Forex News 24

Forex News 24


5 Top Stock Trades for Thursday: TGT, URBN, CGC

Posted: 22 May 2019 01:36 PM PDT

Hits: 9


It was another choppy session as many traders may be better off focusing on a new hobby or playing some golf until we get some more encouraging follow-through. This Wednesday would have typically been an exception, given that there was an FOMC statement in the afternoon. Even that couldn't get the tape to move. Despite the overall choppiness in the market, there were plenty of individual movers though. Let's look at a few top stock trades to watch on Thursday.

Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #1: Target

top stock trades for Target earnings
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As you'll see in a moment, Target (NYSE:TGT) was one of the few positive standouts when it comes to retail earnings. Shares jumped more than 9% on the day and held most of their post-earnings gains as investors have to be cheering the price action.

So what now?

I need to see TGT stock stay above $76.31. If it breaks below, that means it will have lost both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, as well as its 61.8% retracement for the one-year range. It will have also fallen back below prior downtrend resistance.

If TGT can continue higher, look to see if it can fill the gap up to $81-ish. Shares are not yet overbought and the MACD has swung in bulls' favor.

Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #2: Urban Outfitters

top stock trades for URBN earningstop stock trades for URBN earnings
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Urban Outfitter (NASDAQ:URBN) is in one nasty downtrend and Wednesday's 9% post-earnings fall isn't helping matters. In April it broke out over resistance, as well as the 10-week and 200-week moving averages. That was only temporary though, as shares are now cascading lower.

This isn't one for me. There are other names in retail — TGT and TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) are two examples — that are doing well. I'd rather bet with the wind than against it, and URBN sure has a lot of wind in its face.

URBN is a no-touch for me on the long side until it can breakout of this channel and put in a bottom.

Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #3: Advance Auto Parts

top stock trades for AAP earningstop stock trades for AAP earnings
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Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) is rising on Wednesday after reporting earnings. Its reaction isn't unlike its peer AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), which we covered the other day.

Shares did a great job breaking out of that steep downward channel, now up seven sessions in a row. On Wednesday though, resistance was just too much.

$170 is a significant level, while the 38.2% retracement is at $169.06. AAP is even having trouble getting above its 50-day moving average. That's okay though, as shares are holding the 200-day moving average, at least for now.

I would love to see a mover $170 now, which could ignite a move back up to the $180+ area on the chart. Below today's low and AAP could fill the gap back down to $162.

Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #4: Canopy Growth

top stock trades for CGCtop stock trades for CGC
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Is Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) set to break out? Maybe. CGC stock has been in a tight falling wedge pattern all month, but poked through resistance on Tuesday. On Wednesday, it jumped higher, clearing its 50-day moving average.

In this choppy market, I wouldn't be surprised to see the stock pullback now, but if prior resistance acts as support — say near $44 — then this may be a buy for another push higher. (Time to load up?)

Of course, over Wednesday's high gets us to $48, which was prior resistance earlier this year. Above that, and CGC can test this year's high over $52. A break back below resistance likely gets CGC down to the 200-day.

Top Stock Trades for Tomorrow #5: Toll Brothers

top stock trades for TOL earningstop stock trades for TOL earnings
Click to Enlarge

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) is down about 4% after the company reported earnings. This one could be in trouble if sellers start to take control.

TOL has gone from one channel to the next, and while shares are currently in an uptrend, support is being tested. If it gives way — as the 10-week moving average has now — TOL could be heading lower. The first notable level below channel support is $35, which is the confluence of the 50-week and 200-week moving averages. It's where we'll also find the 200-day moving average. You may also notice that the MACD is starting to roll over (blue circle).

That said, all hope is not lost. For shares to maintain their upward trajectory, Toll Brothers need to see support hold. If it does, a retest of $40 resistance is on the table.

Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of Future Blue Chips and is on Twitter @BretKenwell. As of this writing, Kenwell held no positions in any aforementioned securities.

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09. Gaming Laptops review|
10. WiFi Routers review|

15 Cheap Stocks for Investors With Low Risk Profiles

Posted: 22 May 2019 12:59 PM PDT

Hits: 9


[Editor's note: This story was previously published in October 2018. It has been republished to reflect the current market sentiment for, what we believe, are long-tail investments.]

The current bull market has been defined by a risk-on attitude from investors. Over the past several years, investors have been willing to take on additional risk in the equity markets due to robust growth potential, and as such, riskier names with big growth profiles have out-performed.

But the market's risk-on attitude is starting to taper back some. Interest rates are rising. The Federal Reserve is unwinding its balance sheet. Economic growth globally is slowing. Government debt levels are high. Overall, macro risks in the market are bigger now than they have been in recent memory, and as such, investors are adopting a more risk-adverse mentality than before.

What is the investment implication of this? It is probably a good time to shift money into cheap stocks with low risk profiles. I don't think you throw in the towel on growth names. The fundamentals remain strong, and growth stocks should still do well. But, just in case a Black Swan emerges that hits growth stocks hard, it is smart to hedge by owning some cheap stocks that will offset that potential blow.

