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| We posted an article recently about using alternative data to predict future outbreaks of COVID-19, suggesting that Google searches for "loss of smell" or "anosmia" predate a spike in cases by a few weeks. While at the time Europe was faring relatively well at beating back coronavirus outbreaks compared to the U.S., we did notice an uptick in those smell-related searches in a few particular regions of Spain. | | | |
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| That trend prompted us to write that "we should see the beginnings of a new outbreak from Madrid through the provinces of La Rioja and Basque Country over the next 2-4 weeks," which worked out to somewhere between July 15th to August 1st. Turns out, that prediction was as spot-on as any we have ever made. | | | | Investing Breakout | | | |
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