Forex News 24 |
- Nearly Triple Your Profits…Automatically
- What’s Next for the Fed, ECB, and RBA?
- Analysis of Gold for June 05,.2019
- AT&T (T) Stock Could Finally Break Through Resistance and Rally
- Dow Jones & DAX 30 Price Outlook
- What’s Next for the Fed, ECB, and RBA?
- Unusual Options Activity: Target (TGT)
- 7 Stocks to Buy That Don’t Care About Tariffs
- DXY Do or Die into NFP
- 7 ETFs to Buy For a Balanced Portfolio
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| What’s Next for the Fed, ECB, and RBA? Posted: 06 Jun 2019 01:17 PM PDT Hits: 10 Central Bank Weekly Talking Points
Looking for longer-term forecasts on the Australian Dollar, Euro, and US Dollar? Check out the DailyFX Trading Guides. With trade wars rising around the globe, central banks have begun to take steps to shore up the world's largest economies. The first week of June produced two rate decisions from the Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday and the European Central Bank on Thursday, and both policy meetings produced the same tone: the economic environment is expected to be weaker over the coming months. Meanwhile, even though the Federal Reserve doesn't meet until June 18-19, Fed Chair Jerome Powell made clear that the FOMC is taking a more dovish view of the world as well. Fed Funds Pricing Two Potential Rate Cuts in 2019Earlier this week, Fed Chair Powell said that policymakers are now "closely monitoring" the impact of trade developments.To this end, as the US recovery approaches 10 years old next month – the longest stretch of economic growth in US history – Fed Chair Powell has also said that the Fed will "act as appropriate" to help sustain the expansion. Traders have taken these comments as a sign that the Fed's rate hike cycle is officially done, and rather than holding on rates in 2019 and hiking once in 2020 (per the FOMC's most recent Summary of Economic Projections), Fed policymakers will act to cut rates twice this year. This has been detrimental for the US Dollar. Federal Reserve Rate Expectations (June 6, 2019) (Table 1)The likelihood of dovish policy action in 2019 has increased significantly in recent days. Recall that prior to the May Fed meeting on May 1, there was a 68% chance of a 25-bps rate cut by December; those odds have risen to 96%. The odds of two rate cuts has shot up as well: Fed funds futures are pricing in a 94% chance of a first 25-bps rate cut by September and an 84% chance of a second 25-bps rate cut by December. Two More Rate Cuts Possible This Year for RBAThe RBA has been signaling a desire to cut rates for several months now, but has been sidelined thanks to the federal elections last month. The June RBA policy meeting was the first rate decision after the Australian federal elections, and the RBA – now clear and free of being labeled politically motivated – took the opportunity to cut its main rate by 25-bps from 1.00% to 1.25%. Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Expectations (June 6, 2019) (Table 2)
This may be the beginning of a series of rate cuts in 2019 by the RBA. According to overnight index swaps, rates markets are pricing in a 76% chance of a 25-bps rate cut by August and there is an 84% chance of a rate cut by the end of the year. However, if the RBA does indeed cut its main rate again in August, overnight index swaps are pricing in a 58% chance of a second 25-bps rate cut at the November rate decision. Rates Markets See No ECB Action in 2019The June ECB meeting came and went without surprising anyone in the slightest. After pre-announcing a third TLTRO program earlier this year, ECB President Mario Draghi used today's meeting to fill in some of the details – which proved neither too generous or onerous, leaving little room for a surprised market reaction. Against the backdrop of weak economic growth and soft inflation expectations, ECB President Draghi made clear that interest rates would remain low for the foreseeable future, noting that the current forward guidance on low rates was valid through the first half of 2020 (although, who is he to say that, given his term ends in October 2019?). Yet, that doesn't mean more dovish action is coming: the threshold for more stimulus is high as the ECB's Governing Council sees a "very low probability" of a recession this year. In turn, Euro prices are making an attempt at bottoming. European Central Bank Rate Cut Expectations (June 6, 2019) (Table 3)
According to overnight index swaps, the low rate forward guidance has been mostly priced-in, given that there is a low 37% chance of a 10-bps cut to the deposit rate this year (and only a 24% chance before ECB President Draghi's term ends in October). Given that a new ECB president may want to shift course, rates markets haven't completely absorbed the notion that no rate moves are coming in the first half of 2020; there is a 53% chance of a 10-bps cut to the deposit rate in March 2020. FX TRADING RESOURCESWhether you are a new or experienced trader, DailyFX has multiple resources available to help you: an indicator for monitoring trader sentiment; quarterly trading forecasts; analytical and educational webinars held daily; trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and even one for those who are new to FX trading. — Written by Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Currency Strategist To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail at cvecchio@dailyfx.com Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX View our long-term forecasts with the DailyFX Trading Guides http://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js Can you get prosperous from fx trading? The serve is if you go from river forex, and promiscuous forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is farm in forex 1 symbol canadian, netdania forex, buy increase vantage of the forex scheme indicators, and account the mean fx strategy. We present follow win all.