Which stocks should you buy? Here's a list of 15 of my favorite cheap stocks with low risk profiles:

AT&T (T)

The bull thesis on AT&T (NYSE:T) is pretty simple. This is a telecom giant that provides one of the most important utilities in the known world today: the internet. AT&T also provides wireless service coverage and cable connectivity. Demand for internet and wireless services will not waver, regardless of economic backdrop or rising rates, because they have no substitute. Cable connectivity is dropping, but should be replaced by streaming demand. Thus, AT&T offers tremendous operational stability.

Meanwhile, the valuation is attractive. The forward multiple sits at just 9. The trailing dividend yield is over 6%. And, the stock is trading near multi-year lows and has shown resiliency around these levels multiple times before.

Overall, AT&T stock is low multiple, big yield stock with tons of operational stability. That makes this stock an attractive risk-off investment.

Tyson Foods (TSN)

The bull thesis on Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN) is also very simple. This is a very stable company with a stock that has been hammered recently because of near-term issues like higher input costs, tariff exposure and softer demand. But the world always needs to eat, and as such, the long-term demand picture overrules near-term cost issues. Once near-term cost issues fade away, TSN stock should roar higher.

At current levels, it appears TSN stock has found a bottom. The forward multiple is just 10, and the dividend yield is at 1.8%, its highest level in nearly a decade. Meanwhile, the stock has show resiliency at $60, so it looks like downside risk is mitigated.

Overall, Tyson Food is an operationally stable company trading at a big discount. That makes this stock an attractive pick-up at current levels.

Qualcomm (QCOM)

Chip giant Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) has had some struggles recently. Most notably, the company has been in litigation with Apple, and the Apple business is something that can no longer truly be counted on. But, Qualcomm still makes chips which power the world of tomorrow, and as such, the company has a bright future as technology expands its sphere of influence globally.

QCOM stock is quite cheap at current levels. We are talking about a stock with a 15X forward multiple and a 3.6% dividend yield. Historically speaking, QCOM stock trades at a much bigger multiple with a much lower yield.

Overall, QCOM stock offers attractive upside here because of a relatively discounted valuation converging on still-strong growth fundamentals. That combination should power this stock higher from current levels.

Intel (INTC)

Another historically stable chip stock with a relatively anemic valuation is Intel (NASDAQ:INTC). Long story short, Intel stock has dropped in a big way over the past several months because competitor Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) appears to be ahead of Intel when it comes to next-gen chip production. But, Intel recently announced that next-gen chip production is coming along nicely, a sign that Intel is getting ready to punch back. Once this company does punch back, history says that Intel stock should rebound.

This bull thesis is supported by a currently attractive valuation. INTC stock trades at just 11X forward earnings with a 2.6% dividend yield. Those are exceptionally attractive valuation metrics for a company with robust exposure to multiple secular growth trends like AI, cloud, and IoT.

Overall, INTC stock is a growth company trading at a non-growth valuation. Eventually, the market will fix this disconnect, and INTC stock will pop.

Macy's (M)

Back when Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) was eating everyone in retail's lunch, Macy's (NYSE:M) was a risky investment. But, traditional retail has stabilized over the past 12-plus months, and traditional retailers like Macy's have proven their staying power through enhanced e-commerce and omnichannel commerce capabilities. As such, Macy's is a low-risk investment with long-term staying power in a stable growth industry.

The valuation on Macy's stock is the reason to buy this stock on the recent dip. Macy's stock trades at 8X forward earnings with a near-5% dividend yield. Those are very attractive valuation metrics, especially considering comparable sales growth has been, is, and will remain positive at Macy's.

Overall, Macy's stock features a dirt-cheap valuation, but the fundamentals are actually pretty good and improving. This disconnect makes Macy's stock an attractive buy at current levels.

Skechers (SKX)

In athletic retail, everyone loves to talk about Nike (NYSE:NKE), Adidas (OTCMKTS:ADDYY), and Under Armour (NYSE:UAA). But, no one likes to talk about Skechers (NYSE:SKX). Yet, despite being the often neglected little brother, Skechers has managed to be one of the fastest-growing companies in this industry over the past several years thanks to its ability to dominate the mid-price sneaker market. As it turns out, this market is quite big, and Skechers is just starting to realize its international potential.

Meanwhile, despite being a big growth company, SKX stock trades at dirt cheap multiples. The forward multiple on the stock is just 14, versus 24 and up at peers. This disconnect isn't justified by differences in growth. As such, it is a disconnect that shouldn't exist.

Overall, SKX stock is an attractive risk-off investment because the valuation is dirt cheap and the growth fundamentals are pretty strong. That combination implies healthy upside potential and mitigated downside risk.

Facebook (FB)

Although traditionally considered a growth stock, Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) has recently transformed into a value stock given huge declines in the stock price without huge declines in the fundamentals. Everyone is concerned about dropping Facebook app usage, but at the end of the day, Facebook controls four 1-billion-user apps. There are only six such apps in the world. Thus, so long as ad dollars continue to flow into the digital channel, they will find their way into the Facebook ecosystem, and Facebook will remain a digital ad growth machine.

