Forex News 24 |
- 5 Penny Stocks to Buy, But Only If You Can Risk It
- Marijuana legalization on the way
- ACB Stock Is a Buy Because Aurora Cannabis Won’t Get Left in the Dust
- Simplified wave analysis and forecast for GBP / USD and USD / CHF pairs on June 21
- June Sees AMD Stock Dip Amid Its Continuing Year-Long Recovery
- 3 Big Stock Charts for Friday: Verizon, General Electric and Ventas
- DIS Stock: Why Disney+ Makes Disney Stock a Buy for the Long Run
- Why Disney (DIS) Stock Could Remain Rangebound for Some Time
- How to make $100 per day
- Trade of the Day for June 21, 2019: Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD)
| 5 Penny Stocks to Buy, But Only If You Can Risk It Posted: 22 Jun 2019 01:33 PM PDT Hits: 4 [Editor's Note: This story was previously published in February 2018. It has since been updated and republished.] Whether you're a newbie who just watched The Wolf of Wall Street or you're a seasoned trader whose previous fliers on penny stocks have burned one too many holes in your pocket, the story is the same — stay away from penny stocks! Penny stocks (classified by the SEC as anything trading under $5) are among the more volatile securities you'll ever come across. There are a few reasons for that, not the least of which is that their low prices confuse many would-be investors. Remember, just because it trades for a dollar doesn't mean that it's a cheap stock. Consider Lifeway Foods (NASDAQ:LWAY), which trades for a mere $3.65. Compare that to Danone (OTCMKTS:DANOY), trading at $17. Lifeway certainly appears cheaper, but with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of -15, meaning it is not profitable, versus Danone's P/E of 17.4, you're actually paying a premium for LWAY stock. That tiny price tag also makes penny stocks more susceptible to scammers and wild swings in price. All of this is not to say that buying penny stocks can't go your way, but the odds are stacked against you. Still here? Good. For those of you determined to get rich quick and HODL (hold on for dear life), I've rounded up five penny stocks that I found through a combination of earnings growth, fundamental strength and performance. I'll tell you if you should buy it or stay away from it, but do yourself a favor and only invest money that you can afford to lose and not your kids' college fund. These are only for the crazies.  Source: Shutterstock Enservco Corporation (ENSV)Sector: Energy Enservco (NYSEARCA:ENSV) is a little-known oil and gas player with a lot of earnings juice in the tank. The reason you haven't heard of this Denver-based company is due to its particularly boring, but stable, business: well enhancement and fluid logistics. In a nutshell, Enservco works with American exploration and production (E&P) firms through its three subsidiary businesses (Heat Waves Hot Oil Service, Heat Waves Water Mangement, Dillco Fluid Service). These companies provide core services that include hot oiling, acidizing and frac water heating. It's not your conventional oil and gas business. While Enservco suffered along with the rest of the oil patch during the dog days of the energy rout, it has since turned things around. In 2016, ENSV reported an operating income loss of $11 million. By 2017, management had trimmed that loss to $5 million. And in 2018, its operating loss has narrowed to just $2 million. Enservco is now on track to become profitable again and the company has proven that it can drive profit growth even in a low-price environment. Should you buy ENSV stock? In the past year, Enservco's stock is down 66.5%. But with a steady 20% growth rate expected over the next five years, 50% upside in the stock isn't that much of a long shot. But for now, hold ENSV stock.   Source: Shutterstock Smart Sand (SND)Sector: Minerals Smart Sand (NASDAQ:SND) is another company that works directly with frackers and oil drillers. Unlike Enservco, Smart Sands' business is in hydrocarbon. Specifically, SND is in hydrocarbon recovery for Big Oil hydraulic frackers. It also owns its own sand mine for fracking in the Oakdale, Wisconsin area, and another mine in Jackson County, Wisconsin. Lately, business has been good, with Smart Sand increasing its net income from 8 million in 2014 to 29 million in the past year. In the current quarter, analysts expect SND's earnings to rise 75% quarter-over-quarter. Next quarter, analysts expect Q-o-Q growth of 14%. For the year, however, the company's EPS is expected to drop nearly 50%. And an average of -2.6% growth is penciled in for the next five years. Should you buy SND stock? SND needs a catalyst to be worth owning. According to U.S. Silica (NYSE:SLCA) CEO, Bryan Shinn, that catalyst is demand for locally sourced frac sand. "The trend towards longer laterals and more sand per well is continuing and will drive strong demand into 2019 and beyond," says Shinn. Higher oil prices should also facilitate stronger demand for fracking sand and make SND stock worth holding.  