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| Analysis of Gold for June 05,.2019 Posted: 06 Jun 2019 01:06 PM PDT Hits: 6 Gold has been trading sideways in pat 10 hours but we still see more upside potential. Gold found intraday balance at $1.335 but the break of the $1.337 would confirm further upward continuation Blue rectangle – Resistance $1.345 Gray rectangle- Resistance 2 ($1.361) White lines – Balance range Strong demand for the Gold caused increase in upward momentum and very stable Gold. Our advice is to watch for buying opportunities. The brekout of the $1.337 would confirm further upward continuation with potential targets at $1.345 and $1.361. Support levels are seen at the price of $1.332 and 1.326. MACD is in positive teritory and Stochastic oscillator did up flip, which are all signs of further upward movement. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com Can you get moneyed from fx trading? The statement is if you go from river forex, and gentle forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is paste in forex 1 clam river, netdania forex, eff grumbling plus of the forex scheme indicators, and defect the counseling fx strategy. We module win win all.
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| AT&T (T) Stock Could Finally Break Through Resistance and Rally Posted: 06 Jun 2019 12:59 PM PDT Hits: 12 It's only apt to discuss AT&T (NYSE:T) during the week where the headlines are flying about breaking up great American companies like Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and even Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). Back in the day, T stock was the giant to break up.  Source: Shutterstock Today I share the opportunity to trade T stock inside a range. So I could consider this on a tactical trade but one that I don't mind turning it into an investment if price goes against my assumption. But first let's consider the fundamentals. AT&T stock is cheap in absolute term as it sells at a 12 trailing P/E ratio. This is a little bit cheaper than Verizon (NYSE:VZ) and almost twice as cheap as T-Mobile (NASDAQ:TMUS). AT&T even pays a fat 6% dividend which is not in jeopardy. So clearly owning AT&T stock at these levels is not going to result in a financial debacle. And that's the main reason that I don't mind turning this trade into an investment. I get to own a quality stock that pays me a strong dividend while I ride out any trouble. Trading T StockSo now the opportunity at hand. Although it's up about 11% year to date and in line with the S&P 500, the price action in this stock has been choppy. Since the October correction started, every time T stock approaches the area from which it fell, the sellers pile into the stock to cause the rallies to fail. This established a roof which is frustrating to the AT&T bulls but it also created an area of opportunity. One of these breakout attempts will eventually succeed and the roof will turn into a launching pad. So I could buy the shares now and hold it with a stop below. But why is now different? Energy! The short-term range is tightening into a pinpoint. The stock is bouncing off the $30.40 low and has strong momentum as it approaches the descending trend line. So we have lower highs and higher lows meeting at a point. This usually creates tension in T stock that needs to resolve itself in a breakout in either direction. My bet is that this time and since the markets in general are also rallying, the direction of the AT&T move will be UP. If so then the rally should target $35 per share. But there will be resistance lines along the way at $32 and $32.60. If the bulls can beat $33.10 there is open air above. This won't be easy because this is whole region is a pivot zone that dates back to 1996. This is another reason why I don't mind holding the shares even without a stop loss because the bottom cannot be too far below current price if I am wrong. The plot twist: Options can give me the edge here for better execution. To mitigate the risk I can use options to generate income from the support that is below T stock price this month. While I hold the shares I can sell the January T $28 put and collect $1 per contract. This lowers my out of pocket expense. But if T falls below $28 this year than I own more shares but at a breakeven price of $27 per share. For perspective, this would be an entry point as low as the December lows and we all know that it was a special bearish case then. The bottom line is that AT&T stock has value here, so it's cheap. I'd like to own it while it resurfaces above a 23-year-old pivot zone. Once above, it will be bullet-proof support and a base for a monster rally. But I recognize that we are still in the throws of an economic war so I have to expect volatility from political headlines. Nicolas Chahine is the managing director of SellSpreads.com. As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. Join his live chat room free here. Can you get rich from fx trading? The fulfill is if you go from canadian forex, and loose forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is extended in forex 1 banknote canadian, netdania forex, involve rotund plus of the forex group indicators, and stay the arrangement fx strategy. We instrument succeed win all. Can you get gilded from fx trading? The serve is if you go from canadian forex, and unchaste forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is locomote in forex 1 buck canadian, netdania forex, work chockablock advantage of the forex system indicators, and appraisal the programme fx strategy. We testament succeed win all.