The valuation on the stock represents a huge disconnect to these fundamentals. Facebook stock trades at just 19X forward earnings. Revenue growth last quarter was in excess of 40%. A 19X multiple on 40%-plus revenue growth is absurdly cheap, even when factoring in the concerns about the lawsuit currently in the courts over their ad numbers.

Overall, FB stock offers attractive upside potential here because the valuation has depressed enormously while growth fundamentals have remained strong. Eventually, the market will realize this, and FB valuation and stock will correct sharply higher.

Apple (AAPL)

Consumer technology giant Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is perhaps the textbook definition of stability, especially since the company is diversifying away from hardware revenue dependence. Before, Apple was all about iPhones. But, as we all know, not every iPhone upgrade cycle is a home run, so Apple stock was subject to wild swings. Today, though, Apple is much different. The company is building out a software business which comprises mostly annually recurring subscription revenues. Thus, revenue today is much more predictable and safe than it was a few years ago.

Because of this, AAPL stock trades at a higher valuation today than it did a few years ago. But, the valuation still remains anemic for a burgeoning software company. AAPL stock trades at 16X forward earnings. The whole software industry trades north of 20X forward earnings.

Overall, AAPL stock is an attractive risk-off investment here because the multiple is low, and the growth trajectory is promising. That combination provides both nice upside potential and healthy downside protection.

Disney (DIS)

The long-term bull thesis on Disney (NYSE:DIS) is only strengthening as this company continues to grow its content war-chest. From head to toe, Disney owns the best and most valuable content in the world. This content has dominated the box office and has allowed Disney to dominate in the theme parks business, too. Next up, Disney is going to dominate the streaming world with its robust content slate, and as a result of streaming strength offsetting traditional media weakness, Disney stock should fly higher.

The valuation lends itself to a pop in DIS stock on a positive catalyst. The stock trades at just 16X forward earnings with a 1.4% dividend yield. Those are very reasonable multiples for a stock that supports one of, if not the, most iconic brand in the world.

Overall, DIS stock looks good here because its biggest headwind (cord-cutting losses) is about to turn into its biggest strength (streaming growth), and the current 16X forward multiple doesn't account for this.

Yum Brands (YUM)

After McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), the next most important and irreplaceable fast-casual company in the world is Yum Brands (NYSE:YUM). Yum is the parent company of KFC, Taco Bell and Pizza Hut, three fast-casual chains with enduring appeal and huge global footprints. Unless consumers en masse decide to stop eating fast food (which they almost assuredly never will), then YUM's operations will consistently benefit from stable growth.

The valuation on YUM stock isn't all that cheap. But, it is cheap for a company with as much stability as Yum Brands. YUM stock trades at 24X forward earnings with a 1.6% dividend yield. Those aren't all that attractive by themselves. But, when considering growth is expected to run at a very stable double-digit rate over the next several years, 24 seems like a fairly reasonable forward multiple.

Overall, YUM is one of the more stable companies in the world with a stock that features a reasonable valuation. As such, if you're looking to add stability to your portfolio, YUM is the way to go.

Ford (F)

Although the electric vehicle revolution is starting to pick up steam and will only accelerate from here, it would be foolish to write off Ford (NYSE:F) as dead in the water. Eventually, Ford will pivot more strongly to accommodate changing consumer demands, and produce a ton of electric vehicles. They have already started working on a partnership with DHL to make all-electric vans for the company and is targeting Chinese consumers with a range of electric cars.

Granted, Ford's market share of the whole auto market will erode over time as new EV competitors step up. But, Ford should remain a sizable player in the auto industry for the foreseeable future.

The valuation does not reflect this optimism. Ford stock trades at levels not seen since the 2008 Recession. The forward earnings multiple is around 6.5, and the dividend yield is near 7%. Those are dirt-cheap valuation metrics.

Thus, so long as Ford can compete in the long run with rising EV competition, this stock should pop higher from here.

Kroger (KR)

The world always needs to eat, and most people need grocery stores to buy food. Because of this, grocery store operator Kroger (NYSE:KR) is a stable operation with healthy long-term growth prospects. That stability was recently threatened by e-retail encroachment. But, it turns out that consumers like to shop for groceries at a grocery store, and as such, Kroger has long-term staying power in an exceptionally stable industry.

This stability does not seem priced into the current valuation. Kroger stock trades at merely 12X forward earnings with a near 2% dividend yield. Normally, this stock trades at 15X forward earnings with a sub-1.5% yield. Thus, today's valuation feels unnecessarily pessimistic.

Overall, KR stock is a buy because valuation has depressed to levels that undervalue the company's staying power in a stable growth industry. As such, KR stock has nice upside potential and limited downside risk.

Booking Holdings (BKNG)

Traveling is part of the human experience, and as a result, Booking Holdings (NASDAQ:BKNG) is part of the human experience, too. So long as consumers want to travel, Booking will have solid demand. The only thing that will knock this demand is economic weakness, but while global economic growth is slowing, it isn't projected to slow by much, and the overall economic picture remains healthy. Thus, the outlook for travel remains healthy, and the fundamentals supporting BKNG stock remain strong.

