Compounding Can Boost Your Returns

Palm Beach Daily

Compounding Can Boost Your Returns

By Jason Bodner, editor, Palm Beach Insider

How’d you like to turn $6 million into $30 million using a simple strategy…

Bobby Bonilla did.

From 1988-91, Bonilla was one of the best players in Major League Baseball. He was a six-time All-Star and won three Silver Slugger awards.

But in 1999, while he was playing for the New York Mets, Bonilla’s career started to fizzle. And the Mets decided to buy out the remaining $5.9 million on his contract.

Instead of a one-shot deal, though, the team agreed to make annual payments of nearly $1.2 million for 25 years, starting July 1, 2011 – including a negotiated 8% interest. That means Bonilla wouldn’t get paid for the next 11 years. But his payout pool would grow 8% each year, before the payouts started. And he’d earn that extra 8% for each payment afterward.

This was an extremely lucrative deal for Bonilla. Every July 1, from 2011 until 2035, the Mets pay him $1.2 million. In total, he’ll make $29.8 million by the time he’s 72 – five times what he would’ve made with a quick and dirty buyout…

That’s why in New York, July 1 is known as “Bobby Bonilla Day.”

Of course, not all of us have a team owner to hand us million-dollar checks every year.

But the reason Bonilla’s checks grew so much each year was through the magic of compounding. And you can use it, too, to build your own retirement nest egg.

Today, I’ll show you how…

The Eighth Wonder of the World

Albert Einstein called it the “eighth wonder of the world.” Warren Buffett says it’s one reason he was able to amass such a huge fortune.

The key to compounding is to let it work over many years.

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Just look at the chart below… It shows the value of an account growing at 10% per year over 60 years.

I call this the “hockey stick” chart because the money grows slowly for several decades, then really picks up speed after about 40 years.

If you don’t interrupt it, compounding produces a fortune.

chart

At 10% interest, it takes 40 years for $10,000 to grow into $411,000 (see the red arrow).

That’s pretty good. But do you see what happens next? The growth of the account explodes.

By year 50, it’s grown to just over $1 million. By year 60, it’s grown to more than $3 million.

In short, the power of compounding is most effective when you let it work over many decades.

That’s why Bonilla’s smaller payments will more than quintuple over the life of his deal.

And the best way I’ve found to compound your money is by buying dividend-paying stocks and reinvesting the dividends.

But not just any dividend-payer will do. There’s a special class I look for…

The Cream of the Crop

The data is indisputable. Over the last century, the market has continued to climb higher. And that’s despite crashes, wars, and pandemics.

chart

But here’s the thing…

A 2017 study by an Arizona State University finance professor found that – over the past 100 years – just 4% of stocks have accounted for nearly all the market’s profits each year.

Now, I call these stocks outliers. These companies are unique in their business, grow sales and earnings at high rates, and have big profit margins.

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And if you’re serious about making money, they’re the stocks you want to hold for the long term.

Outlier stocks are the best of the best. And superior selection means the difference between average returns and an outlier return.

Take Home Depot and Microsoft, for example. These are two of the greatest outliers of all time.

Now, let’s say you bought them both in 1995. Here’s a comparison of what would have happened had you reinvested the dividends or chosen not to reinvest them, over a 25-year period.

  • A $10,000 investment in Home Depot in 1995 would be worth about $287,000 today, including dividends. That’s a 2,770% return over 25 years. But if you had reinvested those dividends, that same stake would be worth about $388,000 today – good for a 3,780% return.

  • A $10,000 investment in Microsoft in 1995 would be worth about $401,000 today, including dividends. That’s a 3,910% return over 25 years. But if you had reinvested those dividends, that stake would be worth about $572,000, a 5,620% gain.

That’s the power of compounding outliers…

Now, it takes a while for the magic of compounding to kick in. But as you can see in the examples above, it’s worth the wait.

So here’s my simple strategy for building wealth in the markets: Buy outlier stocks… reinvest the dividends… and let patience be your friend.

Patience and process!

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Jason Bodner
Editor, Palm Beach Insider


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