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- UK December BRC shop price index y/y +1.5% vs +0.8% prior
- Strong open for Japanese stocks
- Strong Canadian GDP justifies the hawkish tone from the BOC - CIBC
- It's increasingly difficult to believe that Hong Kong will ever get omicron under control
- Trade ideas thread: What to make of the risk rebound
- Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: USD the weakest of the major currencies for the 2nd consecutive day
- New Zealand Q4 unemployment rate 3.2% vs 3.4% expected
- No reaction in oil after private US oil inventories
- Coming up in Asia-Pacific trade: More holidays and some comments from the RBA's Lowe
- Tomorrow in the US session. What is on the event/release calendar?
- S&P and Dow trade to new session highs
- Sen. Manchin: Build Back Better Bill is dead
- Russia state-affiliated media tweet: Military personnel 'killed' after Ukraine drone strike
- European major indices close higher on the day
- Putin: The US could drag Russia into war with the aim of posing sanctions on Moscow
- US Sec. of State Blinken and Russia For. Minister Lavrov speak: If you don't intend to invade Ukraine, pull back your troops
- Dallas Fed Texas service sector index of general business activity outlook 0.6% in January 2022 from 14.2 last month
- US construction spending for December 0.2% versus 0.7% estimate
- JOLTS December job openings 10.925M vs 10.562M last month
- US ISM manufacturing for January 57.6 versus 57.4 estimate
- US Markit PMI manufacturing index for January 55.5 versus 55.0 preliminary estimate
- US stocks trading mixed in early trading
- Canada Markit manufacturing PMI for January 56.2 versus 56.5 last month
- US stocks set to open modestly higher
- Forexlive European FX news wrap: Plenty of data, including tragic German Retail Sales.
UK December BRC shop price index y/y +1.5% vs +0.8% prior Posted: 01 Feb 2022 04:02 PM PST This indicator has been long-forgotten but it is returning to relevance with the market focus on inflation. This is the highest reading since 2012. |
Strong open for Japanese stocks Posted: 01 Feb 2022 03:52 PM PST Futures on Japan's benchmark index are up 0.9% shortly before the open. There was a solid open yesterday at 0.6% but that was halved into the close. There's work to do get back comfortably in the range but this is one of several charts that could be a false breakdown. |
Strong Canadian GDP justifies the hawkish tone from the BOC - CIBC Posted: 01 Feb 2022 03:44 PM PST Canadian November GDP at +0.6% m/m was stronger than the +0.3% advance estimate and the 0.4% consensus. In addition, the advance estimate for December was flat. Tally that up and it's looking like a very strong quarter for the Canadian economy. January will be a large negative number due to |
It's increasingly difficult to believe that Hong Kong will ever get omicron under control Posted: 01 Feb 2022 02:53 PM PST A health schism has opened up between Hong Kong and mainland China. We are quickly approaching the point where Hong Kong and its 7.5 million residents abandon the idea of keeping omicron out. Today officials confirmed 129 new cases and 22 cases of unknown origin, which are the most in this |
Trade ideas thread: What to make of the risk rebound Posted: 01 Feb 2022 02:27 PM PST The most interesting chart out there for me right now is AUD/USD the ongoing rejection of the break lower. What's telling is that even with the dovish surprise yesterday, it wouldn't go down further. As I often write: When something can't go down on bad news, it can't go down at all. The c |
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: USD the weakest of the major currencies for the 2nd consecutive day Posted: 01 Feb 2022 02:17 PM PST The US major indices closing higher and near highs for the 3rd day in a row. Tomorrow in the US session. What is on the event/release calendar? Fed's Bullard: I would support a rate hike at the March meeting and prefer a hike in May Crude oil continues the up and down waffle near h |
New Zealand Q4 unemployment rate 3.2% vs 3.4% expected Posted: 01 Feb 2022 01:48 PM PST Prior was 3.4%Employment change +0.1% vs +0.3% expParticipation rate 71.1% vs 71.2% expLabour cost index q/q +0.7% vs +0.9% expLabor cost index y/y +2.8% vs +2.9% expThe kiwi has dipped on this report. Wage growth slowing and the participation, the details aren't as strong as the headline. |
No reaction in oil after private US oil inventories Posted: 01 Feb 2022 01:40 PM PST Crude +1525K expected in tomorrow's official report Gasoline +1645K expected in tomorrow's report Distillates -1492K expected in tomorrow's report There's been no reaction in WTI, which is trading at $88.25.The huge builds in gasoline for five weeks straight have done nothi |
Coming up in Asia-Pacific trade: More holidays and some comments from the RBA's Lowe Posted: 01 Feb 2022 01:27 PM PST China remains away fro the Lunar New Year holiday but that hasn't killed action price action in Asia-Pacific trading so far this week, so lets hope that continues. Coming up first is the API weekly oil inventories report, out at the bottom of the hour. The oil market remains red hot after adding a 2 |
Tomorrow in the US session. What is on the event/release calendar? Posted: 01 Feb 2022 12:52 PM PST So what is on the US event/release calendar for tomorrow?US ADP Non farm payroll change. 8:15 AM ET. Estimate 185K vs 807K last month. The US non farm payroll data will be released on Friday at 8:30 with estimates of145K after last months 199K actual number. The big miss from ADP last month vs the |
