2018-12-04
Overview:
The USD/CAD pair is still above the level of 1.3154 since last week. Now, the current price is set at 1.3160. On the H4 chart, the resistance is seen at the levels of 1.3360 and 1.3531. Besides, the weekly support 1 is seen at the level of 1.3360. Today, the USD/CAD pair is continuing to move in a bullish trend from the new support level of 1.3154, to form a bullish channel. Amid the previous events, we expect the pair to move between 1.3154 and 1.3360. Therefore, buy above the level of 1.3360 with the first target at 1.3360 in order to test the daily resistance 1 and further to 1.3531 in coming days. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 1.3360, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the level of 1.3360. The market will decline further to 1.3154 in order to return to the weekly pivot point. Additionally, a breakout of that target will move the pair further downwards to 1.3027.
Comment:
The weekly pivot is seen at the level of 1.3154.
The market is still in an uptrend. We still prefer the bullish scenario.
Technical analysis of USD/CHF for December 04, 2018
2018-12-04
Overview:
The USD/CHF pair continue to trade upwards from the level of 0.9951 on the H4 chart. Today, the first support level is currently seen at 0.9951, the price is moving in a bullish channel now. There are no changes in our technical outlook. The bias remains bullish in the nearest term testing 1.0142 or heigher. Furthermore, the price has been set above the strong support at the level of 0.9951, which coincides with the daily pivot point. This support has been rejected three times confirming the veracity of an uptrend. According to the previous events, we expect the USD/CHF pair to trade between 0.9951 and 1.0058. So, the support stands at 0.9951, while daily resistance is found at 1.0058. Therefore, the market is likely to show signs of a bullish trend around the spot of 1.0058. In other words, buy orders are recommended above the spot of 1.0058/0.9951with the first target at the level of 1.0142; and continue towards 1.0216. However, if the USD/CHF pair fails to break through the resistance level of 1.0058 today, the market will decline further to 0.9860.
EUR/USD analysis for December 04, 2018
2018-12-04
Recently, the EUR/USD pair has been trading upwards. The price tested the level of 1.1418. According to the H1 time – frame, I found that price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud and that price did breakout of the resistance cluster in the background, which is a sign that buyers are in control. I also found that price is above the cloud on 6 different time – frames, which is another sign of the short – term strength. My advice is to watch for buying opportunities. The upward target is set at the price of 1.1470.
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/USD for December 4, 2018
2018-12-04
EUR/USD has been quite volatile and corrective while residing inside the corrective range of 1.1200 to 1.1500 area for a few days in a row. Despite the strong likelihood of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve and persistent standoff between Italy and the EU, EUR managed to gain and sustain certain momentum, leading to more indecision and volatility.
This week EUR has been quite firm amid economic reports published recently. As a result, the currency gain impulsive momentum inside the bearish trend. There are certain measures taken by European Union today to ban money laundering on digital revenues. Moreover, the EU provided certain time for Italy to prepare a better budget proposal with a view of reducing debts than in the previous version, which whas been rejected earlier. Today French Government Budget Balance report was published with a slight increase to -87.0B from the previous figure of -87.1B and Spanish Unemployment Change report was published with a notable decrease to -1.8k from the previous figure of 52.2k which was expected to be at 34.2k. Moreover, along with ECOFIN Meeting being held today, PPI report was published with an increase to 0.8% from the previous value of 0.6% which was expected to decrease to 0.5%.
On the other hand, FED has been quite neutral. Some officials stated that they would not respond to every rise and fall in stocks that confused the market sentiment ahead of a rate hike this month. Nevertheless, this was bearish for USD. This week US ISM Manufacturing PMI report was published with a slight increase to 59.3 from the previous figure of 57.7 which was expected to decrease to 57.5 and Construction Spending report was published unchanged at -0.1% which was expected to increase to 0.4%. The mixed economic data confused the market, leading to certain weakness of USD and impulsive EUR gains today. FOMC member Williams is yet to speak about the upcoming interest rate and monetary policy decisions. Ahead of NFP this week which is expected to reveal mixed readings as well, USD is expected to be quite indecisive and slow with the progress ahead of the rate hike this month.
Meanwhile, further volatility and correction is expected in this pair. EUR found support from economic reports. USD is gaining ground with the sentimental bias ahead of Rate Hike this month. After NFP, the market will be able to express sentiment in this pair, leading to a certain trend direction before the year end.
Now let us look at the technical view. The price is currently residing below 1.1430-1.1500 resistance area while being in the bearish trend with certain volatility. As the price remains below 1.1500 area with a daily close, the bearish bias is expected to continue in the pair with a target towards 1.1200 area in the coming days. On the other hand, if the price breaks above 1.1500 with a daily close, the bearish bias is expected to convert to bullish resulting to price pushing higher towards 1.1600-50 area in the future.
SUPPORT: 1.1200, 1.1300
RESISTANCE: 1.1430, 1.1500, 1.1600-50
BIAS: BEARISH
MOMENTUM: VOLATILE
GBP/USD analysis for December 04, 2018
2018-12-04
Recently, the GBP/USD pair has been trading upwards. The price tested the level of 1.2839. According to the M30 time – frame, I found that GBP/USD is trading above the pivot resistance 1, which is a sign that the pair is gaining momentum. My advice is to watch for buying opportunities. The upward target is set at the price of 1.2870.
Get Bonus No Deposite in your Trading Account now and add this currency pair to your forex portfolio, enjoy your trading with us!
No comments:
Post a Comment