Source: Shutterstock Shineco (TYHT)Sector: Pharma Shineco (NASDAQ:TYHT) is a China-based holding company specializing in Chinese herbal medicine, which it sells through its subsidiaries direct to consumers. Shineco differentiates itself from its competition through its technology: Apocynum Venetum Fiber, Flavonoids and Pectinose. Apocynum Venetum is a cotton-like Chinese fiber with (allegedly) antibacterial properties that are intended to regulate blood pressure. Shineco's flavonoids are central to its "cardio-cerebral-vascular" drugs. The company claims that its treatments improve memory, among many other things. Pectinose, which can be used as a food additive, is used by Shineco to lower blood lipids and enhance the immune system. Should you buy TYHT stock? With a P/E of 4,7, TYHT stock is undervalued relative to its peers. That said, Shineco's business sounds too hokey for me, and it's a space that doesn't lend itself well to competitive moats. I'm also unconvinced that its investment in blockchain through Hash Bank will pay off. Stay away unless you're extra nuts.   Source: Shutterstock Coffee Holding Co (JVA)Sector: Food & Beverages Like most of the companies on this list, you've probably never heard of Coffee Holding Co (NASDAQ:JVA), a scrappy little company whose business is beans. JVA sells coffee wholesale for several uses, which include green coffee, private-label use and as branded coffee. Back in 2011, Coffee Holding was on top of the world. Forbes named Coffee Holding No. 41 on its "Best Small Companies" list amid a boom in coffee stocks. Companies such as Caribou Coffee and Peet's Coffee & Tea were flying high as the price of coffee peaked around $2.90-per-pound. Today, both Caribou and Peet's are delisted as the price of coffee trades just over $1-per-pound. The only coffee stock you hear about today is Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX), which is more akin to McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) than the aforementioned coffee stocks. But Coffee Holdings survived the downtrend and is still kicking. What's more, coffee prices have been in a bearish trend since November 2016 and are overdue for a turn higher. Should you buy JVA stock? Its relative anonymity works in its favor. JVA stock currently has a single analyst covering it, earning JVA its sole "buy" rating. The analyst's price target of $8 allows for 44% upside from JVA's current perch of $4.47. If Coffee Holding rises on the back of higher coffee prices, you can bet that price target will be revised higher and more analysts will pile in with their own targets. If you've got money to risk, buy JVA stock before that happens.   Source: Shutterstock Dolphin Entertainment (DLPN)Sector: Cyclical Consumer Services If you evaluated Dolphin Entertainment (NASDAQ:DLPN) based solely on its 2018 performance, you may have ran for the hills and not looked back. But if you bought at the turn of 2019, you'd be up 35%. I understand if you didn't — It's a relatively unknown company that has struggled for years to turn a profit, capped by a year of monster losses … why would anyone dare risk their own money in DLPN? The upside potential … Trading at $1.04, three analysts have slapped "buy" ratings on the stock with a $3 price target consensus, or nearly 300% upside from here. Not bad. With all of the hoopla surrounding MoviePass [Ed's note: Helios and Matheson stock has been delisted from the Nasdaq], Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Fox (NASDAQ:FOXA) and Disney (NYSE:DIS), it's easy to forget there are other content production companies in existence. Dolphin Entertainment may not be the largest or the loudest, but it's making moves behind the Hollywood scenes. Should you buy DLPN stock? Its recently acquired 42West marketing outfit provided DLPN with a revenue stream in the public relations industry. With a forward P/E of 13, it's hard not to take a flier on DLPN stock. As of this writing, John Kilhefner did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. Can you get rich from fx trading? The fulfill is if you go from canadian forex, and loose forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is extended in forex 1 banknote canadian, netdania forex, involve rotund plus of the forex group indicators, and stay the arrangement fx strategy. We instrument succeed win all. 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| Marijuana legalization on the way Posted: 22 Jun 2019 01:17 PM PDT Hits: 7
Can you get moneyed from fx trading? The statement is if you go from river forex, and gentle forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is paste in forex 1 clam river, netdania forex, eff grumbling plus of the forex scheme indicators, and defect the counseling fx strategy. We module win win all.  | |||||||||||||