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| Dow Jones & DAX 30 Price Outlook Posted: 06 Jun 2019 12:56 PM PDT Hits: 12 Dow Jones, DAX 30 Price Outlook:Dow Jones, DAX 30 Price Outlook – A Tale of Two TrendlinesThe Dow Jones and DAX 30 face divergent outlooks, with the former enjoying a breach above resistance while the latter must negotiate confluent trendlines to the topside. With the ECB meeting in the rearview, the DAX will look to round out the week with little event risk. Conversely, the Dow Jones will await Friday's Non-Farm Payroll report. Dow Jones Price Chart: Daily Time Frame (February – June 2019) (Chart 1)Earlier in the week, we highlighted the topside barrier the Dow Jones would have to surmount. Evidently, the dovish lean from Federal Reserve officials was enough to send the Industrial Average through the widely-watched 200-day moving average and the descending trendline from early May. With both levels surpassed, trades can expect them to provide some buoyancy if the Index stages a steep retracement. To the topside, confluent Fibonacci levels around 25,800 will stage resistance if the rebound continues. DAX 30 Price OutlookUnlike the Dow Jones, the DAX faces a trendline that has posed considerable resistance – refuting two attempted moves higher this week. The line originates from the lows in late December and was unbroken prior to May's gap lower. That gap has since been reclaimed, but the trendline has not. The German Index also faces a descending line from early May – the two are working in conjunction to keep the Index below. DAX 30 Price Chart: Daily Time Frame (February 2019 – June 2019) (Chart 2)
That said, some technical levels have been reclaimed. They will help to keep price afloat. Paramount of these is the 11,840 level which marks October's swing high and has offered consistent support over the last three months. Although the American and German Indices trade on opposing sides of two important trendlines, they do share a commonality. Interested in equity trading? Join Analyst Peter Hanks for his Equity Webinar, covering technical and fundamental updates for the Dow Jones, DAX 30, FTSE 100 and more. Retail traders remain overwhelmingly net-short the Dow Jones and the DAX 30. Given the contrarian nature of the indicator, the fact that traders are net-short can help bolster a bullish bias for both indices.
Retail trader data shows 33.0% of traders are net-long the Dow Jones with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.03 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 14.3% lower than yesterday and 40.7% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 13.3% higher than yesterday and 52.1% higher from last week.
Retail trader data shows 41.5% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.41 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 6.8% lower than yesterday and 33.3% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 6.4% lower than yesterday and 25.3% higher from last week. As price action unfolds, follow @PeterHanksFX on Twitter for updates. –Written by Peter Hanks, Junior Analyst for DailyFX.com Contact and follow Peter on Twitter @PeterHanksFX Read more: VIX Spike Needed to Spur Currency Volatility DailyFX forecasts on a variety of currencies such as the US Dollar or the Euro are available from the DailyFX Trading Guides page. If you're looking to improve your trading approach, check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you're looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide. http://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js Can you get luxurious from fx trading? The reply is if you go from canadian forex, and gradual forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is circulate in forex 1 greenback canadian, netdania forex, submit overloaded plus of the forex system indicators, and account the counselling fx strategy. We present win win all.