BKNG stock isn't as cheap as some other names on this list — the stock trades at over 18X forward earnings. But, growth is big, with long-term EPS growth estimates hovering around 15%-20%. A 20X multiple for 15%-20% earnings growth in a stable company is a fairly attractive investment proposition.

Overall, BKNG is an attractively valued stock that offers a healthy combination of growth and stability. This combination should ultimately power BKNG stock higher, so long as valuation remains reasonable.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

Although higher rates tend to spook stocks, they actually help bank stocks by pushing up borrowing costs and allowing banks to collect more net interest income, which is a big profit driver. As such, bank stocks are a fairly decent portfolio addition at this point in time. In the banking sector, the one stock I like most is JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), given the company's leading advantages in technology and rising popularity among millennial consumers.

The valuation on JPM stock isn't anything out of the normal. The forward earnings multiple is around 11. The dividend yield is around 2.9%. Those are fairly normal valuation levels for JPM. But, considering growth should be better than normal over the next few years as the economy improves, the current valuation levels seem attractive.

Overall, JPM is the top pick in a sector that should be fairly resilient to interest rate risks. As a result, this is a good stock to own so long as rising rates continue to pressure equity valuations.

American Electric Power (AEP)

Utility stocks have long been viewed as bond substitutes. As such, utility stocks might not do so well as rates and bond yields rise. But, one utility stock that could buck the trend is American Electric Power (NYSE:AEP). Considered one of the industry's heavyweights, American Electric is a massive electric utility company that delivers electricity to more than 5 million customers across eleven states. As a utility company, demand is always stable. But, the business right now is doing especially well. Hotter than normal weather so far in 2018 has buoyed operations for the past several months, and robust economic strength in the company's core markets has also boosted the business. Overall, sales and earnings are both trending higher at a healthy rate.

AEP's dividend yield sits at a very healthy 3.5%. The forward earnings multiple is at attractive levels of around 18, which is in line with historical standards. Thus, today's valuation on AEP stock is fairly normal, but fundamentals are actually better than normal.

Overall, AEP stock should perform well regardless of macro-market risks because of solid and stable fundamentals as well as a reasonable valuation. From this perspective, AEP is an ideal cheap stock with a low risk profile.

As of this writing, Luke Lango was long T, TSN, INTC, AMZN, M, SKX, FB, AAPL, DIS, MCD, F, KR, JPM and AEP. 

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01. Espresso Machines review|
02. Gaming Keyboards review|
03. Gaming Headsets review|
04. Virtual Reality Headsets review|
05. Cordless Drills review|
06. Electric Keyboards review|
07. Gaming Mouse review|
08. Gaming Monitors review|
09. Gaming Laptops review|
10. WiFi Routers review|

The Next Media Juggernaut. 150 Mil Monthly Esports Users

Posted: 22 May 2019 12:39 PM PDT

Hits: 0



The rapidly growing cannabis space has provided some of the most exciting investment opportunities …

Most video game and esports companies are private, investors can’t participate.

But, today, you’re in luck.

There is one small-cap stock trading on the TSX Venture and OTC Markets that’s been the esports bull of Toronto’s Bay Street.

This company has also started to garner attention from the mainstream press. They host Enthusiast Gaming Live Expo, EGLX, the largest video gaming expo in Canada with 55,000 attendees in 2018.

In the last 3 months, the Company’s stock price has increased by 71.43% and is currently trading at $1.75 per share.

Their announcements and deals are coming in fast and furious:

  • This morning this company announced that its online gaming community has DOUBLED to 150 million monthly visitors since going public in October 2018. It’s now in the top 5 of the largest esports / gaming communities in North America.
  • On May 9th, they announced a monetization agreement with a leading online gaming resource that gets 7 million visitors per month.
  • On May 8th, they announced that their digital property, the largest female gaming resource in the world has increased its monthly paying membership base by 11,000 members since January 2019.
  • On April 30th the Company reported a 3.3x revenue growth to 11M.

Video games are to Millennials and Generation Z what television and radio were to Baby Boomers.

It’s what the Internet boom was to Generation X.

Don’t let a megatrend slip by again.

Get the full report about this esports bull on Microsmallcap.

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2019-05-22 19:27:43



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09. Gaming Laptops review|
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4 Airline Stocks Crashing Back to Earth

Posted: 22 May 2019 12:23 PM PDT

Hits: 13


U.S. equities are on the slide again on Wednesday as the U.S.-China trade standoff continues to devolve into an outright trade war. President Trump is looking at expanding the number of Chinese firms that will lose access to American technology — widening the crackdown on Huawei.

China, in response, has begun to call for a boycott of American products and services, including Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) iPhones. The fear now is that the tit for tat will increasingly threaten global supply chains and undermine efforts, on the part of Apple and other American companies, to focus on Chinese consumers as a growth market.

Outside of big tech stocks directly impacted by this, airline stocks are an industry group feeling the pressure on worries over a drag on both business and leisure travel as pan-Pacific relations worsen. Here are four airline stocks to sell.