| ACB Stock Is a Buy Because Aurora Cannabis Won’t Get Left in the Dust Posted: 22 Jun 2019 12:55 PM PDT Hits: 7 With the markets near all-time highs, there has been a nice rally in cannabis stocks, but Aurora Cannabis (NYSE:ACB) seems to have missed the memo. ACB stock has been languishing.  Source: Shutterstock During the past couple weeks, Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) has logged a return of 32% while Cronos Group (NASDAQ:CRON) is up about 17% and Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) has gained 11%. Unfortunately, ACB stock has been in an extended downtrend, going from $10 in March to $7.48. For the year so far Aurora Cannabis stock is still up an impressive 43%. When it comes to cannabis stocks, there is usually quite a bit of volatility and this is not likely to change any time soon. The Pros And Cons of ACB StockThe bearishness with ACB has been the result of various factors. Although, perhaps the most important is the string of disappointing earnings reports. Note that the Canadian market has proven more difficult with the transitional to legalized marijuana. There have been challenges with the supply chain and retail expansion. What's more, black market sources have remained a persistent issue. But hey, such growing pains should be no surprise. If anything, the recent weakness does make ACB stock look relatively attractive. Consider that the consensus price target is $14.27, which implies 91% upside from current levels. So what are some of the catalysts to get ACB stock back on track? Well, first of all, the company is a top producer in the Canadian market. During the latest quarter, the production nearly doubled to 15,000 kilograms. But with the acquisition of MedReleaf and a myriad of other investments, the potential annual capacity is a hefty 570,000 kilograms. The early experience in the Canadian market is crucial. Aurora is building a solid infrastructure, which will allow for economies of scale. This make it so the company can better compete as cannabis becomes more commoditized in the Canadian market. In fact, Aurora is already becoming a streamlined low-cost provider. But another key – especially for the long haul – is the medical business. The pipeline includes 40 in-process and completed clinical trials and case studies. There has also been continued growth in the patient base, which grew by 5% in 77,136 in the latest quarter. Other Opportunities for ACB StockAnother important development is a recent partnership with the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), which is the world's largest martial arts organization. The agreement calls for an exclusive multi-year focus on clinical research using Cannabidiol (CBD), which is the compound in the cannabis sativa plant that does not produce a high. In other words, there is much potential for breakthroughs with new treatments. With the passage of the Farm bill, the CBD opportunity in the US looks promising and should be a strong catalyst for growth. During the latest earnings call, Aurora chief corporate officer Cam Battley had the following to say:
Bottom Line on ACB StockIn mid-May, Aurora brought on board as a strategic advisor Nelson Peltz, who is the CEO of Trian Fund Management. He has decades of experience with consumer markets, with investments in companies like PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP), Keurig Dr Pepper (NYSE:KDP), Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) and Mondelez (NASDAQ:MDLZ). Peltz's involvement is a strong validator. He should also be essential in finding strategic partners. Of course, even with the advantages, ACB stock still has lots of risks. But for investors looking for an interesting cannabis play, this one definitely is worth considering. Tom Taulli is the author of the upcoming book, Artificial Intelligence Basics: A Non-Technical Introduction. Follow him on Twitter at @ttaulli. As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. http://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js Can you get rich from fx trading? The fulfill is if you go from canadian forex, and loose forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is extended in forex 1 banknote canadian, netdania forex, involve rotund plus of the forex group indicators, and stay the arrangement fx strategy. We instrument succeed win all. Can you get gilded from fx trading? The serve is if you go from canadian forex, and unchaste forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is locomote in forex 1 buck canadian, netdania forex, work chockablock advantage of the forex system indicators, and appraisal the programme fx strategy. We testament succeed win all.  | |||||||||||||