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| What’s Next for the Fed, ECB, and RBA? Posted: 06 Jun 2019 12:41 PM PDT Hits: 1 Central Bank Weekly Talking Points
Looking for longer-term forecasts on the Australian Dollar, Euro, and US Dollar? Check out the DailyFX Trading Guides. With trade wars rising around the globe, central banks have begun to take steps to shore up the world's largest economies. The first week of June produced two rate decisions from the Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday and the European Central Bank on Thursday, and both policy meetings produced the same tone: the economic environment is expected to be weaker over the coming months. Meanwhile, even though the Federal Reserve doesn't meet until June 18-19, Fed Chair Jerome Powell made clear that the FOMC is taking a more dovish view of the world as well. Fed Funds Pricing Two Potential Rate Cuts in 2019Earlier this week, Fed Chair Powell said that policymakers are now "closely monitoring" the impact of trade developments.To this end, as the US recovery approaches 10 years old next month – the longest stretch of economic growth in US history – Fed Chair Powell has also said that the Fed will "act as appropriate" to help sustain the expansion. Traders have taken these comments as a sign that the Fed's rate hike cycle is officially done, and rather than holding on rates in 2019 and hiking once in 2020 (per the FOMC's most recent Summary of Economic Projections), Fed policymakers will act to cut rates twice this year. This has been detrimental for the US Dollar. Federal Reserve Rate Expectations (June 6, 2019) (Table 1)
The likelihood of dovish policy action in 2019 has increased significantly in recent days. Recall that prior to the May Fed meeting on May 1, there was a 68% chance of a 25-bps rate cut by December; those odds have risen to 96%. The odds of two rate cuts has shot up as well: Fed funds futures are pricing in a 94% chance of a first 25-bps rate cut by September and an 84% chance of a second 25-bps rate cut by December. Two More Rate Cuts Possible This Year for RBAThe RBA has been signaling a desire to cut rates for several months now, but has been sidelined thanks to the federal elections last month. The June RBA policy meeting was the first rate decision after the Australian federal elections, and the RBA – now clear and free of being labeled politically motivated – took the opportunity to cut its main rate by 25-bps from 1.00% to 1.25%. Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Expectations (June 6, 2019) (Table 2)
This may be the beginning of a series of rate cuts in 2019 by the RBA. According to overnight index swaps, rates markets are pricing in a 76% chance of a 25-bps rate cut by August and there is an 84% chance of a rate cut by the end of the year. However, if the RBA does indeed cut its main rate again in August, overnight index swaps are pricing in a 58% chance of a second 25-bps rate cut at the November rate decision. Rates Markets See No ECB Action in 2019The June ECB meeting came and went without surprising anyone in the slightest. After pre-announcing a third TLTRO program earlier this year, ECB President Mario Draghi used today's meeting to fill in some of the details – which proved neither too generous or onerous, leaving little room for a surprised market reaction. Against the backdrop of weak economic growth and soft inflation expectations, ECB President Draghi made clear that interest rates would remain low for the foreseeable future, noting that the current forward guidance on low rates was valid through the first half of 2020 (although, who is he to say that, given his term ends in October 2019?). Yet, that doesn't mean more dovish action is coming: the threshold for more stimulus is high as the ECB's Governing Council sees a "very low probability" of a recession this year. In turn, Euro prices are making an attempt at bottoming. European Central Bank Rate Cut Expectations (June 6, 2019) (Table 3)
According to overnight index swaps, the low rate forward guidance has been mostly priced-in, given that there is a low 37% chance of a 10-bps cut to the deposit rate this year (and only a 24% chance before ECB President Draghi's term ends in October). Given that a new ECB president may want to shift course, rates markets haven't completely absorbed the notion that no rate moves are coming in the first half of 2020; there is a 53% chance of a 10-bps cut to the deposit rate in March 2020. FX TRADING RESOURCESWhether you are a new or experienced trader, DailyFX has multiple resources available to help you: an indicator for monitoring trader sentiment; quarterly trading forecasts; analytical and educational webinars held daily; trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and even one for those who are new to FX trading. — Written by Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Currency Strategist To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail at cvecchio@dailyfx.com Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX View our long-term forecasts with the DailyFX Trading Guides Can you get prosperous from fx trading? The serve is if you go from river forex, and promiscuous forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is farm in forex 1 symbol canadian, netdania forex, buy increase vantage of the forex scheme indicators, and account the mean fx strategy. We present follow win all.
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| Unusual Options Activity: Target (TGT) Posted: 06 Jun 2019 12:31 PM PDT Hits: 7 Traders make a big bet on Target shares rallying into the fall. At least one trader is betting on a big rally in retailer Target (TGT). On Wednesday, a large number of contracts traded on a September $95 call option. With shares trading around $86, this represents a bet that shares will move up at least 10 percent over the summer. The option contract had over 10,000 trades, against an open interest of 104. While brick and mortar retailers have fallen in and out of favor with the market over the past few years, Target has done well expanding its e-commerce footprint to compete with the likes of Amazon. Add in decent sales in its physical stores, and the valuation of the company looks attractive. Trading at just 15 times earnings, shares trade at a discount to the overall stock market, and a move to $95 would only narrow that gap. Action to take: This looks like one options trade to follow. The retailer has done well, and continues to do well. The same September $95 strike, despite the explosion in volume, looks like an interesting bet on the brick and mortar retail space here at a cost under $180 per contract. Investors with a lower risk profile could pick up shares here and get a 3.2 percent dividend to boot.
