It's a matter of personal preference, but I choose to use the Exponential Moving Average because I find that it makes a much more effective indicator, and I can spot trend changes more quickly.
Use Moving Averages to Track Trends and Momentum
Why use anything other than trend lines to spot trends?
Support and resistance levels are useful technical tools, but they shouldn't be used as stand-alone indicators because sometimes they give false signals.
Stocks have the capability of overshooting trend lines. In some cases, we even give trend lines (especially long-term trend lines) leeway using price filters or time filters to avoid "whipsaws."
Sometimes, using moving averages makes more sense than using trend lines, as moving averages aren't straight lines and adjust to the recent volatility of a security or index.
Like trend lines, moving averages also act as support and resistance because of the self-fulfilling prophecy caused by all other traders who view them the same way.
In fact, you can make the case that moving averages actually cause prices to move more than trend lines do. I say this because trend line analysis can be somewhat subjective, as people can interpret trends differently.
Moving averages cannot be disputed. They're simply a mathematical equation. Therefore, it is possible to enter signals, based on moving averages, into computer programs that automatically trade stocks.
Therefore, when stocks violate, or bounce off of popular moving averages, there are often a heck of a lot of computers out there automatically buying or selling that stock.
The moving averages that you choose to use to guide you in and out of positions depend on your personal trading style and preferred time frame.
But don't forget that you should always identify, and trade, in the direction of the next larger trend, and that you should identify the next smaller trend to help with more precise timing of your trades.
We'll have more to say about moving averages in future columns.
In the meantime, if you're looking for another way to boost your gains, make sure you check out this replay of the live event I hosted on Tuesday.
During this event, I showed traders how to quickly and easily select the best stocks from a list of thousands.
The replay won't be available for much longer, so make sure you click here to watch it before it's gone forever.
Trade safely!
Chris Rowe
True Market Insiders
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