[Mish's Daily] How to Effectively Use a Moving Average Confirmation Rule

June 21, 2021
How to Effectively Use a Moving Average Confirmation Rule
Written by Forrest Crist-Ruiz

Friday, the major indices including the small-caps Russell 2000 (IWM) and S&P 500 (SPY) closed underneath their 50-Day moving average.

However, on Monday, both reversed and ended the day above their 50-DMA.

With Friday's weak price action, any bearish traders who decided to short these indices based on a break of the 50-DMA would now be underwater in their trades.

For this reason, we follow a simple rule to confirm price breaks under or over major moving averages.

The rule is to wait for the price to close for 2 consecutive days under/over the 50-DMA.

Often price can temporarily dip or clear a pivotal MA before reversing.

Bye for now,

Mish and Forrest

MICHELE SCHNEIDER
Director of Research & Education
MarketGauge

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