Can you get moneyed from fx trading? The statement is if you go from river forex, and gentle forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is paste in forex 1 clam river, netdania forex, eff grumbling plus of the forex scheme indicators, and defect the counseling fx strategy. We module win win all.
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| 7 Stocks to Buy That Don’t Care About Tariffs Posted: 06 Jun 2019 12:20 PM PDT Hits: 9 May was a red month for global equities as escalating trade tensions and the worry of slowing economic growth pushed investors to sell risky assets and pile into the bond market. As a result, stocks fell sharply in May, while bonds rallied. But while the May market selloff was broad, it didn't take down every single stock in the market. Instead, there were a handful of stocks which actually rallied in May and recorded new all-time highs while the market was plunging. What was so special about this group of stocks? For one reason or another, these stocks just didn't and still don't care about tariffs. Some of these stocks are defensive in nature, so they rallied as investors tried to play defense. Others don't have much exposure to the trade war. And some of these stocks are supported by businesses with more than enough growth momentum to offset any trade-related weakness. Broadly, these stocks ignored rising trade conflicts and marched higher. They will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. As such, as global trade conflicts stick around over the next few months, the smart move is to pile into the stocks which can head higher even against that dour backdrop. Which stocks are those? Let's take a deeper look at 7 stocks to buy that don't care about tariffs. Okta (OKTA)
Investment Style: Secular Growth % Gain Since May 1: 17% At All-Time High? Yes Bull Thesis: You want to buy hyper-growth cloud company Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA) here because this is a secular growth stock with a robust growth narrative that simultaneously isn't slowing, lacks exposure to trade headwinds, and could actually benefit from a domestic economic slowdown. In a nutshell, Okta provides identity-based cloud security solutions for enterprises. This growth narrative is on fire right now (Okta reported 50%-plus revenue growth last quarter), and won't slow anytime soon. There are no trade headwinds here since Okta is a service business, and services have been exempt from trade talk thus far. Further, security spend is one thing that probably won't get hit in an economic slowdown, so this company's business model is fairly resilient to economic slowing. Overall, then, Okta is a red hot growth stock to buy now as it should remain red hot for the foreseeable future. American Electric Power (AEP)  Investment Style: Defensive % Gain Since May 1: 5% At All-Time High? Yes Bull Thesis: With respect to utility giant American Electric Power (NYSE:AEP), AEP stock looks good here because this company is as stable as it gets, is relatively resilient to an economic slowdown, and lacks exposure to anything trade-related, while the stock's yield is big and increasingly attractive as fixed-income yields plunge. When it comes to operational stability, American Electric Power is second to none. The company provides electric services to U.S. consumers. Demand for those services will not wane anytime soon. Further, trade is a non-issue here, and the stock has a nice big 3% dividend yield, which is presently as far above the 10-Year Treasury yield as it has been since late 2017. Overall, AEP stock is a stable stock with a big yield, and as such, is a high quality defensive stock to buy in today's volatile market. Dollar General (DG)  Source: Shutterstock Investment Style: Defensive & Stable % Gain Since May 1: 5% At All Time High? Yes Bull Thesis: You want to buy off-price retail giant Dollar General (NYSE:DG) here because the company is firing on all cylinders today and should continue to fire on all cylinders for the foreseeable future — even if the U.S. economy slows meaningfully. Retail had a rough start to 2019. The consumer weakened in the first quarter of 2019, and retailers felt that weakening. Across the sector, retailers put up ugly first quarter 2019 numbers. Not Dollar General. The dollar store giant's first quarter numbers were really good. Why the discrepancy? Because although the consumer may have weakened in early 2019, the off-price retail strategy still worked, mostly because the consumer's affinity for lower prices doesn't go lower when times get tough. If anything, it goes up. As such, with economic turbulence on the horizon, Dollar General has visibility to gain share and traffic over the next few quarters. That makes DG stock a solid buy here. Coupa (COUP)
Investment Style: Secular Growth % Gain Since May 1: 14% At All-Time High? Yes Bull Thesis: Hyper-growth cloud company Coupa (NASDAQ:COUP) looks good here because this company is firing on all cylinders right now with a solution that could become increasingly attractive in an economic slowdown and in a market supported by secular growth tailwinds which won't let up anytime soon. Coupa offers a cloud-based enterprise solution which is broadly aimed at helping companies become more efficient with their spend. Enterprises really like the Coupa solution. That's why this company has reported 30%-plus revenue growth for the past several quarters. Demand won't falter because of a slowing economy. If anything, a slowing economy will push demand higher since companies will increasingly want to optimize spend when dollars become more scarce. As such, this is a hyper-growth cloud company that should remain on a healthy growth trajectory for the foreseeable future. That makes COUP stock a good buy here. Coca-Cola (KO) Investment Style: Defensive % Gain Since May 1: 5% At All-Time High? Yes Bull Thesis: When it comes to beverage giant Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), you buy KO stock here for largely unparalleled defense to a global economic slowdown on top of a big yield which is becoming increasingly attractive as yields elsewhere plunge. Consumers need to drink. Regardless of the economic backdrop — super fast growth, super slow growth, or something in the middle — consumers across the globe need to drink. Coca-Cola is the heartbeat of the global beverage industry. As such, regardless