February major move. If prices cannot hold above that level, then the 1266 low is exposed for a re-test and, perhaps even a bearish break upon a third test.

Gold Price Hourly Chart

gold price hourly chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

To read more:

Are you looking for longer-term analysis on the U.S. Dollar? Our DailyFX Forecasts have a section for each major currency, and we also offer a plethora of resources on Gold or USD-pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. Traders can also stay up with near-term positioning via our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

Forex Trading Resources

DailyFX offers an abundance of tools, indicators and resources to help traders. For those looking for trading ideas, our IG Client Sentiment shows the positioning of retail traders with actual live trades and positions. Our trading guides bring our DailyFX Quarterly Forecasts and our Top Trading Opportunities; and our real-time news feed has intra-day interactions from the DailyFX team. And if you're looking for real-time analysis, our DailyFX Webinars offer numerous sessions each week in which you can see how and why we're looking at what we're looking at.

If you're looking for educational information, our New to FX guide is there to help new(er) traders while our Traits of Successful Traders research is built to help sharpen the skill set by focusing on risk and trade management.

— Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

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2019-05-08 18:20:00

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01. Espresso Machines review|
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08. Gaming Monitors review|
09. Gaming Laptops review|
10. WiFi Routers review|

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