| An Important Lesson from Tech History Sometimes, history lies. Case in point: When history says that the first IC was created at Texas Instruments by now Nobelist William Kilby in September 1958 when the company lab had emptied out for vacation. Kilby's kludge was an unmanufacturable pastiche with one transistor, a capacitor, and a couple resisters linked by gold wires looping between "mesas" protruding above the surface of a germanium substrate. It never made it out of the lab except to be interred behind glass in a museum. Earlier, Texas Instruments played an indelible role in the history of semiconductors by fabricating the first silicon transistors and combining them into a transistor radio. But the real integrated circuit was created that November by Robert Noyce of Fairchild Semiconductor using a planar process on silicon with aluminum metalization (look, Ma, no looping wires!). Invented by his Belgian colleague Jean Hourni, the planar process was suited for the bulk manufacturing technique developed by Gordon Moore, Jay Last, and others at Fairchild. Now, my sage counsel Nick Tredennick, himself the designer of the historic 68000 microprocessor in the Mac, cautions me not to go overboard on the Cerebras. I am willing to acknowledge that unless the folks at Cerebras move ahead to perfect it, the giganto may more resemble the Kilby kludge than the Noyce IC. The darn thing may save space in the data center, but as I wrote in Life After Google, data centers may already have passed their prime. A datacenter is mostly a gigantic refrigerator chiefly devoted to getting rid of heat. Like in a datacenter, what is really gigantic in the Cerebras CS-1 is its cooling equipment. Moreover, to deliver refined power at exactly .8 volts to its trillion transistors in 400,000 core processors, it can't just run lines across the silicon like an ordinary chip. The giganto requires a fiberglass cover to target power vertically through a million minuscule copper posts to nodes on the chip. Hey, don't knock it. It works. But the thousands of engineers around the world could do better as they work on bare chiplets and dielets and silicon interconnect fabrics as part of other schemes of wafer scale. Today, passives (that cannot be miniaturized without badly skewing their performance) consume some 80 percent or more of the printed circuit board. The greatest challenge of the new era is to subdue the clunky passives — capacitors, resistors, and inductors — and bring them into the nanoscale regime. Watch This Space Closely That's why my favorite project, still deep in stealth, mobilizes a "new phase of matter" to integrate all the passives — resistors, capacitors and inductors — in nanoscale forms. Then we can have a total integrated circuit at wafer scale that scales and may not have to be encased in a refrigerator. After all, your own graphics processors in your laptop or teleputer are air cooled. Ultimately, with the continuing advance of bandwidth three times faster than the advance of processing, the industry will continue to waste communications to save processing and refrigeration. A new second generation blockchain can pay you for the use of the mostly dormant chips in your laptop to mount a global air cooled exacomputer. That would be a computer utilizing planetary scale integration ― not on a chip or on a wafer. From Poland to Los Angeles, such projects are under way in an efflorescence of new electronics combining the nano with the giganto. Watch for it. Meanwhile, look out for plans for a Cerebras IPO. Regards,  George Gilder Editor, Gilder's Daily Prophecy |
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