Alaska Air Group (ALK)


Click to Enlarge

Shares of Alaska Air Group (NYSE:ALK) have been turned away from double-top resistance at its 200-day moving average, setting up a test of its 50-day average and a likely return to the March lows. Such a move would be worth a loss of 10% from here. Despite the acquisition of Virgin America's assets, the stock has been stuck in the same trading range that it first reached back in 2015.

The company will next report results on July 25 after the close. Analysts are looking for earnings of $1.84 per share on revenues of $2.2 billion. When the company last reported on April 25, earnings of 17 cents per share beat estimates by 2 cents on a 2.4% rise in revenues.

Delta Airlines (DAL)


Click to Enlarge

Delta Airlines (NYSE:DAL) shares are cutting back below their 50-day moving average, turning away from prior highs near the $60-a-share level, setting up a likely violation of its 200-day moving average and a return to prior lows set back in January. Shares were recently downgraded by analysts at Morgan Stanley.

The company will next report results on July 10 before the bell. Analysts are looking for earnings of $2.16 per share on revenues of $12.2 billion. When the company last reported on April 10, earnings of 96 cents per share beat estimates by 5 cents on a 5.1% rise in revenues.

American Airlines (AAL)


Click to Enlarge

American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) is among the weakest names on this list, threatening to break down out of an eight-month pennant formation that's formed after multiple unsuccessful attempts to push above the 200-day moving average. The stock is already down some 50% from the highs set in early 2018 and looks ready to fall back to the lows set in the summer of 2016 near $24, which would be worth a loss of roughly 20% from here.

The company will next report results on July 26 before the bell. Analysts are looking for earnings of $1.72 per share on revenues of $12 billion. When the company last reported on April 26, earnings of 52 cents per share beat estimates by 2 cents on a 1.8% rise in revenues.

United Continental (UAL)


Click to Enlarge

Shares of United Continental (NASDAQ:UAL) have fallen back below their 200-day moving average, testing a critical support line that can be traced back to the lows set in the summer of 2016. A breakdown would likely put the $60-a-share level in play, which would be worth a loss of nearly 30% from here.

The company will next report results on July 16 after the close. Analysts are looking for earnings of $4.09 per share on revenues of $11.4 billion. When the company last reported on April 16, earnings of $1.15 beat estimates by 19 cents on a 6.2% rise in revenues.

As of this writing, William Roth did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

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Top 10 problems you may need in life:

01. Espresso Machines review|
02. Gaming Keyboards review|
03. Gaming Headsets review|
04. Virtual Reality Headsets review|
05. Cordless Drills review|
06. Electric Keyboards review|
07. Gaming Mouse review|
08. Gaming Monitors review|
09. Gaming Laptops review|
10. WiFi Routers review|

May 22, 2019 : EUR/USD Intraday technical analysis and trade recommendations.

Posted: 22 May 2019 12:08 PM PDT

Hits: 11


On January 10th, the market initiated the depicted bearish channel around 1.1570.

Since then, the EURUSD pair has been moving within the depicted channel with slight bearish tendency.

Few weeks ago, a bullish Head and Shoulders reversal pattern was demonstrated around 1.1200.

This enhanced further bullish advancement towards 1.1300-1.1315 (supply zone) where significant bearish rejection was demonstrated on April 15.

Short-term outlook turned to become bearish towards 1.1235 (78.6% Fibonacci) then 1.1175 (100% Fibonacci level).

For Intraday traders, the price zone around 1.1235 (78.6% Fibonacci) stood as a temporary demand area which paused the ongoing bearish momentum for a while before bearish breakdown could be executed on April 23.

On May 13, another bullish pullback was executed towards the mentioned price zone (1.1230-1.1250) where the current bearish movement was initiated.

On the other hand, the EURUSD pair has been trapped above the next key-zone (1.1175) until last Friday when a bearish breakout below 1.1175 was achieved.

Further bearish decline should be expected towards 1.1115 provided that the price level of 1.1190 remains defended by the EURUSD bears.

Trade recommendations :

Conservative traders who were advised to have a SELL entry around the supply zone (1.1235-1.1250) should lower their S/L towards 1.1190 to secure more profits.

Remaining Target level should be projected towards 1.1115.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
2019-05-22 17:56:50



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5 of the Best ETFs for Conservative Investors in Any Market Environment

Posted: 22 May 2019 11:47 AM PDT

Hits: 7


The S&P 500 so far this month is lower by 1.7%. It seems like investors may still be debating the efficacy of the "sell in May and go away" strategy this year. But what is clear is that, particularly amid ongoing global trade tensions, there are good reasons to consider exchange traded funds that reside on the more conservative end of the risk spectrum.

Predictably, many investors think some of the best ETFs for going conservative are fixed-income funds, but the reality is some of the best ETFs for turbulent times can span multiple asset classes, including bonds, stocks and more.

Importantly, many of the best ETFs for rocky market environments also perform well over long holding periods. A variety of research points indicate the low-volatility factor delivers for long-term investors, and there are plenty of calls for the moribund value factor to regain its form.

Those points and more potentially bode well for some of the best ETFs for conservative investors. Here are some of those funds to consider.

