On the S&P E-mini futures daily chart (ticker ES), we can see that the market is in the same range we left it in on Friday.
Even though the ES opened a little lower yesterday, it quickly bounced back and began trading within this consolidation range.
Now, there are a couple of things to mention looking at the most recent price bars here.
First, you'll notice that following the June 11 selloff (indicated by the big red bar just above where that cursor is sitting), we saw three days in a row of WHITE volume.
Hawkeye traders know that red bars indicate selling pressure…
And green bars indicate buying pressure.
But white bars indicate an EQUAL amount of buying and selling…
Or what we refer to as neutral pressure.
That means that, as of now, there's no clear indication of an impending break to either side…
Which means that it may very well be a summer of choppy price action as long as we stay within this consolidation range.
Now, if you look a little more closely at that chart, you'll notice little yellow dots at the bottom of certain price bars…
And at the tops of a few others.
Those are Hawkeye Pivots…
And when we see one of those form at the top or bottom of a new bar, we adjust the top or bottom range of our channel to align with it.
That's what we call "tightening the channel"...
And just like a coil spring, it means the market is building and storing up energy until it pops…
And we see a breakout to either the upside or the downside.
So, what does all that mean with regard to the "bubble" some financial media have been talking about?
Well, with as much neutral pressure as we've seen of late AND price trading within this well-defined consolidation range…
Hawkeye so far has not shown any indications of the market trading down.
… But it hasn't shown any signs of it trading up, either.
And until we see a new Pivot form and a tightening of the channel, I suspect we'll watch price continue to bounce around within this current range.
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