S&P and Dow trade to new session highs Posted: 01 Feb 2022 12:13 PM PST The major US stock indices are trading near highs for the day. The Dow and S&P just traded to a new session high. The NASDAQ still remains below itsday high but is getting closer as is the Russell 2000.a look at the market currently shows:Dow industrial average up 168 points or 0.48% at 35300S&P ind |
Sen. Manchin: Build Back Better Bill is dead Posted: 01 Feb 2022 09:41 AM PST Sen. Joe Manchin (D) who killed Pres. Biden's Build Back Better bill by refusing to support it, is on the wires saying indeed...the bill is dead. He says that if it is resurrected it would be a entirely new bill. Given the inflation fears in the growth uncertainty, it was a good thing to let it fade |
Russia state-affiliated media tweet: Military personnel 'killed' after Ukraine drone strike Posted: 01 Feb 2022 09:20 AM PST The Russia state-affilliated media is tweeting: Ukraine border tension There has not been any reaction in the markets. So does not seem to be a big thing (at least for now). S&P up 1.7 points. Nasdaq up 18 points. Dow up 11.3 points. |
European major indices close higher on the day Posted: 01 Feb 2022 09:15 AM PST The major European indices have closed higher on the day. The Italy's FTSE MIB is the biggest gainer followed by the France's CAC index. German DAX, +0.96% France's CAC, +1.43% UK's FTSE 100 +0.96% Spain's Ibex, +1.32% Italy's FTSE MIB +1.53% In the European debt market, yie |
Putin: The US could drag Russia into war with the aim of posing sanctions on Moscow Posted: 01 Feb 2022 09:08 AM PST Russia's Putin is now speaking after the Blinken/Lavrov meeting earlier today: US wants to contain Russia, is using Ukraine to do that US could drag Russia into war with the aim of imposing sanctions on Moscow possible membership of Ukraine in NATO would undermine Russia's sec |
Posted: 01 Feb 2022 08:15 AM PST US Secretary of State Antony Blinken The US Secretary of State Blinken and Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov of met today in a meeting that lasted about 30 minutes: Blinken told Lavrov, if Russia does not intend to invade, this is the time to pull back troops from border with Ukrain |
Posted: 01 Feb 2022 07:45 AM PST The Texas service sector decelerated notably in January, according to business executives responding to the Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.The revenue index, a key measure of state service sector conditions, fell from 20.4 in December to 2.8 in January.Labor market indicators suggest continued |
US construction spending for December 0.2% versus 0.7% estimate Posted: 01 Feb 2022 07:26 AM PST US construction spending for December 2021 Construction spending 0.2% versus 0.7% estimate. Prior month 0.7% revised to 1.0% year on year gain in construction spending is 9.0%value of construction in 2021 was $1589.0 billion which is 8.2% above the $1469.2 billion spent in |
JOLTS December job openings 10.925M vs 10.562M last month Posted: 01 Feb 2022 07:13 AM PST JOLTS job openings remains near all time high levels JOLTS job openings 10.925M vs 10.562M last month Job openings rate unchanged at 6.8% Hires fell to -6.3M or down -333K Separations including quits, layoffs and discharges decreased to 5.9M (-305K on the month). |
US ISM manufacturing for January 57.6 versus 57.4 estimate Posted: 01 Feb 2022 07:00 AM PST ISM falls to 57.6 in the January ISM manufacturing index versus 57.4 estimate Last month 58.7 revised t0 58.5 New orders 58.9 vs 61.0 last Production 57.8 vs 59.4 last employment 54.5 vs 53.9 last Supplier deliveries 64.6 vs 644.9 last inventories 53.2 vs 54 |
US Markit PMI manufacturing index for January 55.5 versus 55.0 preliminary estimate Posted: 01 Feb 2022 06:45 AM PST Markit PMI for January 2022 The Markit PMI index for January 2022: PMI index 55.5 vs 55.0 preliminary. Lowest since October 2020. Last month the index came in at 57.7 US manufacturing sector final output index for January at 50.5 versus flash of 50.3, and final December at |
US stocks trading mixed in early trading Posted: 01 Feb 2022 06:38 AM PST The major US indices are trading mixed in early trading for the day. The NASDAQ is lower while the Dow and S&P are marginally higher. The snapshot seven minutes into the open is showing:Dow industrial average up 56 points or 0.17% at 35193S&P index up 7.6 points or 0.17% 4522.95NASDAQ index is down |
Canada Markit manufacturing PMI for January 56.2 versus 56.5 last month Posted: 01 Feb 2022 06:35 AM PST Markit PMI comes in at 56.2 The Canada Markit manufacturing PMI for January came in at 56.2 versus 56.5 last month. The index has remained above the 50 level since June 2020.For the full report CLICK HERE |
US stocks set to open modestly higher Posted: 01 Feb 2022 06:29 AM PST The major US indices are set to open up marginally higher the futures are implying:S&P index up four pointsDow industrial average up 40 pointsNASDAQ index up 27 pointsAt the start of the North American session, the indices were lower. |
Forexlive European FX news wrap: Plenty of data, including tragic German Retail Sales. Posted: 01 Feb 2022 06:17 AM PST Headlines:USD and 10-Yr-Yields spot-check - Plus a cameo by @NewsquawkEurozone Unemployment Rate: 7% (Forecast 7.1%, Previous 7.2%)UK Mortgage Approvals: 71.015k (Forecast 66k, Previous 66.964k)UK Markit Manufacturing PMI Final: 57.3 (Forecast 56.9, Previous 56.9)Rouble extends gains, firms 0.6% on |
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