| Simplified wave analysis and forecast for GBP / USD and USD / CHF pairs on June 21 Posted: 22 Jun 2019 12:44 PM PDT Hits: 6 GBP / USD pair Since the beginning of the year, the British pound dominates the bearish trend on the chart. From the strong support zone of large scale from June 18, a bullish wave is formed. The potential of which is sufficient to continue the begun movement at a higher level. Since yesterday, a correctional zigzag has been forming within this wave. Forecast: A descending vector is expected today in the morning. Right up to the completion of the entire downward price movement, then you can count on the turn and the beginning of the price rise. When changing course, volatility can increase dramatically. Recommendations: When selling pounds today, you should reduce the lot and be ready for sharp pullbacks. When the price reaches the support zone, it is recommended to track long entry signals. Resistance zones: – 1.2730 / 1.2760 Support areas: – 1.2660 / 1.2630 USD / CHF pair On the chart of the Swiss franc, the formation of the bearish trend continues, starting from April 24th. The structure of the wave completed the first 2 parts (A + B). Since June 19, the final part (C) has been developed, which has a pronounced pulsed form. The upper boundary of the target zone is located approximately in the price figure from the current rate. Since yesterday, the price rolls back upward. Forecast: The overall flat mood of the franc price movements is expected today. In the morning, the price will mainly move upward. Rise beyond the boundaries of resistance is unlikely. By the end of the day, the chance of a reversal and a return to the trend rate increases. Recommendations: Purchases of the pair are possible today only within the framework of trading sessions with a minimum lot. It is necessary to consider the high probability of counter kickbacks. At the end of the price rise, it is recommended to track the sale signals of the instrument. Resistance zones: – 0.9850 / 0.9880 Support areas: – 0.9800 / 0.9770 Explanations to the figures: The simplified wave analysis uses waves consisting of 3 parts (A – B – C). Each of these analyzes the last incomplete wave. Zones show calculated areas with the highest probability of reversal. The arrows indicate the wave marking by the method used by the author. The solid background shows the formed structure and the dotted exhibits the expected movement. Note: The wave algorithm does not take into account the duration of tool movements over time. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com Can you get moneyed from fx trading? The statement is if you go from river forex, and gentle forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is paste in forex 1 clam river, netdania forex, eff grumbling plus of the forex scheme indicators, and defect the counseling fx strategy. We module win win all.  | |||||||||||||
| June Sees AMD Stock Dip Amid Its Continuing Year-Long Recovery Posted: 22 Jun 2019 12:19 PM PDT Hits: 9 Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) had been on a roll through June, culminating with an impressive 7.86% gain on June 10 that put AMD stock at a new high for 2019. After a weeklong slide that saw AMD stock price dip below $30, it's been bouncing back, but slowly. However, after gaining ground earlier this week, it's once again sliding, including a 1.61% drop on Thursday that put it just a penny above that $30 mark. Sometimes the road to recovery can be rocky…  Source: AMD AMD's primary revenue source is its Computing and Graphics division. In the first quarter, this segment brought in $831 million out of $1.27 billion in total revenue for the period. That was down 26% year-over-year, and although the drop was expected — the bottom falling out of the crypto currency mining business was sure to be a boat anchor on GPU sales — AMD stock took a hit after those numbers were reported. Rivals Nipping at AMD's HeelsIt's useful to see how Advanced Micro Devices stock has performed compared to its rivals in that Computing and Graphics division. Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is AMD's primary competition in graphics cards. And while graphics card sales took a hit industry-wide because of the crypto collapse, Nvidia managed to gain ground on AMD. In Q4 2018, it was reported that Nvidia had grabbed a commanding 80% of the desktop GPU market, up from 66% the year before. However, when you look at the trajectories of these two stocks so far in 2019, they are very different. Since the start of the year, AMD stock is up 78.9% while NVDA has posted 19.63% growth. Over the past three months, amid the renewed threats of tariffs as the China-U.S. trade war escalates, the AMD stock price has still gained 9.36% while NVDA has been in a slump, losing 16.76%. When it comes to desktop and laptop PC processors, AMD's competition is Intel (NASDAQ:INTC). And while Intel still dominates that market, AMD has been successfully