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- Germany October final manufacturing PMI 57.8 vs 58.2 prelim
- France October final manufacturing PMI 53.6 vs 53.5 prelim
- Italy October manufacturing PMI 61.1 vs 59.7 prior
- Spain October manufacturing PMI 57.4 vs 58.1 prior
- European equities slightly lower to kick start the day
- Switzerland October CPI +1.2% vs +1.1% y/y expected
- Eurostoxx futures -0.2% in early European trading
- Trade ideas thread - European session 2 November 2021
- FOMC expectations: Gold in focus
- Japan finance minister Suzuki reaffirms that specific monetary policy is up to BOJ to decide
- Economic data coming up in the European session
- Latest COVID-19 trend in Germany starts to bring about fresh worries
- ForexLive Asia FX news wrap: AUD drops after the RBA
- Chinese authorities have urged families to keep stores of daily necessities heading into winter
- Japan is considering providing subsidies to firms to raise wages
- Musk says on Hertz: I’d like to emphasize that no contract has been signed yet.
- Japan's finance minister notes that the yen is weakening but says he has no comment on FX levels
- Australia's largest population state has accelerated easing of restrictions
- South Korea October core inflation data the highest since December 2015
- Australian Inflation Expectations hit their highest for seven years
- Australia Consumer Confidence weekly index 108.4 (prior 106.8)
- New Zealand Building Permits for September -1.9% m/m (prior +3.8%)
- Brexit - UK / France fishing dispute talks will continue Thursday
- NZD traders - heads up for the GDT dairy auction coming up Tuesday 02 November 2021
- Forexlive Americans FX news wrap: Dollar ticks lower as FOMC decision awaited
Germany October final manufacturing PMI 57.8 vs 58.2 prelim Posted: 02 Nov 2021 01:55 AM PDT Latest data released by Markit/BME - 2 November 2021 The preliminary report can be found . Much like the French report, supply chain issues are plaguing German manufacturing activity as material shortages weighed heavily on output and new orders last month. |
France October final manufacturing PMI 53.6 vs 53.5 prelim Posted: 02 Nov 2021 01:50 AM PDT Latest data released by Markit - 2 November 2021 The preliminary report can be found . Little change to the initial estimate as the final report reaffirms the sharpest fall in production since May last year as supply issues intensify, with output levels sliding as firms struggle to secure necessary materials. |
Italy October manufacturing PMI 61.1 vs 59.7 prior Posted: 02 Nov 2021 01:45 AM PDT Latest data released by Markit - 2 November 2021 "Italy's manufacturing sector recorded another stellar performance during October, opening the final quarter of the year with a near record improvement in conditions amid further steep rises in output and new orders."Supply delays remained severe, however, adding further to inflationary pressures and capacity constraints. Backlogs of work rose at the quickest pace |
Spain October manufacturing PMI 57.4 vs 58.1 prior Posted: 02 Nov 2021 01:15 AM PDT Latest data released by Markit - 2 November 2021 Markit notes that: "Spain's manufacturing economy continued to expand strongly in October, but the double hit of supply constraints and price pressures served to noticeably limit production growth."Moreover, despite having little choice but to raise their own charges in the face of an onslaught of ever rising costs, there was some evidence from |
European equities slightly lower to kick start the day Posted: 02 Nov 2021 01:10 AM PDT A touch softer at the open as risk remains tepid US futures are also mildly lower, down by just under 0.1% as the overall risk mood remains more tentative and cautious to start the day. All eyes are still on the Fed but the retreat in bond yields is also keeping traders more anxious in general |
Switzerland October CPI +1.2% vs +1.1% y/y expected Posted: 02 Nov 2021 12:30 AM PDT Latest data released by the Federal Statistics Office - 2 November 2021 |
Eurostoxx futures -0.2% in early European trading Posted: 02 Nov 2021 12:04 AM PDT Slightly softer tones in early trades This mirrors the tone in US futures, which are down around roughly 0.1% as we look to get things going on the session. The overall risk mood remains more tepid with bond yields sitting lower on the day and that is weighing on yen pairs in general. |
Trade ideas thread - European session 2 November 2021 Posted: 01 Nov 2021 11:46 PM PDT Daily thread to exchange ideas and to share your thoughts US 2-year yields are down by nearly 3.5 bps to 0.48% while 10-year yields are down 2.5 bps to just below 1.55%, as we continue to count down to the FOMC meeting tomorrow. |
FOMC expectations: Gold in focus Posted: 01 Nov 2021 11:44 PM PDT Trading the Fed's interest rate decision The base case for the FOMC is quite straight forward: - A taper announcement - QE to finish around the middle of next year However, the decision tomorrow is not. Here is the Fed's problem. Inflation is rising globally and growth is showing signs of slowing. See this excellent graphic courtesy of Nordea |
