AI Meets Aviation For aircraft design, artificial intelligence landing gear, engineering, CAD, computational fluid dynamics, and 3D printed components, Sabrewing opened a Silicon Valley lab in Mountain View. Developed by a team from such companies as McDonnell Douglas and FedEx, partly financed in Japan, and named for a mythical pterodactyl in A Game of Thrones — the Rhaegal could ultimately revolutionize aviation and commerce. Who can imagine what exotic “containers” may ultimately be invented for the new vessel or technology platform as it revitalizes the learning curves and possibilities of controlled flight? As De Reyes writes, “The Rhaegal uses an AI landing system to spot obstacles from above, including vehicles, people, rocks, and uneven surfaces… including landing pads aboard ships at sea.” It can land in mud, snow, sand, marsh, or deep puddles. Its AI also provides a “Detect and Avoid (DAA) system that can avoid any air traffic that may cross its path, using an array of radar from Garmin, cameras from Iris Automation, and Lidar from Attollo — which collectively enable far more flexible routing than previous terrestrial systems. “Prior to takeoff, the operator loads into the computer an exact flight plan, provided by the air traffic control authorities that includes procedures for departing in any weather and sets the frequencies, routes, and clearances to the final destination. “That way,” says De Reyes, “it can find its way home even if it loses communication with the operator or air traffic control.” With a weight and size that incurs Federal Aviation Administration regulations that mean it must remain in contact with air traffic control at all times, the Rhaegal’s “pilot” can reside anywhere. It controls the craft through a satellite link that connects through the onboard AI “cockpit” to local air traffic control. Now, this innovation seems to fit nearly all of Ridley’s criteria — gradual, evolutionary, serendipitous, recombinant, team-based, inexorable, entailing trial and error, and different from invention. It certainly springs from a pullulating web of technologies and inventions around the world. But it may not be so “gradual” as he says. Sabrewing took just four years to launch its invention. Not exactly serendipitous, but coming from a process of planning by a team of near geniuses in the related fields. Today’s Prophecy To put it all together in a company and deliver it to the world in four years, it took De Reyes, a test pilot and engineer who had previously patented the invention of a nitrogen powered turbine engine that does not combust any fuel at all. If Sabrewing prevails in the global contest for the next delivery system for global commerce, let’s call him the inventor. But nothing about this process is usefully described in Ridley’s grandiose hollow theory as creating “improbable order” by “expending and converting energy” in some “crystallized consequence of energy generation” beginning with an “improbable arrangement of synaptic activity in [De Reyes’] brain.” Hey, folks, let’s all acknowledge than in an age of information — and all human epochs are dominated by intellect — thermodynamic theories of entrepreneurship as “reassembling chemical elements” are merely new materialist superstitions. They have less real-world relevance than the most far-fetched religions. Takeaway: Understanding the prospects for investment in the new economy, the entropy of information theory is far more useful than the cosmic religions of thermodynamics. Regards, George Gilder Editor, Gilder's Daily Prophecy P.S. 5G is the talk of the town, but are you too late to get rich off of the 5G revolution? You may have missed the boat. At least, missed enough of it to make a fortune. However, that doesn’t mean you’re out of luck entirely. Click here to watch this video of my publisher Doug, one of our top analysts and myself talk more about an opportunity I like to call "15G." |
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