Demand Side Interventions Pose an Issue We babble about economic collapse, as if closing down businesses for a month or so will wreak "permanent damage" on our economy. Barron's economists talk of a new Great Depression unless we restore the "gap" in demand. Demand side measures of the economy are essentially meaningless. And demand side interventions by government are more the problem than the solution. After World War II, government spending dropped 61 percent in two years and the economy zoomed into one of its greatest decades. In New Zealand in the mid 1980s, the country sank behind Argentina in the lists of per capita output. An aggressive program of zero-base budgeting, dismantling all the departments of government, led to two miracle decades of growth. A "recession" caused by direct government reactions to a real crisis is completely different from a recession caused by trade wars, monetary devaluations, tax hikes, tariffs, attacks on high tech, and luddite green lawyers. The information theory of economics says that wealth is knowledge, growth is learning, and money is time. If we do not insist on destroying knowledge, suppressing learning, and debauching money, economic growth will accelerate once the crisis is over. Our money, however, is already so debauched that the crisis represents a huge opportunity for the Cryptocosm — for the launch of new forms of real money, respectful of time, to replace the prevailing carnival of central bank shuttlemoney traded at a rate of $6.7 trillion every 24 hours. Expressing real money values are time-prices, gauging the amount of time it takes to earn the money to buy the goods and services that sustain and exalt our lives. In real terms of time prices, we can grow all through the crisis, as we improve our pharmaceuticals, drone deliveries, online commerce, arts, entertainments, remote education, microchips, social networks, and artificial intelligence. Crises spur capitalist innovation and creativity. Capitalism, as Nassim Taleb explains, is anti-fragile: stress and challenge strengthen it. Trillions of dollars of bailouts suffocate economic growth by attempting to guarantee perpetuation of the past. This crisis will provide many buying opportunities for intelligent investors ready to learn. Regards, George Gilder Editor, Gilder's Daily Prophecy P.S. The market is falling and it all seems to lead to the coronavirus. But my colleague James Altucher, believes it also has to do with Wall Street's algorithmic traders. As the Wall Street Journal reports, "when [markets] get wild, the computers at [Wall Street's] firms start selling — helping make it wilder still." If you do not have a way to fight back, then you are helpless while your investments will be swinging up and down for no reason. James has found a way to help you fight back and made a short video on how to do so. Click here to watch it and learn how you could take back control of your money. |
No comments:
Post a Comment