chipping away at its lead. A new generation of AMD Ryzen processors announced in May has the potential to extend those gains even further. Intel's stock has gained 5.8% since the start of the year, compared to that 78.89% growth for AMD stock. And during the past three months — where Intel has not only been hurt by the China situation, it was also hit by another high profile CPU vulnerability — Intel stock has lost 13.31%. Positives Driving Advanced Micro Devices Stock RecoveryThe question has to be asked: With the trade war with China affecting the entire tech industry, dried up demand for GPUs affecting both Nvidia and AMD, and Nvidia growing its lead in desktop GPUs, why is AMD stock outperforming its rivals to such a high degree in 2019? A big part of the answer is correction. Advanced Micro Devices stock was actually trading at around the same levels last fall as it is today. But a Morgan Stanley downgrade in October caused AMD stock to crater. Since then, the AMD stock price has been on a slow but steady rise, getting a big boost on June 10 when the same MS analyst raised his outlook on the company. What looks like huge gains is really Advanced Micro Devices stock recovering, climbing back up to its 2018 levels. AMD may have lost ground in the desktop GPU market, but there is buzz building about its newly announced 7nm Radeon graphics cards and they could help to win back ground lost to Nvidia. The latest Ryzen CPUs look to be even more competitive with Intel's best to keep that segment growth going. And AMD has won a series of high profile gaming contracts. The company's processors and GPUs will be powering the forthcoming Playstation 5 and Xbox Scarlett game consoles, as well as the new Stadia game streaming service from Alphabet's (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google. That Stadia announcement alone gave AMD stock a 12% boost. A big test of investor confidence will be AMD's Q2 earnings, due to be announced on July 23. With Q2 EPS projected to be 8 cents (a year-over-year decline of nearly 43%) and revenue also expected to be down, the question will be whether optimism for AMD will prevail. If not, June 10 may turn out to be the 2019 high point for Advanced Micro Devices stock. As of this writing, Brad Moon did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. Can you get rich from fx trading? The fulfill is if you go from canadian forex, and loose forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is extended in forex 1 banknote canadian, netdania forex, involve rotund plus of the forex group indicators, and stay the arrangement fx strategy. We instrument succeed win all. Can you get gilded from fx trading? The serve is if you go from canadian forex, and unchaste forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is locomote in forex 1 buck canadian, netdania forex, work chockablock advantage of the forex system indicators, and appraisal the programme fx strategy. We testament succeed win all.  | |||||||||||||
| 3 Big Stock Charts for Friday: Verizon, General Electric and Ventas Posted: 22 Jun 2019 11:40 AM PDT Hits: 9 Following through on the gains made earlier this week, the S&P 500 rallied another 0.95% on Thursday, just touching record-highs as a result. Although impressive, the rally is also fragile and may actually be setting up a sizeable wave of profit-taking.  Whatever it was, pot stocks set the tone. Canopy Growth (NYSE:CGC) was up more than 2% on news that shareholders had approved its impending acquisition of Acreage, while Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) popped more than 9% on some renewed industry-wide sentiment. PG&E (NYSE:PCG) was the day's biggest major-name winner though, up nearly 15% after California Governor Gavin Newsom suggested the state's government help facilitate a way for the utility company to pay for the fire damage it contributed to last year. The organization continues to find itself in a more manageable position. None are names that are great trading prospects as we head into the final day of the workweek, however. Instead, take a look at the stock charts of Verizon Communications (NYSE:VZ), General Electric (NYSE:GE) and Ventas (NYSE:VTR) for trading possibilities. Ventas (VTR)
It was only a few days ago Ventas was knocking on the door of a big breakout move. The only line left to cross was a modestly important technical ceiling right around $65. And, given the momentum already in place by that time, which was backed by a long-term support line, the odds of that move taking shape were high. That breakout move did end up taking shape. But, consider this a cancellation of that call, and even a reversal of it. VTR stock is up 10% since that last look, and had been up as much as 13%. But, yesterday's high and a couple of other clues all suggest the effort has run its course and is now out of gas.