of how the global economy develops over the next several quarters, Coca-Cola's numbers should remain largely stable and resilient to any slowdown. At the same time, KO stock has a juicy 3% dividend yield which is as far above the 10-Year Treasury Yield as it's been since mid-2017. Thus, in the big picture, Coca-Cola is a big and stable company with a big and stable yield. That combination makes KO stock a strong defensive stock to buy in volatile times. Shopify (SHOP)  Investment Style: Secular Growth % Gain Since May 1: 19% At All-Time High? Yes Bull Thesis: E-commerce solutions provider Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) is on fire right now, and you want to buy SHOP stock here because this fire won't die anytime soon, regardless of how the economic currents change. Shopify is enabling an entire new generation of individual and small-to-medium sized retailers to compete in the direct retail channel with the likes of Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN). This growth narrative has caught fire over the past few quarters as the e-retail market has become increasingly decentralized. This fire won't die anytime soon. The secular growth narrative of Shopify pioneering a new era of decentralized direct retail is simply too powerful to be weighed down by tariffs. That's why this company reported 50% gross merchandise sales growth last quarter in the face of tariffs. So long as this secular growth narrative maintains robust momentum, SHOP stock will continue to march higher. Roku (ROKU) Source: Shutterstock Investment Style: Secular Growth % Gain Since May 1: 60% At All Time High? Yes Bull Thesis: You want to buy OTT video platform Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) here because the company's secular growth narrative is powerful enough to offset slowing economic growth headwinds, and such headwinds could actually provide a lift to the company's user growth. The big idea at Roku is that this company is becoming the cable box of the OTT video world. That world is rapidly growing, and it won't stop growing because of an economic slowdown. If anything, growth will be supercharged by a slowdown. Consumers will finally be moved to cut expensive cable packages in bulk, and pivot towards much cheaper streaming options. Thus, the Roku growth narrative is not jut red hot right now, but could actually get even hotter if the economy slows. Because of this, Roku stock looks good here. You have a stock that's firing on all cylinders without any material headwinds on the horizon. As of this writing, Luke Lango was long OKTA, AEP, DG, SHOP, WMT, AMZN, and ROKU. Can you get rich from fx trading? The fulfill is if you go from canadian forex, and loose forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is extended in forex 1 banknote canadian, netdania forex, involve rotund plus of the forex group indicators, and stay the arrangement fx strategy. We instrument succeed win all. Can you get gilded from fx trading? The serve is if you go from canadian forex, and unchaste forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is locomote in forex 1 buck canadian, netdania forex, work chockablock advantage of the forex system indicators, and appraisal the programme fx strategy. We testament succeed win all.
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| Posted: 06 Jun 2019 12:16 PM PDT Hits: 8 In this series we scale-back and look at the broader technical picture to gain a bit more perspective on where we are in trend. The US Dollar Index is down more than 1.2% from the yearly highs registered last month with the decline now approaching support near the April lows. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the DXY weekly price chart heading into tomorrow's US Non-Farm Payroll release. Review this week's Strategy Webinar for an in-depth breakdown of this setup and more. New to Forex Trading? Get started with this Free Beginners Guide US Dollar Index Weekly Price Chart (DXY)Notes: In my April US Dollar Weekly Price Outlook we noted that DXY had, "broken above the yearly opening-range and while the broader outlook remains weighted to the topside, the immediate advance may be vulnerable IF prices fail to close the week above the 2011 parallel." Price failed to close above this slope for nearly five weeks with DXY turning lower to break below the May lows yesterday. Initial resistance now stands back at the 61.8% retracement of the 2017 decline at 97.87 backed by the 2011 parallel (red)- a breach there would shift the focus towards the slope extending off the 2017 high around the 99-handle. Look for initial support along the September trendline (blue) / April lows around ~96.75 with a break / close below confluence support around the yearly open at 96.14 needed to suggest a larger reversal is underway here. Subsequent support objectives at the yearly lows at 95.03 & the 38.2% retracement at 94.51. For a complete breakdown of Michael's trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy Bottom line: A reversal in the US Dollar Index has taken price back towards multi-month slope support – watch the weekly close. A break lower would expose key confluence support at 96.14– look for a bigger reaction there IF reached. From a trading standpoint, look to reduce short-exposure / lower protective stops on a move towards the lower parallel near 96.70s. The possibility of a near-term exhaustion rebound remains heading into NFPs while above this threshold. Ultimately a larger recovery should prove corrective and may offer more favorable entries targeting a break lower.I'll publish an updated DXY scalp setup once we get further clarity in near-term price action. — Key US Data Releases
Economic Calendar – latest economic developments and upcoming event risk. Previous Weekly Technical Charts— Written by Michael Boutros, Technical Currency Strategist with DailyFX Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex https://www.dailyfx.com/free_guide-tg.html?ref-author=Boutros http://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js Can you get luxurious from fx trading? The reply is if you go from canadian forex, and gradual forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is circulate in forex 1 greenback canadian, netdania forex, submit overloaded plus of the forex system indicators, and account the counselling fx strategy. We present win win all.
