Blinded by the Light: How the Illusion of an All-Optical Network Led Me to My Favorite Portfolio Addition So Far Dear Daily Prophecy Reader, Happy Monday! I hope all of you enjoyed the long week. Below you'll find an excerpt from the June issue of The George Gilder Report. If you're not already a subscriber to The George Gilder Report, you can go here to discover more information on how to gain access to the full research. Keep scrolling… I first met Dave Welch in the late-1990s when he was the chief technology officer at JDS Uniphase. Makers of lasers, modulators, and amplifiers for fiber optics, Uniphase was becoming the "Intel of the Telecosm." But its stock collapsed like nearly everyone else's in the telecom financial crash of 2000. Dave and I had a running debate… The topic was the legitimacy of an all-optical network versus an optoelectronic network, of which Dave would become a great pioneer. At the time, using the then prevailing metaphors of "information highways," "lanes," and "lambdas," I was a photonic purist — pursuing my calculus of abundance and scarcity into blinding boulevards of light. In other words, I believed in the dream of all-optical networks. I wrote in Telecosm… Today the ascendant technology is optics and the canonical abundance is bandwidth. Companies focused on jamming more and more information packets down a single lane bitstream — as if there were no bandwidth to spare — will lose to companies that waste bandwidth in order to build capacious multi-lane highways with each lane running well below capacity. For lanes, think wavelengths or lambdas. I was enthralled by the vision of fiber optics inventor Will Hicks of a wavelength: a "lambda number for everyone in the world." |
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