[Market Outlook] Soft Commodities Firming

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Soft Commodities Firming

Hi Trader,

Three key US equity stock indexes (SPY, QQQ, DIA) modestly sold off, -1.0% on average while longer term laggards Small and Mid-Caps (IWM and MDY) improved. Major sector rotation is occurring as we await the outcome of the US elections.

Considering the venomous politics taking place it's not a big surprise that the dollar is getting hit while our democracy is being questioned.

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Meanwhile, at least for the moment, domestically markets don't seem to care and they are acting mostly bullish.

The highlights of this week's market action are the following:

  • Risk gauges stayed positive
  • Volume patterns show institutional distribution in the key equity benchmarks (DIA, SPY, QQQ) with the exception being Small Caps (IWM) which is under accumulation
  • US bonds (TLT) sold off hard breaking down under 200 DMA
  • Small and Mid-Caps are trading above short-term MA's and showing life verses the S&P 500
  • Value trying hard to make a comeback
  • Rotation into Regional Banks, up over 8% for the week
  • Transportation and the Retail Sector also performed well
  • Market Internals improved with the McClellan Oscillator stabilizing and avoiding a sell signal
  • Emerging Markets continued its recent leadership on our daily charts (over both US equities and established foreign markets) with commodity sensitive countries leading
  • Dollar weakness continues, especially against China's Yuan

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Best wishes for your trading,

Keith Schneider
CEO
MarketGauge

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