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| 7 ETFs to Buy For a Balanced Portfolio Posted: 06 Jun 2019 11:44 AM PDT Hits: 7 [Editor's Note: This Article was originally published on Jan. 24, 2019. It has since been updated] Investors are seemingly always on a quest for a portfolio they deem to be "well-balanced." Fortunately for investors seeking balance, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) make that objective significantly easier and, in many cases, less expensive than other instruments. Many of the best ETFs are inexpensive, highly liquid and span asset classes and regions, helping investors ameliorate the dreaded home country bias. Of course, what makes a well-balanced portfolio for one investor may not be properly balanced to another, but conventional wisdom does dictate that a mix of bonds and equities is a sensible starting point. From there, more aggressive investors can add in alternative asset classes, including commodities, something many of the best ETFs do in diversified fashion. In the search for balanced portfolios, here are some of the best ETFs to consider. ETFs to Buy: JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Equity ETF (BBUS) Source: Shutterstock Expense Ratio: 0.02% per year, or $2 on a $10,000 investment. You may have recently heard that a pair of ETFs launched with expense ratios of 0%. The JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Equity ETF (CBOE:BBUS) is not one of those funds, but of the ETFs with fees, the newly minted BBUS is the cheapest, charging a mere 0.02% per year. While BBUS is new (it debuted in late March), it is one of the best ETFs to act as a core building block for properly balanced portfolios. This fund holds over 620 stocks, providing investors with exposure to over 85% of the U.S. equity market. BBUS has over $30 million in assets under management, which is a decent start, but for investors that like big ETFs, expect BBUS's stature to soon increase as JPMorgan launches a robo-advisor platform. BBUS will be one of the cornerstones of that offering. BBUS allocates 21.5% of its weight to technology stocks while the healthcare and financial services sectors combine for 27.3% of the fund's roster. Investors that embrace this fund should expect long-term returns comparable to those generated by the S&P 500 or Russell 1000 indexes. iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF (IUSB)
As mentioned earlier, a well-diversified portfolio does not begin and end with stocks. It should include fixed-income exposure, too. The iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF (NASDAQ:IUSB) is one of the best ETFs for novice bond investors or those simply looking for broad-based, cost-efficient exposure to domestic bonds. The $3.57 billion IUSB, which tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Universal Index, is one of the best ETFs for bond investors seeking diversity and cost efficiencies. Home to nearly 7,900 bonds, IUSB is also one of the least expensive fixed income funds on the market today. IUSB has a 30-day SEC yield of 2.9%, a 12-month yield of 3% and an effective duration of 5.22 years. Due to heavy exposure to U.S. Treasuries and other government agency debt, credit risk is minimal with this best ETF. Bonds with AAA ratings account for 61.54% of the portfolio. WisdomTree U.S. Quality Dividend Growth Fund (DGRW)
Sure, there are cheaper dividend funds on the market, but the WisdomTree U.S. Quality Dividend Growth Fund (NASDAQ:DGRW) is one of the best ETFs in this category. Dividends, particularly when reinvested, are vital to investors' long-term outcomes, making DGRW ideal for a broad swath of market participants, be they rookies, sophisticated players or retirement planners. There are dozens of dividend ETFs for investors to consider, but DGRW's fundamentally weighted methodology stands out from the pack. A case can even be made that is a dividend ETF Warren Buffett himself would enjoy. "Return on equity (ROE) is a metric Buffett has written on extensively: it's a 'quality' indicator for stocks, reflecting how much profit a business earns relative to its net equity capital," according to WisdomTree research. DGRW's underlying index emphasizes "both ROE and return on assets (ROA) as part of the selection requirements. Using ROA as a screening criterion penalizes firms using leverage to drive ROE," notes the issuer. DGRW also pays a monthly dividend and is worth the cost of admission relative to its peer group. WisdomTree U.S. SmallCap Dividend Fund (DES)