VanEck Vectors Municipal Allocation ETF (MAAX)

Best ETFs to Buy: VanEck Vectors Municipal Allocation ETF (MAAX)Expense Ratio: 0.36% per year, or $36 on a $10,000 investment.

Having debuted just last week, the VanEck Vectors Municipal Allocation ETF (NYSEAMERICAN:MAAX) is the newest fund highlighted here. Rookie status aside, MAAX is one of the best ETFs for conservative, income-hungry investors to consider. There are multiple advantages to owning municipal bonds, including steady levels of income, tax breaks and usually benign credit risk.

MAAX is also one of the best ETFs for investors seeking exposure to a massive roster of municipal bonds. This new fund is an ETF of ETFs, made up of other VanEck municipal bond ETFs. MAAX currently holds four of the established VanEck municipal bond ETFs and allocates just over 70% of its weight to the VanEck Vectors High-Yield Municipal Index ETF (CBOE:HYD) and the VanEck Vectors AMT-Free Long Municipal Index ETF (CBOE:MLN).

MAAX has an effective duration of 7.37 years and a yield to worst of 3.25%. Overall, this new ETF features exposure to nearly 5,900 bonds.

iShares Core Conservative Allocation ETF (AOK)

iShares Core Conservative Allocation ETF (AOK)

iShares Core Conservative Allocation ETF (AOK)Expense Ratio: 0.25%

The iShares Core Conservative Allocation ETF (NYSEARCA:AOK) is one of the best ETFs for prudent investors to consider and not just because "conservative" is in the fund's name. AOK is a multi-asset fund that targets the S&P Target Risk Conservative Index and uses the ETF of ETFs structure used by the aforementioned MAAX.

In the case of AOK, it holds seven ETFs, all of which are other iShares funds. Currently, AOK is positioned, well, conservatively as over 70% of its weight is divided among the iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF (NASDAQ:IUSB) and the iShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF (CBOE:IAGG).

AOK's largest equity holding is the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:IVV) and the fund currently features some light exposure to domestic mid- and small-cap stocks as well as some international holdings.

Invesco S&P MidCap Low Volatility ETF (XMLV)

Best ETFs to Buy: Invesco S&P MidCap Low Volatility ETF (XMLV)Best ETFs to Buy: Invesco S&P MidCap Low Volatility ETF (XMLV)

Source: Shutterstock

Expense Ratio: 0.25%

Investors may be skittish about embracing stocks right now — even more so when it comes to small stocks, including mid-caps. But some of the best ETFs to consider in the current environment are those dedicated to reducing volatility. Enter the Invesco S&P MidCap Low Volatility ETF (NYSEARCA:XMLV).

XMLV tracks the S&P MidCap 400 Low Volatility Index, the low volatility offshoot of the widely followed S&P MidCap 400 Index.

"The Index is compiled, maintained and calculated by Standard & Poor's, consisting of 80 out of 400 medium-capitalization securities from the S&P MidCap 400 Index with the lowest realized volatility over the past 12 months," according to Invesco.

Over 50% of XMLV's 80 holdings hail from the financial services and real estate sectors. Meanwhile, the normally docile utilities sectors commands almost 20% of the fund's weight.

Cambria Trinity ETF (TRTY)

Best ETFs to Buy: Cambria Trinity ETF (TRTY)

Best ETFs to Buy: Cambria Trinity ETF (TRTY)Expense Ratio: 0.66%

The Cambria Trinity ETF (CBOE:TRTY) is an actively managed fund that also uses the ETF of ETFs methodology. While TRTY is an active fund, it aims to replicate or beat the performance of the Cambria Trinity Index, a benchmark that "employs a balanced, systematic approach to asset allocation, focusing on diversification, value investing, and trend following," according to Cambria.

Several factors make TRTY one of the best ETFs for conservative investors. For starters, its roster of 18 funds makes this one of the largest ETFs of ETFs in terms of depth. Second, TRTY offers diversification across asset classes, including domestic and foreign bonds and stocks as well as managed futures strategies. By virtue of its robust fixed-income exposure and positions in two Cambria shareholder yield ETFs, TRTY is a great ETF.

The Cambria Global Momentum ETF (CBOE:GMOM) accounts for roughly a third of TRTY's weight. GMOM is rooted in momentum and trend following.

Pacer Trendpilot US Large Cap ETF (PLTC)

Expense Ratio: 0.6%

The Pacer Trendpilot US Large Cap ETF (CBOE:PTLC) is one of the best ETFs for investors that want to automatically reduce equity exposure when markets decline. Essentially, PTLC is a rules-based strategy that uses moving averages to guide its allocations.

When the S&P 500 closes above its 200-day simple moving average for five consecutive days, PTLC will be 100% invested in equities. If the index closes below that moving average for five straight days, PTLC will go to 50% stocks/50% 3-month T-bills. Five more consecutive days below that moving average and PTLC transitions to 100% T-bills.

Long-term data suggest there is validity to this strategy.