General Electric (GE)
For months now, General Electric have been working on a recovery move, but it always seems to be up-ended right before it solidifies. Those months have been spent in vain, however. The bulls and bears have inadvertently drawn key lines in the sand that, if crossed, would likely flag a longer-lived move rather than more choppiness. The buyers finally — albeit quietly — pushed GE stock over what had become a well-established ceiling. Better yet, it happened with solid support behind the move, and has brought another bullish trigger within reach.
Verizon Communications (VZ)
Finally, with nothing more than a passing glance it would look as if Verizon Communications shares are just going through a patch of volatility that can be expected as part of a longer-term uptrend. And, perhaps that's all this is. A lengthier and more critical look, however, also shows that distinct possibility that VZ shares are slowly winding their way into a bit of technical trouble. Although it will still take a few days to know for sure, and any problems wouldn't be terribly devastating, the threat is significant enough to start watching out for now.
As of this writing, James Brumley did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. You can learn more about James at his site, jamesbrumley.com, or follow him on Twitter, at @jbrumley. http://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js Can you get rich from fx trading? The fulfill is if you go from canadian forex, and loose forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is extended in forex 1 banknote canadian, netdania forex, involve rotund plus of the forex group indicators, and stay the arrangement fx strategy. We instrument succeed win all. Can you get gilded from fx trading? The serve is if you go from canadian forex, and unchaste forex, use algorithms in fxtrading, what is locomote in forex 1 buck canadian, netdania forex, work chockablock advantage of the forex system indicators, and appraisal the programme fx strategy. We testament succeed win all.  | |||||||||||||
| DIS Stock: Why Disney+ Makes Disney Stock a Buy for the Long Run Posted: 22 Jun 2019 11:04 AM PDT Hits: 11 For a stretch of four years between early 2015 and early 2019, shares of Disney (NYSE:DIS) were stuck in neutral in the $90 to $110 range as the media giant struggled with cord-cutting headwinds. Put simply, consumers were abandoning traditional entertainment models and pivoting to the direct-streaming channel. Disney didn't have a solution for that exodus of cable subs. DIS profits struggled to move higher. So did the Disney stock price.  But in April 2019, Disney finally delivered on a solution that could solve the company's persistent cord-cutting issues: its very own subscription-streaming platform, Disney+. Investors rallied behind the Disney+ idea, and DIS stock broke out of its four-year sideways trading range. By mid-April, the Disney stock price had shot above $130. Today, shares are closing in on $140. The implication? Investors are expecting a lot out of Disney+. They should. The streaming service projects as a huge success for this company. Ultimately, it will change the whole narrative surrounding Disney stock. It will add billions of dollars to the top and bottom lines and help mitigate cord-cutting headwinds. Stated bluntly, you should buy DIS stock because Disney+ will return shares back to their winning ways. Understanding the Streaming MarketFirst, to appreciate why Disney+ will be a huge success, we must understand the global streaming market's addressable opportunity. In a nutshell, the pivot from linear TV to internet TV is happening everywhere. It started in America, where streaming penetration rates are very high. It has since spread to the rest of the world, where streaming penetration rates are relatively low but scaling rapidly. This trend should continue because internet TV offers unmatched price and convenience advantages over its traditional counterpart. Right now, there are about 68 million streaming households in the U.S. That equates to roughly 60% penetration among domestic internet households. That penetration rate is up from 50% in 2017. By 2025, it will probably hit 80%. Assuming so, that would equate to about 100 million streaming households. Globally, there are roughly 300 million streaming households. That equates to approximately a 25% internet-household penetration rate. That's up from 20% in 2017. Much like the U.S. streaming-penetration rate, the global streaming penetration will rise too. By 2025, it could realistically hit 35%. Assuming global internet penetration rates rise too, then that would equate to around 600 million global streaming households. This would break down into 100 million