Like its stablemate DGRW, the WisdomTree U.S. SmallCap Dividend Fund (NYSEARCA:DES) is one of the stars in its respective category. This is one of the best ETFs for income-hungry investors as well as those seeking exposure to smaller stocks because DES is historically less volatile than rival non-dividend small-cap funds. "This portfolio targets dividend payers without incurring too much risk," said Morningstar in a recent note. "Although the fund doesn't screen its holdings for profitability or dividend sustainability, a few dividend cuts across its portfolio shouldn't significantly affect its performance because it is broadly diversified and skews toward larger, more-stable names in the small-value Morningstar Category." DES allocates nearly a third of its combined weight to industrial and consumer discretionary stocks while the real estate and financial services sectors combine for 26.3%. Plus, this has long been one of the best ETFs in the small-cap value space. "From its launch in June 2006 through April 2019, the strategy has topped the small-value category average and the Russell 2000 Value Index by 1.2 and 1.0 percentage points annually, respectively, with similar risk," according to Morningstar. "The fund's favorable stock exposure within the energy and consumer discretionary sectors contributed to most to its outperformance." Vanguard Total Corporate Bond ETF (VTC)
While it is important to remember that bonds are an important part of well-balanced portfolios, investors should also remember that they should be heavily allocated to U.S. government debt. That strategy limits credit opportunities and some of the potential added upside associated with corporate bonds. Put simply, the Vanguard Total Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VTC) is one of the best ETFs for investors seeking a massive bench of investment-grade corporate bonds across varying durations and maturities. VTC is classified as an intermediate-term bond fund, but it features exposure to short-, medium- and long-dated corporate debt with almost 6,000 holdings. VTC accomplishes those objectives in cost-effective fashion by holding Vanguard's three other corporate bond ETFs, which span the aforementioned maturity categories. Over 87% of VTC's holdings are rated A or Baa and it has an average duration of 6.9 years. Vanguard Total International Bond ETF (BNDX)
Keeping with the theme of using cheap bond ETFs to enhance portfolio diversity, there is the Vanguard Total International Bond ETF (NASDAQ:BNDX). BNDX is one of the best ETFs in the fixed income arena this year in terms of both performance and asset-gathering acumen. BNDX tracks the Barclays Global Aggregate ex-USD Float Adjusted RIC Capped Index and holds nearly 5,800 bonds with an average duration of 7.8 years. There are other benefits to owning international bonds beyond making a portfolio more diverse. A fund such as BNDX can help investors access potentially higher yields than are found on domestic government bonds, gain exposure to monetary policies that are not delivered by the Federal Reserve and the potential for higher returns. Over the past three years, BNDX has outperformed the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond Index by nearly 200 basis points. iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA)
The iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (CBOE:IEFA) is one of the best ETFs for investors looking to bring cost-effective international equity exposure to their portfolios. IEFA, one of the largest ex-U.S. equity funds in the world, reflects the valuation discounts associated with many ex-U.S. developed markets, including Europe. "Europe offers attractive asset valuations compared to history, especially in risk assets," according to BlackRock. "Regional assets have cheapened further compared to a year ago as concerns about growth and politics increased. The exception to this are core government bonds, which we believe to be expensive compared to global peers." IEFA's largest country weight is Japan at 24.75%, but four of its top five geographic weights are European nations, positioning the fund to take advantage of a rebound in stocks across the pond. "As downward revisions to growth start petering out and incoming activity data begin to show signs of life, European risk assets might get a boost this year as value equities benefit," according to BlackRock. As of this writing, Todd Shriber owned shares of DES and DGRW. Can you get rich from fx trading? The fulfill is if you go from canadian forex, and loose forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is extended in forex 1 banknote canadian, netdania forex, involve rotund plus of the forex group indicators, and stay the arrangement fx strategy. We instrument succeed win all. Can you get gilded from fx trading? The serve is if you go from canadian forex, and unchaste forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is locomote in forex 1 buck canadian, netdania forex, work chockablock advantage of the forex system indicators, and appraisal the programme fx strategy. We testament succeed win all.
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