"Over the period of 1999 through 2018, a portfolio strategy that followed a 100% position in S&P 500 when above its 200 day simple moving average or 100% T-bills when below the 200 day simple moving average produced a return of 5.36%," according to ETF Trends. "On the other hand, a 100% position in the S&P 500 regardless of market conditions produced a return of 4.86%. It can be seen that a simple trend following strategy helped investors avoid the steeper drop offs while still maintaining an investment portfolio's upside potential."

Todd Shriber does not own any of the aforementioned securities.

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Investors Turn Defensive as Trade War Risk Bites

Posted: 22 May 2019 11:46 AM PDT

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S&P 500, US CHINA TRADE WAR, RISK APPETITE – TALKING POINTS

  • Stock market sentiment sours as trade war uncertainty bites
  • S&P 500 sector performance attribution could hint at further weakness despite stocks recovering from month-to-date lows
  • Equity traders may find solace in more liquid and 'non-directional' forex markets if tensions escalate further
  • Find out major differences between Trading Stocks and Forex

The S&P 500 has edged nearly 3 percent lower since President Trump tweeted earlier this month his intent to increase tariffs on China. Although the stock market has recovered slightly from the lows of its recent rout, market sentiment appears damaged still as suggested by relative sector performance.

S&P 500 RETURNS BY SECTOR – MAY 03 CLOSE TO MAY 22 INTRADAY (CHART 1)

According to SPDR ETF returns of the major S&P 500 sectors since the May 3rd close – the Friday preceding Trump's trade war tweets on Sunday, May 5th – the technology sector (XLK) has significantly lagged the broader market. This is a stark contrast to year-to-date equity returns considering the sector has advanced roughly 20 percent which compares to the S&P 500's overall 14 percent gain so far in 2019.

Seeing that tech stocks comprise the largest sector of the S&P 500 by far, further weakness in technology companies like Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) and Google's parent Alphabet (GOOG) threatens to exacerbate broader market weakness. This is due to the fact that performance of these 'mega-cap' tech darlings contributes significantly to the overall return of the market-cap weighted S&P 500 index.

S&P 500 RETURNS BY SECTOR – MAY 03 CLOSE TO MAY 22 INTRADAY (CHART 2)

S&P 500: Investors Turn Defensive as Trade War Risk Bites

With tech now widely underperforming the S&P 500, the "shifting winds" could indicate a change in investor sentiment as traders begin to favor defensive sectors like utilities (XLU), consumer staples (XLP) and healthcare (XLV). This is because companies in these non-cyclical sectors generally possess characteristics like stable cash flows and cheap valuations which tend to outperform during periods of elevated market uncertainty which leads to investor pessimism and risk-aversion.

Additional evidence of waning investor sentiment is provided by the AAII Sentiment Survey which shows that the Net Sentiment Index has dropped from 39.63 on May 2nd to 30.88 as of May 16th. Also, fading demand for comparably riskier high-beta stocks with unstable profitability like Tesla (TSLA) or new IPO listings like Lyft (LYFT) and Uber (UBER) could similarly signal shifting stock market sentiment to a less optimistic view. Moreover, the recent lack of risk appetite by investors is hinted at by the sharp drop in Treasury yields which has bolstered gold prices.

US China trade war tension risks further escalation as negative rhetoric endures following the breakdown in negotiations between the two countries earlier this month. Aside from tariffs, Chinese technology companies like Huawei are being targeted by the United States. If China decides to retaliate, supply chains and revenue sources of American tech companies could be in jeopardy.

Sell in May and Go Away Stock Market Anomaly: Should You Sell Stocks?

This possibility threatens a bearish knee-jerk reaction from US investors and has potential to snowball into a sharp selloff. That being said, the erosion of confidence in equities may continue even if the overall index holds should technology and other speculative sectors continue to flag.

Worth mentioning amid these concerns is the potential benefit equity traders may find from currency market liquidity and other advantages forex trading can offer such as its 24-hour session and natural 'non-directional' nature. The continuous forex market helps to significantly reduce the instances of large gaps that are frequent and sometimes extreme in equities as seen in the recent series of S&P 500 gaps to the downside in response to US China trade war headlines.

Another underappreciated aspect of FX relative to equities is the fact that there is always a 'long leg' and 'short leg' to any currency pair. For most participants in active stock trading, the predominant approach is to only pursue various long-only strategies which does not align well with return probabilities or volatility.

– Written by Rich Dvorak, Junior Analyst for DailyFX

– Follow @RichDvorakFX on Twitter

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2019-05-22 17:30:00

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US Dollar Steadies as May FOMC Minutes Detail “Patient” Approach

Posted: 22 May 2019 11:15 AM PDT

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FOMC Minutes Talking Points

  • The May FOMC minutes detailed a reserved conversation among policymakers who believed that patience on rates would be appropriate for the foreseeable future.
  • Many FOMC members saw the early-2019 dip in inflation readings as "transitory.”
  • Rates markets show a small dip in 2019 rate cut odds relative to where they stood prior to the May FOMC minutes release.

Looking for longer-term forecasts on the US Dollar? Check out the DailyFX Trading Guides.

Analysis to follow…

FX TRADING RESOURCES

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, DailyFX has multiple resources available to help you: an indicator for monitoring trader sentiment; quarterly trading forecasts; analytical and educational webinars held daily; trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and even one for those who are new to FX trading.