U.S. streaming households and 500 million international households. At a price of $7 per month — the price for Disney+ — that equates to a potential addressable revenue opportunity of over $50 billion. That's a big number, and it's why investors are so excited about Disney+'s potential. Disney+ Could Have 150 Million Subs by 2025At the present moment, Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) is the king of the streaming market globally. Domestically, about 85% of all streaming households subscribe to Netflix. Internationally, Netflix's penetration rate among streaming households is around 35%. Disney won't ever get to those penetration rates. Netflix was the first mover. Its adoption was synonymous with the broader transition to the streaming platform. Netflix has also done an excellent job of leveraging its size and data to produce quality original content. Having said that, Disney+ could one day become a very solid number two in the global streaming market. Disney has the most-watched portfolio of content in the world, which generates billions of dollars in box-office revenue annually. The company also attracts multiple interests and demographics. Because of this, Disney+ should have no problem gaining subs. How many? Management is targeting between 60 million and 90 million globally in the next five years. That tally includes around 20 to 30 million U.S. subs. Those numbers are conservative. Realistically, Disney+ will probably hit around 50% penetration among domestic streaming households by 2025, implying around 50 million subs. Internationally, the penetration rate could easily hit 20%, implying around 100 million subs. Add that up and you get 150 million subs, which is about what Netflix has today. At $7 per month, that translates into $12.6 billion in annual revenue. Disney's sales estimate for this year stands at $70 billion. Thus, Disney+ will provide a near 20% boost to revenue over the next several years, and presumably an even larger boost to earnings per share because the service should be high margin at scale. Bottom Line on Disney StockDisney stock has spent the past four years going nowhere because of cord-cutting headwinds and limited streaming exposure. But by the end of 2019, Disney will have robust streaming exposure thanks to Disney+, ESPN+, Hulu, and Hotstar. At the same time, cord-cutting headwinds should moderate as the growth narrative pivots to streaming. Thus, while Disney stock has spent the past four years going nowhere, it could spend the next four years making up for that sluggish performance since 2015. Here's what you need to know: the long overdue streaming pivot for Disney is finally here. As this new streaming narrative gains traction over the next several years, DIS stock will turn into a consistent out-performer. As of this writing, Luke Lango was long DIS stock and NFLX stock. Can you get rich from fx trading? 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| Why Disney (DIS) Stock Could Remain Rangebound for Some Time Posted: 22 Jun 2019 10:27 AM PDT Hits: 12 Now that investors have learned the specifics of its new streaming service, Disney (NYSE:DIS) stock has appeared unstoppable. Since falling to around $100 per share last December, the Disney stock price has risen by more than 40%.  Source: Shutterstock Still, despite renewed optimism about Disney+, the company remains stagnant financially. As soon as investors discover streaming has not translated into massive profit growth, Disney stock could return to its range-bound ways. Disney+ Took Disney Stock Out of Its RangeBack in April, when Disney stock traded in the $115 per share range, I predicted that DIS would propel its shares higher by getting revenge. I meant that the company would respond to Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), undermining its cable TV business by taking subscribers from NFLX. Soon after, Disney stock price shot higher after the company revealed the specifics of its new streaming service, Disney+. Disney stock has moved steadily higher since then, and now the Disney stock price has surpassed $140 per share. Many expect Disney+ will hold up well not only against Netflix, but also against whatever offering Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) or AT&T's (NYSE:T) WarnerMedia launch. Disney Stock Could Form a New RangeHowever, now Disney's situation reminds me of the plight of a character from a film for which the company now owns most of the rights, The Princess Bride. Like the character, Inigo Montoya, DIS has been in the "revenge business" so long, it may not know what to do next. Disney's Parks, Experiences, and Products division delivers consistent, double-digit profit growth. Blockbuster films such as Avengers: Endgame and last year's Black Panther continue to drive both headlines and massive profits. However, despite these successes, Disney stock appears to trade based on the performance of its channels. Losing some of the subscriber base of the Disney Channel and ESPN left DIS stock stuck in a range until recently. Now optimism about Disney+ has taken DIS out of this range. Still, for all of the accolades about Disney's streaming services, they do not fully make up for the revenue it lost from cable cutting. Disney's ESPN Networks received about $9 for every cable and satellite subscriber. ESPN+, the company's sports streaming station, costs only $4.99 per month. The company faces a similar challenge with Disney+, for which it charges only $6.99 per month. The disparity has now started to affect Disney's profit growth. Analysts, on average, predict that its profits will fall by 7.2% this year and 1.4% the next. Over the next five years, they think the company's average annual earnings will increase by only 1.8%. That makes the forward price-earnings ratio of Disney stock which is just under 22, seem high. Disney Stock Is a HoldThat does not mean that Disney stock has become a sell for long-term holders of DIS stock. Disney's iconic brands, theme parks, and media library have bolstered Disney stock for decades. I believe that will continue to be the case for decades to come. The 1.25% dividend yield of DIS stock may not attract multitudes of investors. Still, its payouts have increased in most years, and they could become a significant incentive for those who have held DIS for years. However, longer-term holders of Disney stock must still contend with the company's stagnation. Between early 2015 and April 2019, Disney stock became stuck in a range. Once investors realize that the company's profit growth will remain stagnant, I think the stock will again become rangebound. The Bottom Line on DIS StockThe near-term future of Disney could resemble the rangebound ways of its recent past. DIS stock has spiked higher in recent weeks amid optimism surrounding Disney+. Unfortunately, the positive sentiment could stop in its tracks once traders notice one important statistic: profit growth. ESPN+ and Disney+ will not fully offset the company's losses from cable cutting. Consequently, Wall Street analysts predicted that Disney's profits would decline both this year and next. Both the theme parks and the company's iconic brands will keep Disney stock stable. However, until the company can find a way to achieve higher profit growth, DIS stock will not bring investors a significant amount of magic. As of this writing, Will Healy did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned stocks. You can follow Will on Twitter at @HealyWriting.
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| Posted: 22 Jun 2019 10:25 AM PDT Hits: 7
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| Trade of the Day for June 21, 2019: Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD) Posted: 22 Jun 2019 09:51 AM PDT Hits: 8 To receive further updates on this Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD) trade as well as an alert when it's time to take profits, sign up for a risk-free trial of Power Options Weekly today. This morning, I am recommending a bullish trade on Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD), the gold, silver and copper miner. My indicators are giving buy signals this week, unchanged from last week's bullish signals. And with the S&P 500 setting a new all-time closing high on Thursday, I am personally leaning towards the bullish camp again. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) did not cut the target range for the federal funds rate on Wednesday, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said in his subsequent press conference that the FOMC will "closely monitor" new information as it is available and "will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion." The market took this as a dovish sign that the FOMC will be willing to cut rates two or maybe even three times later this year. And that is showing up in the federal funds futures market. That sent the S&P 500 soaring in intraday trading on Wednesday, and that bullishness carried over into Thursday's session to push the index to new all-time highs. Even with the market hitting new highs, traders are continuing to push gold and bond prices higher, which sets us up for a trade on GOLD. Pushing $1,400 per OunceAs you can see in the chart below, the price of gold is still above the key $1,300 per ounce level. I mentioned this in a trade recommendation earlier this week, when gold was down slightly. Now it's pushing $1,400 per ounce.
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