Japan finance minister Suzuki reaffirms that specific monetary policy is up to BOJ to decide Posted: 01 Nov 2021 11:35 PM PDT Suzuki remarks after a meeting with BOJ governor Kuroda |
Economic data coming up in the European session Posted: 01 Nov 2021 10:05 PM PDT Final manufacturing PMI releases on the agenda today The push and pull in the market continues as bond yields are sitting lower today and that is pinning yen pairs lower in general, with USD/JPY down from around 114.00 to 113.65 as we look towards European morning trade. |
Latest COVID-19 trend in Germany starts to bring about fresh worries Posted: 01 Nov 2021 09:46 PM PDT Cases are on the rise in Germany The 7-day incidence rate may have dropped today to 153.7 from the latest peak yesterday at 154.8 but that is still much higher than the 110.1 reading a week ago. For added context, towards the end of August, the figure was seen just above 50.0. |
ForexLive Asia FX news wrap: AUD drops after the RBA Posted: 01 Nov 2021 08:50 PM PDT Forex news for Asia trading on Tuesday 2 November 2021 Forex moves were minor during the early part of the Asian day with traders awaiting - the Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday |
Chinese authorities have urged families to keep stores of daily necessities heading into winter Posted: 01 Nov 2021 08:11 PM PDT China's Ministry of Commerce said the government is striving to ensure supplies of food heading into winter. MinCom Not an encouraging development this one. |
Japan is considering providing subsidies to firms to raise wages Posted: 01 Nov 2021 07:18 PM PDT Japan chief cabinet secretary Matsuno press conference. Covering a wide range of topics. Unrelated, also says PM Kishida to meet with UK PM Johnson to further UK-Japan partnership |
Musk says on Hertz: I’d like to emphasize that no contract has been signed yet. Posted: 01 Nov 2021 06:54 PM PDT Musk on Tesla and Hertz, reply tweting: This related to the Hertz purchase of Tesla for its fleet. Musk saying the deal is not yet complete. |
Japan's finance minister notes that the yen is weakening but says he has no comment on FX levels Posted: 01 Nov 2021 06:38 PM PDT Japan's relatively new finance minister Suzuki. Learning the ropes. Its a bit of a no-no for government ministers to make comments on their currency levels. The agreement amongst the big economies is not to discuss FX rates. Many ignore this of course. |
Australia's largest population state has accelerated easing of restrictions Posted: 01 Nov 2021 05:03 PM PDT New South Wales (Sydney is the capital city of NSW) has brought forward freedoms for the vaccinated to Monday November 8. NSW is now at 93.65% first dose Various easings (for the vaccinated), this caught my eye --> nightclubs can reopen dance floors |
South Korea October core inflation data the highest since December 2015 Posted: 01 Nov 2021 04:23 PM PDT CPI data out of South Korea a few minutes ago. Headline +3.2% y/y Core inflation +2.4% y/y SK's central bank has a 2% CPI target, October's rate is the 7th consecutive month above target |
Australian Inflation Expectations hit their highest for seven years Posted: 01 Nov 2021 03:31 PM PDT Data published Monday by Australia's Roy Morgan from their survey for October 2021. - expected inflation 4.8% annually over the next two years This is up 0.3% points, and the highest Inflation Expectations for seven years) since November 2014) |
Australia Consumer Confidence weekly index 108.4 (prior 106.8) Posted: 01 Nov 2021 03:30 PM PDT ANZ-Roy Morgan Australia Consumer Confidence weekly index ANZ highlight the inflation expectations results from the weekly survey: |
New Zealand Building Permits for September -1.9% m/m (prior +3.8%) Posted: 01 Nov 2021 02:54 PM PDT New Zealand data, not shifting the NZD much at all. |
Brexit - UK / France fishing dispute talks will continue Thursday Posted: 01 Nov 2021 02:41 PM PDT Latest Headlines via Reuters on the fishing fracas (bolding mine): French EU affairs minister Beaune says France received first signals from UK authorities to speed up talks, an answer to latest french proposals is expected by Wednesday |
NZD traders - heads up for the GDT dairy auction coming up Tuesday 02 November 2021 Posted: 01 Nov 2021 02:36 PM PDT To gain any traction the dairy auction should really be renamed 'CowCoin' or something like that. The price would go to fifty bazillion too. Ah well, back to reality.... GlobalDairyTrade (GDT) auction begins at midday in London on Tuesday |
Forexlive Americans FX news wrap: Dollar ticks lower as FOMC decision awaited Posted: 01 Nov 2021 02:10 PM PDT Forex news for North American trading on November 1, 2021 The US dollar moved modestly lower with the main declines versus the CHF, EUR and NZD. The greenback gained against the GBP (which had traders worried about France/UK fishing license rights tensions). The dollar was little change verse the JPY and the AUD - ahead of the RBA decision in the new trading |
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