— Written by Christopher Vecchio, CFA, Senior Currency Strategist

To contact Christopher Vecchio, e-mail at cvecchio@dailyfx.com

Follow him on Twitter at @CVecchioFX

View our long-term forecasts with the DailyFX Trading Guides

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Advance Auto Parts Earnings: AAP Stock Revs Up on Q1 Beat

Posted: 22 May 2019 11:09 AM PDT

Hits: 11


Advance Auto Parts earnings for the first quarter of 2019 have AAP stock up on Wednesday.

Advance Auto Parts Earnings: AAP Stock Revs Up on Q1 Beat

Source: Shutterstock

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) starts off its earnings report for the first quarter of the year with earnings per share of $2.46. This is better than the company's earnings per share of $2.10 from the same time last year. It was also a boon to AAP stock by speeding past Wall Street's earnings per share estimate of $2.36 for the quarter.

Net income reported in the Advance Auto Parts earnings release for the first quarter of 2019 comes in at $142.50 million. That's up from the company's net income of $136.73 million reported in the first quarter of 2018.

The Advance Auto Parts earnings report for the first quarter of the year also includes operating income of $207.94 million. This is an increase over the auto parts retailer's operating income of $198.24 million reported in the same period of the year prior.

Advance Auto Parts earnings for the first quarter of 2019 have revenue coming in at $2.95 billion. This is an improvement over the company's revenue of $2.87 billion reported in the first quarter of the previous year. It was also good news for AAP stock by matching analysts' revenue estimate for the period.

The most recent Advance Auto Parts earnings report also includes its guidance for the full year of 2019. The company expects revenue to range from $9.65 billion to $9.80 billion. Wall Street is estimating revenue of $8.14 billion for the year.

AAP stock was up 3% as of Wednesday afternoon.

As of this writing, William White did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities.


Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2019/05/advance-auto-parts-earnings-boost-aap-stock/.

©2019 InvestorPlace Media, LLC

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Has GBP/USD Finally Found Support?

Posted: 22 May 2019 10:56 AM PDT

Hits: 8


British Pound Talking Points:

GBP/USD Spikes to Five-Month Lows, Bounces From Support

It's been a brutal two-week stretch for the British Pound. Against the US Dollar, the currency has shed as much as 500 pips from the highs set earlier in May. That carnage was especially noticeable last week, as GBP/USD sold off each day to close the week around 1.2717 despite opening the period near the 1.3000 psychological level.

And given the drivers, it's very easy to be bearish on the currency at the moment: A recent large move has been supported by growing opacity around an already opaque situation of Brexit and, at this point, we still don't know who is going to lead the UK in the coming months as PM Theresa May has come under fire. Rumors abound that a resignation is imminent, and odds markets have started to favor Boris Johnson, a noted Brexit supporter that may not have as many qualms as Ms. May about leaving the EU without a deal.

Coming into this morning, Cable was already very weak with RSI on the Daily chart having moved into oversold territory. The 1.2671 price lurked below, as this is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 'Brexit move' and a level that had elicited strong bullish reactions in both August of last year and January 2019.

GBP/USD Daily Price Chart

GBP/USD: More Pain to Follow, or 'Sell the Rumor, Buy the News'?

Markets generally abhor uncertainty, and that's somewhat of the situation that's present around the British Pound and the UK at the moment. But, given the backdrop and the fact that Ms. May's tenure as PM hasn't went very smoothly, there may be a scenario of 'sell the rumor, buy the news' taking place, where markets exhibited a form of capitulation earlier this morning as it became clear that Ms. May's time at 10 Downing Street may be soon winding down.

From a technical perspective, the backdrop exists to support reversal scenarios, particularly if today's Daily candle closes above the 1.2671 Fibonacci level. Also in this region are a couple of shorter-term levels of interest: the 76.4% retracement of the 2019 major move, taking the January low up to the April high, exists at 1.2664 and the 78.6% retracement of the same move is at 1.2643. Combine this with the RSI divergence that's started to show on the four-hour chart, and GBP/USD bulls may have a valid case to support reversal themes.

GBP/USD Four-Hour Price Chart

gbpusd gbp/usd four hour price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

To read more:

Are you looking for longer-term analysis on the U.S. Dollar? Our DailyFX Forecasts have a section for each major currency, and we also offer a plethora of resources on Gold or USD-pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. Traders can also stay up with near-term positioning via our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

Forex Trading Resources

DailyFX offers an abundance of tools, indicators and resources to help traders. For those looking for trading ideas, our IG Client Sentiment shows the positioning of retail traders with actual live trades and positions. Our trading guides bring our DailyFX Quarterly Forecasts and our Top Trading Opportunities; and our real-time news feed has intra-day interactions from the DailyFX team. And if you're looking for real-time analysis, our DailyFX Webinars offer numerous sessions each week in which you can see how and why we're looking at what we're looking at.

If you're looking for educational information, our New to FX guide is there to help new(er) traders while our Traits of Successful Traders research is built to help sharpen the skill set by focusing on risk and trade management.

— Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

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